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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 1-3

Date:
June 10, 2021 9:15 AM
June 11, 2021 3:59 PM

2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 1-3

 

It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.

We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.

For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.

The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).

None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.

 

=====================================

 

 

 -- Three (3-0) teams to start, two will not surprise…the other will definitely surprise you.

KC and Buffalo begin undefeated, not a shock.

The shock: Denver starts out (3-0)…they are at NYG and then at JAX the first two weeks…that’s possible, no? Dan Jones and then early Trevor Lawrence for Vic Fangio…and then another rookie QB in Zach Wilson Week 3. It came out (3-0), but (1-2) was very close to happening. Shaky ground for Denver, but here they are undefeated.

This is assuming Teddy Bridgewater is the starter – if somehow Drew Lock wins this job, then this Broncos projection goes in a whole different direction.

 

 -- The (0-3) teams will not surprise you…

Miami, NY Jets, Detroit, Houston, and Chicago.

 

 -- Other notes of interest out of the gates…

Carolina begins (2-1) on a favorable schedule.

Cincinnati begins (2-1) and tied for the AFC North lead.

Three (2-1) teams start out co-leading in the AFC North (BAL odd team out at 1-2) and three (2-1) teams co-lead the NFC West (SEA the odd team out at 1-2).

 

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***


AFC East W L PCT

BUF … 3 - 0 = 1.000

NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIA … 0 - 3 = 0.000

NYJ … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC North W L PCT

PIT … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CLE … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

BAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC South W L PCT

IND … 2 - 1 = 0.667

TEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

JAC … 1 - 2 = 0.333

HOU … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC West W L PCT

KC …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

DEN … 3 - 0 = 1.000

LV … 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAC … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC East W L PCT

WAS … 2 - 1 = 0.667

PHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

NYG … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC North W L PCT

GB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

CHI … 0 - 3 = 0.000

DET … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

NFC South W L PCT

NO …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

TB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

CAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667

ATL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC West W L PCT

SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667

SEA … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>