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2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 13-15)

Date:
July 22, 2020 4:30 PM
July 30, 2020 9:30 AM

2020 Computer Simulated Season/Faux 2.0 (Weeks 13-15)

 

My Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated season was run in early June 2020, and some things have happened since then.

 -- Cam has signed with the Patriots…that’s a potential game changer for sure.

 -- Guard Brandon Brooks/PHI tore his ACL, and is gone for the season…that’s a huge hit to our NFC Super Bowl rep in Faux 1.0.

 -- I’ve been studying rosters, schedules, discussing scenarios with those I trust…I have some changed perspective on things.

 -- In early June, it looked like we were headed towards ‘game on’ for life back to normal with the virus…but now we’re looking at a limited preseason and potential quarantine of player’s in-season issues. Team depth, and especially team’s #2 QB matters, strongly, potentially, for 1-2 (or zero) games in this season.

 -- Home field is not going to be as big a deal as it has in the past…Minnesota, for example, stands to lose a HUGE advantage they’ve had. Weather and travel…yes. Crowd sway over things…not as much in 2020.

With all that info/assumptions (above), I’ve run the computer simulated season again…playing each regular season game 100 times and giving the win to the team with the majority of times won in the simulation. And then going right through to the playoffs and crowning a Faux champion.

Preseason simulations and predictions aren’t usually worth the paper they might be printed on, but they are cheap fun and can reveal (to me) some teams to look out for or worry about, compared to what the analysts say. So, for some entertainment before we get to the training camps and preseason (hopefully)…we’ll post the Faux 2.0 season in ten daily parts into early August – and then it’s time to buckle down for the real season to begin to unfold.



Week’s 13-15 Notes…

 -- The Cam-led Patriots (9-5) continue with their one game lead on Buffalo and Miami (8-6)…the Pats are +2 in wins in Faux 2.0 compared to their win total in Faux 1.0.

 -- The Ravens (11-3) have taken back solo lead of the AFC North over the Steelers (10-4).

 -- Tennessee, Indy, Houston are all (7-7) heading into the final two games to determine the AFC South.

 -- The Chiefs (11-3) have won the AFC West but are tied with Baltimore for best record in the AFC. Still things to play for.

 -- The Eagles (10-4) are on the verge of locking down the NFC East over Dallas (8-6).

 -- Green Bay (8-6) has pulled into a tie with Minnesota (8-6) for the NFC North with two games to go.

 -- The Saints (9-5) pull a game ahead of the Bucs (8-6) for the NFC South.

 -- San Fran and Seattle (10-4) both won their last three games and Week 17 SEA at SF will likely determine things, again.

 -- The Bengals, Giants, team-formerly-known-as-Redskins are all (2-12) tied for the worst record in the league.

 

AFC East W L PCT

0.643 NE …. 9 - 5 = 0.643

0.571 MIA … 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.571 BUF … 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.357 NYJ … 5 - 9 = 0.357

===============

AFC North W L PCT

0.786 BAL … 11 - 3 = 0.786

0.714 PIT … 10 - 4 = 0.714

0.429 CLE … 6 - 8 = 0.429

0.143 CIN … 2 - 12 = 0.143

===============

AFC South W L PCT

0.500 HOU … 7 - 7 = 0.500

0.500 TEN … 7 - 7 = 0.500

0.500 IND … 7 - 7 = 0.500

0.357 JAC … 5 - 9 = 0.357

===============

AFC West W L PCT

0.786 KC …. 11 - 3 = 0.786

0.643 LV … 9 - 5 = 0.643

0.429 DEN … 6 - 8 = 0.429

0.286 LAC … 4 - 10 = 0.286

===============

NFC East W L PCT

0.714 PHI … 10 - 4 = 0.714

0.571 DAL … 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.143 WAS … 2 - 12 = 0.143

0.143 NYG … 2 - 12 = 0.143

===============

NFC North W L PCT

0.571 MIN … 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.571 GB …. 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.429 CHI … 6 - 8 = 0.429

0.286 DET … 4 - 10 = 0.286

===============

NFC South W L PCT

0.643 NO …. 9 - 5 = 0.643

0.571 TB …. 8 - 6 = 0.571

0.429 CAR … 6 - 8 = 0.429

0.357 ATL … 5 - 9 = 0.357

===============

NFC West W L PCT

0.714 SF …. 10 - 4 = 0.714

0.714 SEA … 10 - 4 = 0.714

0.500 LAR … 7 - 7 = 0.500

0.429 ARI … 6 - 8 = 0.429

******************************

 -- The 2020 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2020 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 500+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.

PLUS

Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.

-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

*******************************


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>