ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

SUBSCRIBE NOW >>
Get the app
App link only works on mobile.
Customer Service
"The scouting home for serious, high-stakes dynasty fantasy football profiteers
rss feed

2019 Dynasty-Fantasy Preseason Analysis Wk2 Jets 22, Falcons 17

Date:
August 22, 2019 6:46 PM
August 22, 2019 6:45 PM

2019 Dynasty-Fantasy Preseason Analysis Wk2 Jets 22, Falcons 17

 

I’m pretty sure these are the two most boring teams of the 2019 preseason. I don’t have any player on either team in the top 50 in our Dynasty Rookie Draft rankings and just two in the top 125. The Jets played a lot of starters in this game for several series, but without Le’Veon Bell this team is an absolute yawn to observe in the preseason.

The Falcons played their 1st-team quite a bit the first half and they were handling the Jets but were plagued with a dropped TD and two missed 50+ yard FGs. Still the Jets led 10-6 at the half. Then the Falcons turned to the other two Matt’s at QB…Matt Schaub and Matt Simms and then I might as well shut off the tape because there is hardly anything worthy watching or reacting to. The other two Matt’s put 0.0 zero points and the Jets ‘stormed’ back to win the meaningless, dull affair.

We have just a few player notes to hit on…

 

 -- Sam Darnold (5-7 for 46 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) answers the question…”What of people just decided to care about Matt Barkley way too much?” Darnold did his usual safe passing and floating medium passes but had the luxury of Atlanta using a 4-man front and dropping seven into coverage quite a bit.

I noted that when the Falcons ran five pass rushers at the Jets during Darnold’s dump pass brigade, they sacked him easily. When they brought a seven-man front on a 3rd & short midfield pass attempt, Darnold got rid of the ball quick and short of a 1st-down.

I’m not extra picking on him but reminding myself…the defensive scheme pressure or lack thereof in the preseason matters in the optical illusion of the quarterback ‘looking good’ a lot. Some defenses are vanilla and/or 2nd-3rd-string heavy while others started working their 1st-team D against the opponent. A lot of young, suspect starting NFL QBs look wonderful with limited/no pressure on most snaps and facing backups (see: Daniel Jones).

Just like some backup/rookie WRs can look better or worse in the preseason depending upon what QB they’re stuck with. If you’re working with DeShone Kizer or the two Matt’s from Atlanta…how are you supposed to see what a WR can really do?

Onto the Jets’ backup QBs that I like better than Darnold, but there is ZERO chance they would ever get a shot over the holy one (Darnold) in their lifetimes…

Davis Webb (2-5 for 10 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) was running 3rd-team and was fine here. Had a receiver drop a 10+ yard pass on him, and then was pressured by non-blocking O-Lineman for a couple throwaways. He looks resigned to his fate of being cut in a few weeks. Body language and energy was terrible (to me). I wonder if he and Kingsbury are on good terms or not and he would go there. He may have no other choice.

Luke Falk (4-4 for 41 yards, 1 TD/0 INT) ran 4th-team but has looked the best of all the Jets backup QBs in this game and in this preseason. That probably gets him a roster spot 50-50, maybe. Falk was in Miami with this group and was brought to NY with them, so I think they’re fans to some degree.

 

 -- In Falcons’ backup RB news (the most uninteresting backfield in the NFL)…

Ito Smith (5-13-1, 3-43-0/3) ran as the ‘starter’ with Devonta Freeman too precious to play still. He looked as dull as ever, but he will be the #2…at least for Week 1.

Qadree Ollison (9-44-0, 0-0-0/2) took over after Ito, so I assume he’s jumped Brian Hill (4-12-0, 0-0-0/1). And Ollison has improved each week in the preseason. He may end up the #2 in reality if Devonta has any in-season issues. Ollison is working like James Conner, but I don’t think Conner is a top 32 NFL RB talent, so it’s not a real compliment. But old school NFL coaches love that ‘big guy runs tough…and straight…and slow’ routine, so here comes Ollison.

 

 -- Jets TE Daniel Brown (1-8-0/2) ran 3rd-team again, behind Herndon-Griffin, so blowout the candle on him as a Very Deep Sleeper in New York after Week 4 (Herndon’s suspension).

I pray the Jets start Ryan Griffin for my ‘under’ bet on the Jets win total this year. I don’t need any help, but I’ll take more self-inflicted wounds in any case.

You’d think…’who cares’ about Ryan Griffin vs. Daniel Brown?

Every play and chess piece on the board matters. On a 3rd & 7, let’s say, if Darnold quick tosses to Griffin…he’s not going much after the catch because he’s so slow. While Brown is an above-average athlete at TE, a former WR…that same one target to the tight end MIGHT result in Brown making a short catch, making a move and getting the 1st-down which keeps a drive/possession alive, which may mean the points in a cover or not, or a win or not.

I know, you think they probably have Griffin in for blocking. I’m watching, and I’m seeing him so slow-footed he’s get beaten by pass rushers all preseason. In the regular season, Griffin may help give up a sack or not help a 3rd & short Le’Veon run attempt. The Jets are willingly going to put a negative production player on the field, one who has no upside to make plays…keeping benched one that could make plays.

It’s the little things.

…things I try to identify and expose for fantasy and betting purposes.

 

 -- He’ll never get a chance in Atlanta, but we’re keeping an eye on 2nd-year WR Devin Gray (3-34-0/5). He’s really progressing nicely. So much so he may make the team, but I wish they’d try to hide him on the practice squad again and another team claims him. One of the better UDFA athletic/hands WR’s from the 2018 class.

 

 

******************************

-- Make sure you have the (free) FFM App with notifications enabled to get alerts anytime we post an article or report or update rankings to FFM/CFM.

 -- The 2019 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2019 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 600+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.

PLUS

Our 2019 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.

-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.

*******************************



Tags:
Support us by shopping our affiliate links>>
Amazon

Shop our Amazon affiliate link and save!

Steiner Sports

15% OFF Authentic Sports and Entertainment Signed Memorabilia!

FansEdge by Fanatics

Shop the Freshest Sports Apparel Styles from FansEdge

SportsMemorabilia.com

Shop for Authentic Autographed Collectibles at SportsMemorabilia.com

Fanatics

Sports Apparel, Jerseys and Fan Gear at Fanatics.com Sports Shop

Draft Kings

Daily fantasy sports for cash! Play FREE to win millions!

NFL Shop

NFLShop - The Official Online Shop of the NFL!

StubHub

Best Selection of NFL Tickets on StubHub!

LeagueSafe

Collect League Dues...for FREE!

CBS Sports Shop by Fanatics

Get NFL Apparel & Gear!

About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>