2020 June Faux/Computer Simulated NFL Season (AFC and NFC Divisional Round Playoff)
Every year for the past several years, myself and NFL Mock Draft expert (Huddle.com verified) Xavier Cromartie run an early summer computer simulation of the upcoming season and release the results daily over a week+ span. We show our season in three-game blocks at a time and go right up through the playoffs – showing team records/standings and adding a little quick commentary on each block of weeks and for every playoff game.
Obviously, injuries and trades, etc., will occur and blow all this up…but we run it just for fun and some guidance towards NFL over/under win total bets to consider…if there is a real divergence we’re seeing vs. the betting lines (what we might be really betting).
AFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS:
(#4) Buffalo at (#1) Baltimore
The Ravens win 77% of the simulations.
Baltimore is just too much for the Bills. Buffalo played them tough late in the 2019 season, back when the Ravens were killing everyone…Buffalo was driving for a shot to win with minutes remaining in their matchup last year, but the Ravens clamped down and held them off. The Ravens move on here…no 1st-Round upset special on them this season.
(#3) Houston at (#2) Kansas City
The Texans win 52% of the simulations.
A rematch of last season’s playoffs (KC wins)…a rematch of Week 1 of this 2020 season (which KC won in our sim). The third time is a charm…Houston wins here.
The computer takes seriously the ability/odds for any good team to beat another good team three times in a row…and has weighed how hard it is for teams to return trip to the Super Bowl in general. Houston finally gets over the hump here. The weather in KC takes Mahomes’s superpower back a tick and Houston is led by a heavy dose of DeShaun running the ball for the win.
NFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS:
(#6) Seattle at (#1) San Francisco
The Seahawks win 51% of the simulations.
The veteran experience of Russell Wilson on the road strikes again. This time a huge road win in a new-era big rivalry game. The power of Russell Wilson (and Seattle may be off Chris Carson by then and onto a fresh/rehabbed Rashaad Penny).
(#5) L.A. Rams at (#2) Philadelphia
Eagles win 58% of the simulations.
The Eagles are getting a lot of grace here. First, they draw the Saints round-one, forcing the Saints outdoors in Philly in January. Now, they take on another team that is finesse/doesn’t like the outdoors/road/cold either. The Eagles have grinded their way to the NFC Finals…and they are at home again for that game!!!
Tomorrow: the AFC and NFC Championship games
-- The 2020 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2020 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 500+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.
Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.
-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.
-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.
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