ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

SUBSCRIBE NOW >>
Get the app
App link only works on mobile.
Customer Service
"The scouting home for serious, high-stakes dynasty fantasy football profiteers
rss feed

2020 REWIND: 2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 13 – Packers 31, Giants 13

Date:
August 15, 2020 11:11 PM
August 19, 2020 9:30 AM

INTRO: Well, we got no preseason football to watch/analyze/hyperventilate over this year…so, my normal August ‘to-do list’ is blown to smithereens.

It feels weird to have teams going to training camps and for it to be August/preseason and there not to be my favorite kind of football to watch – the preseason, where we can see a lot of the new/rookie and lesser used players get to work and I get to go on a journey of discovery combing over the tape studying them. Fantasy Football 2020 is going to be a year of great college and pro scouting in years prior…and that should give me/FFM a huge advantage going into the redraft season and the NFL/FF season.

Still, we have no preseason football to watch/get hyped about. So, for a lack of football to watch this August…I had an idea to take snapshots of the 2019 season and publish certain of my recaps/game analyses from last season every day/every week of this preseason – to re-remember things we were thinking in at the various stages of 2019 season.

I randomly chose four weeks from the 2019 season to ‘replay’ (republish) every day/week up to the start of the season.

The schedule is planned to be…

Week of 8/3: Week 3 (every team would have had at least one home game, and no byes…trends developing).

Week of 8/10: Week 8 (midseason, only two teams on a bye)

Week of 8/17: Week 13 (most fantasy regular seasons ending, no bye week for any team)

Week of 8/24: Week 15 (the end of most fantasy seasons with the FF finals for most Week 16…also, NFL teams starting to change players/give younger players a chance if they were out of the playoffs, etc.)

Week of 9/1: The NFL playoffs from start to finish.

We’ll have plenty of other current fantasy/football content all August, but I wanted to have some semblance of ‘real football’ for us to read/re-remember/consider. 2-3 games per day I will publish as they were published for subscribers in 2019…and I’ll add some lite ‘updated’ 2020 commentary/hindsight as I see fit.

Enjoy a look back, a ‘skim’ of the 2019 NFL/FF season in August 2020…


===========================

2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 13 – Packers 31, Giants 13

 

I remembered this as Green Bay being dominant and killing the Giants, but it was only 17-13 GB going into the 4th-quarter. It was a hot Packers start and then a sloppy midsection of play from both teams...but understandable given the weather was getting tougher/snowier as the game wore on. 

The Packers scored to start the 4th quarter and Daniel Jones kept throwing picks and thus the Giants could not answer anything late as Green Bay kept adding to their lead. A clear Green Bay win but not a great/quality win — sloppy weather and a weak/quitting opponent helped. 

Green Bay goes to 9-3 and has a schedule to get them to 11-3 for a Week 16 showdown at likely 10-4 Minnesota. The Packers hold the edge today, but assuming they lose at the last true home field advantage, at Minnesota – then it’s going to come down to Week 17 outcomes and tiebreakers for the NFC North. The loser going to the wild card. The NFC North winner probably is not a #2 seed…unless Green Bay pulls the upset at Minnesota – then they have a shot at a #2 seed.

*2020 Comments: Pull the upset they did...and got the #2 seed.*

The Giants have lost eight in a row and have two things they are working towards: (1) Seeing if they can get into the #1 NFL Draft pick spot and (2) Firing and then finding a new coach their 3rd in the last 4 years. The Giants have slowly/quickly become about as bad a franchise as the N.Y. Jets.

*2020 Comments: The Giants botched getting the #1 pick BUT did fire Pat Shurmur and thus Joe Judge is their 3rd HC in the last four seasons.*

 

Fantasy Player Notes…

 

 -- Daniel Jones (20-37 for 240 yards, 1 TD/3 INT) played pretty poorly here…3 INTs and two of them were like ‘who are you throwing to, the other team?’ The final pick was just overthrown. Not good. He got hurt and will likely not play this week. Instead, you get sweet Eli for Week 14.

Eli is a worse Daniel Jones…because Eli can’t run. It will be ugly, I’d bet. No repeat of him coming off a benching last year and popping for a return game. At Philly, it might be pretty bad. I bet Eli thought he’d never take another hit in the NFL again. Now, he’s got to get back out there.

Eli in Week 14 will be like Ryan Fitzpatrick…nothing to prove or answer to, so just throw it up for grabs – but Fitz is much better at that. Eli could get picked if he ‘goes for it’ without a care…or he just does what he did earlier this season -- quick dump passes so he doesn’t get hit. Either way, probably not good.

Would the Giants take Joe Burrow if they got the #1 pick? I doubt it. I suspect the Giants will fire Pat Shurmur, but keep GM Dave Gettleman, who will hire like a Norv Turner type to work with the golden boy (D Jones)…and then Dan Dimes would be like the Ryan Tannehill run in Miami. Not terrible, but not good. Not bad enough to quit the QB, but not good enough to get anywhere. Just a shuffling of feet to nowhere for 2-3 more years.

 

 -- Allen Lazard (3-103-1/3) is the 2nd-best receiver on the Packers, right? You see it? You see what I’ve seen all year back to the preseason...and prior?

Lazard made a beautiful diving catch for 43 yards early in the game. Soon after he caught a 37-yard TD pass. And then he doesn’t see a target for like 20+ minutes. Then he makes a huge 20+ yard catch on 3rd & long…and then no more targets. He was open several times, but Aaron Rodgers is fixated on Davante Adams (6-64-2/10).

The fact that Lazard’s workload/targets aren’t growing…makes me concerned for this offense, and for Rodgers’s game this year. It’s been a very weak offense except when playing bottom of the barrel pass defenses…and Rodgers’ output follows that trend.

Lazard has star potential…but I'm worried he won’t fully get to it in this declining passing game.

 

 -- Kaden Smith (6-70-0/8) had another solid game, but Evan Engram is coming back. Hopefully, Engram gets the kinda work/targets Smith has gotten the last two weeks. But Engram also draws real coverage…and Smith kinda left alone a lot.

I’m not sure Engram really will be active this week, we’ll see. *2020 Comments: Engram never returned once it was discovered he had a mild Lisfranc.*

 

 -- I love the connection between Sterling Shepard (3-40-1/6) and Daniel Jones. We haven’t fully enjoyed it because Shepard has missed so much time. Now, here comes Eli…but Eli and Shepard are tight too.

Remember, Eli started the first two games, and Golden Tate was suspended then. Then Eli was benched. There hasn’t been much Eli-Tate time, not like the years of Eli-Shepard. So, I like Shepard with Eli Week 14.

 

 -- Saquon Barkley (19-83-0, 3-32-0/7) is now #13 in PPR PPG YTD and #16 in non-PPR…and getting worse as the season goes along. He did not live up to his #1 overall redraft pick status. But he’ll probably be top 3 ADP again next season.

The slam dunk, consensus #1 overall redraft pick is like a Madden curse…

 

 

Snap Counts of Interest:

 

38 = A Jones

27 = Jamaal W

 

51 = Adams

41 = Allison

36 = Lazard

17 = MVS

14 = Kumerow



******************************

 -- The 2020 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2020 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 500+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.

PLUS

Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.

-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

******************************

Tags:
Support us by shopping our affiliate links>>
Draft Kings

Daily fantasy sports for cash! Play FREE to win millions!

Fanatics

Sports Apparel, Jerseys and Fan Gear at Fanatics.com Sports Shop

FansEdge by Fanatics

Shop the Freshest Sports Apparel Styles from FansEdge

SportsMemorabilia.com

Shop for Authentic Autographed Collectibles at SportsMemorabilia.com

Steiner Sports

15% OFF Authentic Sports and Entertainment Signed Memorabilia!

StubHub

Best Selection of NFL Tickets on StubHub!

Amazon

Shop our Amazon affiliate link and save!

LeagueSafe

Collect League Dues...for FREE!

NFL Shop

NFLShop - The Official Online Shop of the NFL!

About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>