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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2020 REWIND: 2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 15 – Pats 34, Bengals 13

August 18, 2020 11:22 AM
August 24, 2020 9:30 AM

INTRO: Well, we got no preseason football to watch/analyze/hyperventilate over this year…so, my normal August ‘to-do list’ is blown to smithereens.

It feels weird to have teams going to training camps and for it to be August/preseason and there not to be my favorite kind of football to watch – the preseason, where we can see a lot of the new/rookie and lesser used players get to work and I get to go on a journey of discovery combing over the tape studying them. Fantasy Football 2020 is going to be a year of great college and pro scouting in years prior…and that should give me/FFM a huge advantage going into the redraft season and the NFL/FF season.

Still, we have no preseason football to watch/get hyped about. So, for a lack of football to watch this August…I had an idea to take snapshots of the 2019 season and publish certain of my recaps/game analyses from last season every day/every week of this preseason – to re-remember things we were thinking in at the various stages of 2019 season.

I randomly chose four weeks from the 2019 season to ‘replay’ (republish) every day/week up to the start of the season.

The schedule is planned to be…

Week of 8/3: Week 3 (every team would have had at least one home game, and no byes…trends developing).

Week of 8/10: Week 8 (midseason, only two teams on a bye)

Week of 8/17: Week 13 (most fantasy regular seasons ending, no bye week for any team)

Week of 8/24: Week 15 (the end of most fantasy seasons with the FF finals for most Week 16…also, NFL teams starting to change players/give younger players a chance if they were out of the playoffs, etc.)

Week of 9/1: The NFL playoffs from start to finish.

We’ll have plenty of other current fantasy/football content all August, but I wanted to have some semblance of ‘real football’ for us to read/re-remember/consider. 2-3 games per day I will publish as they were published for subscribers in 2019…and I’ll add some lite ‘updated’ 2020 commentary/hindsight as I see fit.

Enjoy a look back, a ‘skim’ of the 2019 NFL/FF season in August/Sept. 2020…


2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 15 – Pats 34, Bengals 13


The Patriots stormed right down the field to open the game with a quick 7-0 lead. I saw that watching it live and thought…’of course’. What I didn’t expect was for the Bengals to push their way down the field with their first drive , in response, and power run the ball all over the Patriots and immediately tie the score 7-7. Then I really didn’t expect the Bengals to be thwarting the Patriots on offense and Cincy moving the ball and taking a 10-7 lead with 2 minutes before the half.

But, because God is a Patriots fan, the Bengals were holding down the Patriots before half, forced them to punt with under two-minutes left and with enough time for Cincy to maybe get down and score before the half – and then the Bengals muffed the punt, set up the Patriots for an easy field goal to go into halftime with a disappointing, but fortuitous 10-10 tie.

The Andy Dalton pick festival began in the 2nd-half, and the Patriots pulled away and started playing backups to finish off a 34-13 victory. Looked like a blowout, but for the 1st-half the Bengals were pushing the Patriots around…they just started with the turnovers and killed themselves off.  

Cincy is now 1-13 and has a big game against Miami Week 16…lose the game, and they can lock down Joe Burrow (who, if I were him, I’d refuse to go there, but that’s a discussion for January). The Miami-Cincy game is a pick ‘em. I’ll project a Cincy loss and thus the #1 pick should be headed their way.

The Patriots are now 11-3 and face a huge game with 10-4 Buffalo. The Patriots need to win out to hold a #2 seed. If they lose to the Bills this week, everything comes unraveled…the Pats would lose the edge for the #2 seed, and Week 17 is still live for the AFC East title. Pats lose out and Bills win out…the Bills are the shocking AFC East champs and possible #2 seed!!!

*2020 Comments: Rule #1...the Patriots always win the AFC East!

Cincy did get the #1 pick, and I thought Burrow was going to try to force Cincy from not taking him...but the Bengals lucked out and got a franchise QB.*


Fantasy Player Notes…


 -- My biggest takeaway here...the Patriots are trying to push N’Keal Harry (2-15-1/4, 2-22-0). Somewhere between desperation and just needing to get him ready, and the Cincy game a scrimmage-like event, we saw more Harry here.

Two jet sweeps in this game.

Just 4 targets, only 2 catches but did connect for a TD, and did have a sweet 32-yard catch called back for an offsides.

Given Julian Edelman (2-9-0/5) is very banged up and hanging on by a thread to be able to play Week 16…the Pats need Harry-Sanu to pick it up. The problem with that for FF is…facing the Bills Week 16 is not a great opportunity to break out or shine.   


*FFM Schedule for the rest of week…

12/19 THU = Projections update around 9pmET (no TNF game this week)

12/20 FRI = Projections update around 8-9pmET planned

12/21 SAT = Projections update around noonET. No video Q&A (not enough news happening pre-1pm kickoff)

12/22 SUN = Video Q&A show as usual. Projections update 12:30pmET +/-


 -- My other big note here…Joe Mixon (25-136-03-20-0/3) had his way with the Patriots defense running the ball, especially early in the game when it mattered.

Mixon has looked so good running the ball the 2nd-half of the season, doing so on a bad team with a dreadful O-Line.

He faces the 2nd-worst run defense in the NFL Week 16 vs. Miami.

*2020 Comments: And Mixon played sick and had a terrible game...*


 -- Tyler Boyd (3-26-0/7) got locked down vs. Stephon Gilmore.

No catches in the 1st-half. Dalton tried to force it to him quickly to open the 2nd-half and Gilmore picked it. Next series, another force to Boyd…and Gilmore got a pick six.

Boyd is a very good, underrated WR and was fighting to the end, but Gilmore was better…and Dalton is no help. This week against Miami, Boyd should be good/great.

*2020 Comments: Boyd went 9-128-2/15...so, yeah, he was good-to-great the next week!*


 -- Andy Dalton (17-31 for 151 yards, 1 TD/4 INTs) has started three games since returning to the starting lineup…2 TDs/5 INTs…less than 58% Comp. Pct. – but only sacked 3 times in three games.


Andy Dalton is mailing it in.

He got benched…so, I’m sure he’s not 100% committed to this 1-3 rookie head coach. He is not returning to Cincy in 2020. He’ll never start again, after Week 16, on purpose, in the NFL. He’s made a ton of money. He can be cut in the offseason for $0 due/cap hit. He’s not likely going to go serve as a backup somewhere. He might be an emergency midseason guy for a contender that sustained an injury…but we are probably seeing the last NFL games of Dalton, and he doesn’t want to be touched/hit on the way out for this sad team so he’s just chucking quick and hoping it lands…and planning his retirement. Week 16 is probably his last NFL game.

*2020 Comments: Dallas gave him a $7M retirement gift for 2020...*



Snap Counts of Interest:


56 = Sanu

40 = Edelman

38 = N’Keal

09 = Dorsett

07 = Jakobi


44 = Mixon

22 = Gio


27 = Michel

25 = White

20 = Rex


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Our 2020 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

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-- Our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball subscriptions are still available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

*The FFM App is free on Apple and Android, and is the best way to get instant alerts to new content or breaking inside info hitting. Be sure to have ‘notifications’ enabled for the FFM app!!


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>