2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Divisional Playoffs
It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.
We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.
For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.
The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).
None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.
#5 Seattle (10-7) at #1 Washington (11-6)
Washington wins 61% of the simulations – Seattle had to go to Green Bay then to Washington in January back-to-back, too much to ask of the Seahawks. They fall to the NFC’s #1 seed.
#3 Tampa Bay (11-6) at #2 San Francisco (11-6)
Tampa Bay wins 54% of the simulations – Brady goes to the West Coast and steals another playoff win as a Buc. This sets up a rematch from last season’s 1st-round of the playoffs and a 2021 regular season game, where Wahsington won.
#5 L.A. Chargers (11-6) at #1 Kansas City (14-3)
Kansas City wins 81% of the simulations – KC is too much for the young Chargers…going to KC with them off a bye, and in the cold (Herbert has not had to deal with weather all season until now).
#3 Cleveland (10-7) at #2 Buffalo (13-4)
Buffalo wins 67% of the simulations – the inevitable showdown/rematch between last year’s AFC finalists is upon us. The Bills beat the Chiefs early in the regular season…
***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.
2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***
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