2020 REWIND: Our Preseason 2019 Overvalued Report Review (#4 Delanie Walker)
INTRO: In preparation for our 2020 Fantasy Football Draft Guide, I like to go back and look at the prior year’s reports and review/analyze what worked and what didn’t on our projections/predictions we gave before the season started. Two of my favorite reports in our draft guide package are the Undervalued and the Overvalued Reports.
Two reports identifying players that I and my computer models see as much more valuable (or not) compared to the public valuation (in ADP in actual rankings/drafts taking place). They are great reports to plan redrafts around or for making trades in Dynasty or Redraft leagues already drafted.
We list about 30+ names on each report each preseason, and they are ‘fluid’ all preseason/summer – as the market/ADPs are changing we update their over/undervalued rankings as needed and we’ll add/drop players as we go along. The first official 2020 reports with the top 20+ overvalued and undervalued commentary/our case and the data are the first reports made available when we open up the draft guide season (approx. June 1st).
All month of May, I’m working on the initial list of players and commentary for the initial 2020 group of over and undervalued – so, with the over/undervalued reports in mind, I want to highlight a player a day from each report from our 2019/last year’s end of preseason report…looking at the top 15 players from each report that we ended the preseason with and sharing the commentary/logic we had then, and adding new commentary for judging how good of a call (or not) it was a year later.
We’ll start with our #1 and work to #15, looking back at one of each per day, adding new commentary and keeping a running tally of ‘wins’ and ‘losses’ on the call…and also ‘neutral’ if we see where it would be unfair to take a win or loss on the situation. You can see if you agree with our assessments and what our record on such things might have been.
One player assessment and new commentary from the undervalued and one from the overvalued will be released every day starting May 17th to take us up to June 1st and the new Draft Guide season. Enjoy this look back in time to get ready for 2020!
The daily release of the Undervalued report review – will post every day (May 17-June 1) at 10amET.
The daily release of the Overvalued report review – will post every day (May 17-June 1) at 10pmET.
#4) TE Delanie Walker, Tennessee
2019 Commentary = I’m not sure how this guy is tracking as your ‘any old TE’ solution to fill your starting TE role for your fantasy roster. He gets drafted among the first 12 TEs in redraft quite a bit, but I have no idea how this is going to produce fruit for your fantasy team. Let me see – guy who is coming off a big injury, at 35+ years old, with an old school head coach and a new O-C, on one of the worst passing games in the league that just added Adam Humphries and drafted A.J. Brown, on a roster where Jonnu Smith is the better weapon (in 2019) – how’s this going to work to be a TE1? What’s the case for Delanie? Ridiculous. It’s not 2016 anymore.
2020 Ruling = Make it four out of four ‘wins’ on this review of our top 15…on the money the first four.
Sure, you might look at this today and go…”That was an easy call!” But was it? In August 2019, going into the season, Delanie was tracking as back-end TE1. One of those guys that people were like, “I don’t take tight ends highly in redraft, because you can get any ole’ one and be fine.” Well, how’d that work out with Delanie 2019? Not too good…
Delanie bolted out of the gates Week 1 (5-55-2) and I looked silly for that moment, He was actually good Weeks 1-3, but then faded off to sleep Weeks 4-6…and then got hurt…and then was done for the year. In the end, he wasn’t worth a preseason TE1 consideration at all.
2019 OVERVALUED PRESEASON REPORT TOP 15 (win-loss-neutral record):
#1) Ronald Jones (win) 1-0-0
#2) Kalen Ballage (win) 2-0-0
#3) T.J. Hockenson (win) 3-0-0
#4) Delanie Walker (win) 4-0-0
-- The 2020 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package will be available soon (June 1st target date) the 2020 player scoring projections, valuations/rankings, special reports, commentary on 500+ players, IDP rankings, etc. -- all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.
Our 2020 In-Season coverage (weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) will be available for pre-purchase with the Draft Guide launch, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins.
Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.
-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. Special Devy scouting/reports in the summer. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.
-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.
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