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2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 10-12)

Date:
July 22, 2020 4:20 PM
July 29, 2020 9:30 AM

2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 10-12)

 

My Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated season was run in early June 2020, and some things have happened since then.

 -- Cam has signed with the Patriots…that’s a potential game changer for sure.

 -- Guard Brandon Brooks/PHI tore his ACL, and is gone for the season…that’s a huge hit to our NFC Super Bowl rep in Faux 1.0.

 -- I’ve been studying rosters, schedules, discussing scenarios with those I trust…I have some changed perspective on things.

 -- In early June, it looked like we were headed towards ‘game on’ for life back to normal with the virus…but now we’re looking at a limited preseason and potential quarantine of player’s in-season issues. Team depth, and especially team’s #2 QB matters, strongly, potentially, for 1-2 (or zero) games in this season.

 -- Home field is not going to be as big a deal as it has in the past…Minnesota, for example, stands to lose a HUGE advantage they’ve had. Weather and travel…yes. Crowd sway over things…not as much in 2020.

With all that info/assumptions (above), I’ve run the computer simulated season again…playing each regular season game 100 times and giving the win to the team with the majority of times won in the simulation. And then going right through to the playoffs and crowning a Faux champion.

Preseason simulations and predictions aren’t usually worth the paper they might be printed on, but they are cheap fun and can reveal (to me) some teams to look out for or worry about, compared to what the analysts say. So, for some entertainment before we get to the training camps and preseason (hopefully)…we’ll post the Faux 2.0 season in ten daily parts into early August – and then it’s time to buckle down for the real season to begin to unfold.


Weeks 10-12 Notes…

 -- The Cam-led Patriots (7-4) pull into the AFC East lead…a game ahead of Buffalo and surprising Miami, who would be in the playoffs for Faux 2.0 right now.

 -- The Ravens and Steelers are tied at (8-3) for the AFC North…the Browns are way back at (4-7).

 -- The Texans and Colts (5-4) lead the AFC South by a game over (4-5) Jacksonville and Tennessee.

 -- The Raiders have won five of their last 6 games to go to (7-4), two games behind (9-2) KC for the AFC West.

 -- The NFC North, the worst division in Faux 2.0, is led by (6-5) Minnesota.

 -- The Eagles (8-3) lead the Cowboys (7-4) by a game…with Washington (2-9) and the Giants (1-10) as the two worst teams in Faux 2.0 right now.

 -- The Saints and Bucs (7-4) are tied for the NFC South lead, and Atlanta has fallen to last (4-7) as Dan Quinn will coach out the string before getting axed.

 -- Seattle and San Francisco (7-4) lead the NFC West followed by the Rams (6-5)

 

AFC East W L PCT

0.636 NE …. 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.545 BUF … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.545 MIA … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.364 NYJ … 4 - 7 = 0.364

===============

AFC North W L PCT

0.727 BAL … 8 - 3 = 0.727

0.727 PIT … 8 - 3 = 0.727

0.364 CLE … 4 - 7 = 0.364

0.182 CIN … 2 - 9 = 0.182

===============

AFC South W L PCT

0.545 HOU … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.545 IND … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.455 TEN … 5 - 6 = 0.455

0.455 JAC … 5 - 6 = 0.455

===============

AFC West W L PCT

0.818 KC …. 9 - 2 = 0.818

0.636 LV … 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.545 DEN … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.273 LAC … 3 - 8 = 0.273

===============

NFC East W L PCT

0.727 PHI … 8 - 3 = 0.727

0.636 DAL … 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.182 WAS … 2 - 9 = 0.182

0.091 NYG … 1 - 10 = 0.091

===============

NFC North W L PCT

0.545 MIN …. 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.455 GB … 5 - 6 = 0.455

0.364 CHI … 4 - 7 = 0.364

0.364 DET … 4 - 7 = 0.364

===============

NFC South W L PCT

0.636 TB …. 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.636 NO …. 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.455 CAR … 5 - 6 = 0.455

0.364 ATL … 4 - 7 = 0.364

===============

NFC West W L PCT

0.636 SF … 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.636 SEA …. 7 - 4 = 0.636

0.545 LAR … 6 - 5 = 0.545

0.455 ARI … 5 - 6 = 0.455

******************************

 -- The 2020 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2020 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 500+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.

PLUS

Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.

-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

*******************************


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>