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2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 10-12

Date:
June 8, 2021 8:56 PM
June 14, 2021 8:59 AM

2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 10-12

 

It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.

We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.

For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.

The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).

None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.

 

=====================================

 

Weeks 10-12:

 

-Suddenly the Cleveland Browns are the first and only team with 10 wins. It's partially because they haven't had a bye, but they are legit.

 

-The Saints appear to be underperforming. It's not as easy to win when they have to go the whole season without Drew Brees.

 

-As usual, the Chargers are finding ways to lose, even though they should be better. The Broncos are overperforming because they have the top defense.

 

-Many divisions remain tight. The next three weeks should allow the real contenders to emerge.

 

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***

 



AFC-E … W - L = .PCT

NE …. 8 - 4 = 0.667

BUF … 7 - 4 = 0.636

MIA … 7 - 5 = 0.583

NYJ … 5 - 6 = 0.455

===========================

AFC-N … W - L = .PCT

CLE … 10 - 2 = 0.833

BAL … 7 - 4 = 0.636

CIN … 6 - 5 = 0.545

PIT … 6 - 5 = 0.545

===========================

AFC-S … W - L = .PCT

IND … 6 - 6 = 0.500

TEN … 6 - 6 = 0.500

JAX … 5 - 6 = 0.455

HOU … 2 - 9 = 0.111

===========================

AFC-W … W - L = .PCT

KC …. 7 - 4 = 0.636

DEN … 7 - 4 = 0.636

LV …. 5 - 6 = 0.455

LAC … 4 - 7 = 0.364

===========================

NFC-E … W - L = .PCT

DAL … 5 - 6 = 0.455

NYG … 5 - 6 = 0.455

WAS … 4 - 7 = 0.364

PHI … 3 - 9 = 0.250

===========================

NFC-N … W - L = .PCT

GB …. 8 - 4 = 0.667

MIN … 6 - 5 = 0.545

CHI … 4 - 7 = 0.364

DET … 2 - 9 = 0.182

===========================  

NFC-S … W - L = .PCT

TB …. 9 - 2 = 0.818

NO …. 5 - 6 = 0.455

ATL … 4 - 7 = 0.364

CAR … 3 - 9 = 0.250

===========================

NFC-W … W - L = .PCT

SEA … 7 - 4 = 0.636

LAR … 6 - 5 = 0.545

SF …. 6 - 5 = 0.545

ARI … 5 - 6 = 0.455

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>