2020: Dynasty/Fantasy Offseason News, Observations, Rumors (3/1/2020)
Every few days on FFM, in the off-season, per usual, I’m going to share some observations from the latest football news and share any rumors/interesting conversations I’m coming across. Two or three items every few days, as I have things of interest to share.
In no particular order…
Two things that two bad franchises did that caught my attention recently, which prompted me to comment about them – something to do with the Chargers and Browns…
-- Watching Anthony Lynn talk about the Chargers’ QB situation is a laugh. I can’t tell if he’s serious or doing corporate speak because that’s all he can do.
He talks about how much the Chargers are going to miss Philip Rivers, which prompts me to think…then why are you letting him go? I think Rivers had about enough of Lynn and was ready to move on…and that’s not really being reported.
After Lynn does the lip service praise of Rivers in interviews, he goes right into beaming about his favorite quarterback – Tyrod Taylor. I don’t think it is an act. I totally believe Lynn wants Tyrod as his starting QB. Really bad offensive coaches have been suckered in by Tyrod for years – with Rex and Lynn in Buffalo, with Hue Jackson’s disaster era in Cleveland, and now Lynn again in L.A. You know who wanted no part of Tyrod and tried to replace him midseason even when they had a shocking winning record at the time – Sean McDermott (the only coach with any sense/personnel brilliance of any of the coaches with Tyrod the past few seasons).
McDermott thought so little of Tyrod he tried to replace him in-season with Nathan Peterman. Sean McDermott has shown to know more about personnel/players than Anthony Lynn or Hue Jackson combined times a hundred (the failed Peterman event aside). McDermott traded to Tyrod to Cleveland FOR A 3RD-ROUND PICK in 2018!! How’d that work out, Cleveland? As soon as a new regime came in after Hue, Tyrod was gone again – back to his beloved Anthony Lynn.
I listen to Lynn speak of Tyrod, and I’m totally convinced Lynn thinks Tyrod is an elite QB who will take him to the promised land. I don’t think he’s just saying things. Lynn wants to run the ball and not throw it and play tough guy defense – that’s what he wants to do.
Something Lynn said at the NFL Combine is EVERYTHING you need to know about his mindset. And it’s the mindset of conservative, worry wart coaches – and the NFL is ruled by uptight coaches who fear the media and fans are going to criticize. The comedy is – no matter what a head coach does they are criticized all day, mostly by the team’s own fans. You can’t escape it.
What did Lynn say at the Combine?
In a casual interview, defending Tyrod…Lynn lauded Tyrod’s lack of turnovers as key. He then said something to the effect of – I believe games are lost in this league, not won. Essentially, Lynn believes the best way to win games is by not taking risks to try and win them. It’s the Mike Zimmer school of coaching…try to get a lead and sit on it for however long it takes. Wait for your opponent to make a mistake. It’s not total insanity of strategy…it’s just not what you’d want your kids to say about their lives or what you’d like to think about your own life’s journey. However, it is what we all tend to gravitate to – the familiar, the safe, and panic at the first sign of trouble. It’s why the stock market is seen as ‘risky’ and confusing by most when there is a history that says it is not over time. Anthony Lynn’s football philosophy is investing in savings bonds and mason jars buried in the yard because you MIGHT lose money in the stock market. Yes, it’s true – you will never lose any money that way…but you won’t earn either…you won’t get the magic of compounding.
…and you won’t win titles with the magic of Tyrod Taylor. But Lynn is going to try.
I was thinking about all this a week+ ago when the Chargers extended Lynn’s contract, before the Combine, as it was. I was thinking – is this the best the Chargers can do? Is this the mindset I want in charge to take me to the Promised Land…with a disinterested fanbase? The Chargers are sinking to the bottom of the NFL because of no fanbase, so this IS the best they can do.
Tyrod Taylor is very likely starting Week 1 for LAC, regardless of who they might draft (and I don’t believe they will draft a 1st-round QB)…which has some fantasy implications. Tyrod is a decent earner in fantasy because of his running tallies. But you can kiss Keenan Allen and Mike Williams’s higher FF values good-bye and I’m sure Hunter Henry is headed out of dodge ASAP as a free agent right now – why would he want to work in this pass game challenged offense?
The Chargers will draft a QB this year, but I think it’s more likely Jalen Hurts than any of the big three…Hurts is the better Tyrod Taylor, a lot better. Hurts early 2nd-round to LAC makes a ton of sense.
2020 College Football Metrics Season Has Begun
Time to start the studies, scouting, grading, ranking of the 2020 NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft class. CFM, as always, will have scouting reports on all the top prospects and small-school sleepers and everything in-between as we grade/rank over 600+ prospects by draft day. We’ll cover the East-West Shrine, Senior Bowl, NFL Combine, and NFL Draft along the way and build to our weekly Top 200+ Dynasty Rookie Draft rankings (including IDPs).
We’ll also look back at the 2019 NFL Draft and 2019 Dynasty Rookie Draft rankings and re-do the 2019 Rookie Draft to see where we’re at and what items undervalued (now) to target in 2020. So much scouting to do – the Dynasty/Fantasy studies never end and are constantly fluid. It all starts again in early-mid January 2020.
Sign-ups for CFM and/or our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball (DOBB) subscriptions are found from the FFM home page ‘Subscribe now’ tab.
-- When I saw the news that Browns re-hired former disaster GM of the Colts Ryan Grigson…I knew this Browns team wasn’t going to take a step forward with all their coaching and staff changes, AGAIN.
The Browns hired an Eagles head of operations (Andrew Berry) to be GM, and then I see the Eagles have one of the worst salary cap + contracts structured situations in league (he left them with, in part) and they’ve had some weak drafts of late too. The new GM hired Grigson to be an advisor – that’s all you need to know about the new GM, sadly.
An inexperienced head coach and no track record GM are bringing in massive failure Ryan Grigson, and all of them being led around by the nose via the owner’s right hand/mastermind who doesn’t really work there full time, Paul DePodesta…all working under, arguably, the worst owner in the league. How is this going to work for greatness ahead?
-- The Browns desperately need to get away from OBJ and Jarvis Landry…and you cannot ditch one not the other. They both need to go. Landry’s foot surgery should give the Browns that extra excuse to cut him – because it makes all the sense in the world for salary cap purposes. And if Landry is going, then OBJ is going.
All this needs to happen in March. You can tell how serious the Browns are about fixing their team by whether they keep both WRs…or dump both. Either way…this team is years from stability. If the Browns dump both WRs, I think that will be the signal to Baker Mayfield to start setting the stage for wanting out of Cleveland. Any rational person with options would want out of that place. Baker doesn’t suffer fools, and the GM he had loyalty to was unceremoniously dumped. Baker is smart enough to see what Joe Burrow is pre-seeing with Cincy…the money is great but the working conditions will be torturous when you go #1 to a repetitively bad NFL franchise.
I think the time is coming, it’s inevitable, that Baker wants out. I think the new regime would like to move on from him too. The question is – do they wait a year or not? If the Browns dump OBJ and Landry and save a ton of cap space…don’t be surprised if they make a shock trade with New England, with the Patriots moving on from Tom Brady because they acquired Baker Mayfield. And thus, a massive re-re-re-rebuild by the Ivy Leaguers in charge of the Browns is underway.
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