2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Super Bowl/Faux
It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.
We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.
For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.
The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).
None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.
SUPER FAUX LVI
A1 Cleveland Browns (15-4) v N1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (15-4)
Neither team is particularly weak in any area. The Bucs are bringing back the same team that dominated the Chiefs in the previous Super Bowl. The Browns, who were already very good, have made significant upgrades. In addition to getting Odell Beckham back from injury, the defense has fresh faces, particularly in the secondary. It looks like it will be very difficult to throw against the Browns. On offense, they still have an elite offensive line making way for a pair of excellent RBs. And the offense is lead by a QB who was the #1 overall pick, is now in his fourth season, and finally has a stable coaching situation. Thus, the Browns can theoretically win it all.
Cleveland Browns 23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21
***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.
2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***
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