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2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 1-3

Date:
June 8, 2021 7:32 PM
June 11, 2021 8:59 AM

2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 1-3

 

It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.

We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.

For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.

The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).

None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.

 

=====================================

 

Weeks 1-3:

-In this simulation, Aaron Rodgers plays for the Packers, but Deshaun Watson doesn't play for anyone.

-The first 3 weeks are not very informative because the number of home games and difficult opponents has excessive influence on the results.

-But if teams start 3-0 or 0-3, that's probably a sign of how their seasons are going to go.

-Unusual results: KC is 1-2 because their schedule is CLE (L), @BAL (L), LAC (W). LAR is 1-2 because their schedule is CHI (W), @IND (L), TB (L).

 

 

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***

AFC-E W L .PCT

BUF … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

NYJ … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIA … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===========================

AFC-N W L .PCT

CLE … 3 - 0 = 1.000

BAL … 3 - 0 = 1.000

PIT … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===========================

AFC-S W L .PCT

IND … 2 - 1 = 0.667

TEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

JAX … 2 - 1 = 0.667

HOU … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===========================

AFC-W W L .PCT

KC …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

LAC … 1 - 2 = 0.333

DEN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

LV …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

===========================

NFC-E W L .PCT

WAS … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

NYG … 1 - 2 = 0.333

PHI … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===========================

NFC-N W L .PCT

GB …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

MIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

DET … 0 - 3 = 0.000

CHI … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===========================

NFC-S W L .PCT

TB …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

ATL … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NO …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===========================

NFC-W W L .PCT

SEA …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>