2019 Dynasty-Fantasy Preseason Analysis Wk3 – Seahawks 23, Chargers 15
Seattle came at the Chargers with a lot of 1st-team players for the 1st-half, and the Chargers countered with a lot of backups right away. Seattle won the 1st-half 16-3, as you would expect. The Chargers backups bested Seattle 12-7 in the 2nd-half. Seattle the overall (meaningless) winner.
Hard to get a fantasy read on the teams given a lot of WR injuries and one team taking the game more seriously, but we have things to discuss.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- The Seattle RB report…
Chris Carson (3-23-0) is clearly ‘the guy’. Rashaad Penny (8-22-1, 3-15-0/3) has become an afterthought…and he looks like a defeated RB -- not a lot of passion or urgency running this summer. Just a note of caution on Carson – he’s going to be the lead guy, so you’re getting 15+ carries but he’s still a ghost in the passing game. You’d think they’d work the targets more with him in the preseason since it is a hole in his game. It hasn’t really happened. Penny may assume the Mike Davis 2018 role…’3rd-down back’…and Davis flirted with RB3 status in PPR working with Carson in that role last year on and off.
More interesting for sleeper purposes are the #3-4 RBs…
Travis Homer (9-27-0) was moving around with more pop, more confidence here. He started to show why he’s a nice/useful addition to the depth chart.
The X-factor for the NFL, for fantasy might be C.J. Prosise (5-32-1, 1-15-0/1). He might be the best solution for the Houston Texans or whatever team is in need in a week. Prosise looks Matt Forte-ish when he’s healthy and ready to go – big, nimble runner with nice receiving skills. He’s a free agent at the end of the year. Seattle might just give up on CJP because they can go Carson-Penny-Homer-McKissic, but Prosise can be a valuable depth chip...and other teams won’t give up anything for him so it’s either keep in moth balls in Seattle and pay good money to do nothing…or let him fly free.
If Prosise is cut in September – he’s going to be a hot commodity. Perhaps, the best three-down back available among the released. A great temporary patch for an NFL team (until his next injury)…or if he books 16 games, he could rush for 1,000+ yards and have 500+ yards receiving this season. Possible stardom or possible sit and do nothing for Seattle…what fate awaits CJP in a week?
-- The Chargers RB report…
It’s all Austin Ekeler (4-11-0, 2-22-0/3) so far. He’s getting the lion’s share of the #1 work. He will start Week 1 and his ADP keeps rising.
Melvin Gordon is not coming back until Week 11; I would almost guarantee it…as has been my work plan since Gordon started his holdout. It’s smart for him…and for the team (fresh back returns Week 11 for his final season there for the playoff run).
Justin Jackson (5-13-0, 1-4-0/1) has been my choice to be the guy here…eventually in 2019 (while Gordon is out). Ekeler will start but I project JJax will take a 50-50 workload Week 1…and Jackson so much better suited for the ‘main role’, as he proved last season. It won’t take long before Jackson is working a 60/40 or 70/30 split with Ekeler. Initially, projecting/relying on him for fantasy will be dicey.
-- Chargers ILB Jatavis Brown (7 tackles) ‘started’ for the non-starters this game. I pray the Jacksonville Jaguars or some other team (with the intention of starting him) makes a trade for him.
I seem to be running the Cardinals lately, so maybe they make a move in part of the Haason Reddick potential dealings.
-- Four young players that caught my eye this game…
1) Seattle 2nd-year, 6th-round pick, DE Jacob Martin (1 tackle) looks terrific. A trusted FFM audience member who has a keen eye pointed him out a couple of weeks ago. I watched him some here, and he just looks the part of a starting, impactful NFL DE. We had solid grades on him last year on CFM as a sleeper DL/OLB prospect. He seems to have made Seattle forget about the more (previously) lauded Rasheem Green.
2) Chargers rookie QB Easton Stick (12-16 for 82 yards, 1 TD/0 INT, 3-14-1) looked much improved in this game as a passer. He’s so dangerous as a runner but he’s settling in as a competent passer…at least, working his way there. He’ll send Cardale packing to the XFL.
3) Seattle rookie WR John Ursua (2-52-0/2) keeps looking nice this preseason. Just when I think he has no chance to see playing time in 2019, Seattle loses Moore-Metcalf. Suddenly, Ursua might see some time as a #4 WR and grab a jet sweep play here and there the first few weeks of the season.
4) Chargers rookie UDFA WR Jason Moore (1-15-0/2) is showing some signs of life. A very solid WR with exceptional agility. I bet the Chargers try to shuffle him to the practice squad, and we’ll see if any team intervenes.
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