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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 16-18

Date:
June 10, 2021 2:30 PM
June 16, 2021 3:59 PM

2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 16-18

 

It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.

We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.

For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.

The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).

None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.

 

=====================================

 

 -- Buffalo (13-4) long ago won the AFC East. No other team in the division finished with a winning record.

 -- Cleveland (10-7) squeaks out the AFC North…a game Bengals (8-9) was in the playoff mix down the stretch and then faltered to the finish line.

 -- The Colts (10-7) hold off the Titans (9-8) for the AFC South title.

 -- Three 10+ win teams out of the AFC West…all making the playoffs. KC (14-3), LAC (11-6) with Coach of the Year Brandon Staley. DEN (10-7) is into the playoffs for the first time under Vic Fangio.

 -- Washington (11-6) wins the NFC East, again.

 -- Green Bay (11-6) closes out the season with three straight wins and the NFC North title.

 -- Tampa Bay (11-6) muddles to the NFC South title…a somewhat disappointing 11-win season.

 -- The 49ers (11-6) tailed off late but still win the NFC West over Seattle (10-7).

 -- Four NFC Wild Card contenders for the final two playoff spot: DAL, MIN, NO, LAR

 -- Three AFC Wild Card teams for the final playoff spot: BAL, PIT, TEN

See what teams got into the playoffs and their seeding in tomorrows Round-One of the NFL Wild Card playoffs!

 -- The #1 pick in the draft…Houston (3-14) over Detroit (3-14).

 

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***

 


AFC East W L PCT

BUF … 13 - 4 = 0.765

NE …. 8 - 9 = 0.471

MIA … 6 - 11 = 0.353

NYJ … 6 - 11 = 0.353

===============

AFC North W L PCT

CLE … 10 - 7 = 0.588

BAL … 9 - 8 = 0.529

PIT … 9 - 8 = 0.529

CIN … 8 - 9 = 0.471

===============

AFC South W L PCT

IND … 10 - 7 = 0.588

TEN … 9 - 8 = 0.529

JAC … 6 - 11 = 0.353

HOU … 3 - 14 = 0.176

===============

AFC West W L PCT

KC …. 14 - 3 = 0.824

LAC … 11 - 6 = 0.647

DEN … 10 - 7 = 0.588

LV … 7 - 10 = 0.412

===============

NFC East W L PCT

WAS … 11 - 6 = 0.647

DAL … 9 - 8 = 0.529

PHI … 8 - 9 = 0.471

NYG … 6 - 11 = 0.353

===============

NFC North W L PCT

GB …. 11 - 6 = 0.647

MIN … 9 - 8 = 0.529

CHI … 6 - 11 = 0.353

DET … 3 - 14 = 0.176

===============

NFC South W L PCT

TB …. 11 - 6 = 0.647

NO …. 9 - 8 = 0.529

ATL … 6 - 11 = 0.353

CAR … 6 - 11 = 0.353

===============

NFC West W L PCT

SF …. 11 - 6 = 0.647

SEA … 10 - 7 = 0.588

LAR … 9 - 8 = 0.529

ARI … 8 - 9 = 0.471

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>