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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 1-3)

Date:
July 22, 2020 2:55 PM
July 26, 2020 9:30 AM

2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 1-3)

My Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated season was run in early June 2020, and some things have happened since then.

 -- Cam has signed with the Patriots…that’s a potential game changer for sure.

 -- Guard Brandon Brooks/PHI tore his ACL, and is gone for the season…that’s a huge hit to our NFC Super Bowl rep in Faux 1.0.

 -- I’ve been studying rosters, schedules, discussing scenarios with those I trust…I have some changed perspective on things.

 -- In early June, it looked like we were headed towards ‘game on’ for life back to normal with the virus…but now we’re looking at a limited preseason and potential quarantine of player’s in-season issues. Team depth, and especially team’s #2 QB matters, strongly, potentially, for 1-2 (or zero) games in this season.

 -- Home field is not going to be as big a deal as it has in the past…Minnesota, for example, stands to lose a HUGE advantage they’ve had. Weather and travel…yes. Crowd sway over things…not as much in 2020.

With all that info/assumptions (above), I’ve run the computer simulated season again…playing each regular season game 100 times and giving the win to the team with the majority of times won in the simulation. And then going right through to the playoffs and crowning a Faux champion.

Preseason simulations and predictions aren’t usually worth the paper they might be printed on, but they are cheap fun and can reveal (to me) some teams to look out for or worry about, compared to what the analysts say. So, for some entertainment before we get to the training camps and preseason (hopefully)…we’ll post the Faux 2.0 season in ten daily parts into early August – and then it’s time to buckle down for the real season to begin to unfold.

  


2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 1-3)

 

Weeks 1-3 Notes…

 

 -- The Cam-led Patriots start out (2-1) and are in a three-way tie for 1st-place with Buffalo and Miami.

 -- The Steelers ride a favorable early schedule to a (3-0) start, to lead the AFC North ahead of Baltimore (2-1) and Cleveland (2-1).

 -- Indy (2-1) takes the early AFC South lead with all the other teams at (1-2).

 -- Kansas City and Denver start out (2-1) to tie for the AFC West lead.

 -- The Eagles (3-0) jump out to a quick 2-game lead over Dallas (1-2)…with NYG/WAS at a fitting (0-3).

 -- The Vikings (2-1) take the early NFC North lead, as the Packers start (1-2).

 -- The Saints and Falcons lead the NFC South at (2-1).

 -- The 49ers are the third remaining undefeated team, leading the NFC West with (2-1) Seattle and Arizona just behind them.

 -- Washington, NYG, and the Jets begin (0-3).

 

AFC East W L PCT

NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

BUF … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIA … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NYJ … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC North W L PCT

PIT … 3 - 0 = 1.000

BAL … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CLE … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC South W L PCT

IND … 2 - 1 = 0.667

HOU … 1 - 2 = 0.333

JAC … 1 - 2 = 0.333

TEN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC West W L PCT

KC …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

DEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAC … 1 - 2 = 0.333

LV … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC East W L PCT

PHI … 3 - 0 = 1.000

DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

WAS … 0 - 3 = 0.000

NYG … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

NFC North W L PCT

MIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

GB …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

DET … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC South W L PCT

ATL … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NO …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

TB …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC West W L PCT

SF …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

SEA … 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

******************************

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Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

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-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

*******************************

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>