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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 16-18

Date:
June 8, 2021 9:12 PM
June 16, 2021 8:59 AM

2021 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Xavier Cromartie *Weeks 16-18

 

It’s Faux season! The time of the year where we run an early computer simulation for the upcoming season…generating all the records for the regular season, playing through the playoffs, and declaring a Super Bowl winner.

We do the Faux season for fun but mostly to start to try to identify NFL over/under win total bets we can capitalize on for the upcoming season. It starts with projecting the season.

For the past few years, it’s been R.C./the FFM Computer model and top NFL Mock Draft Guru/Football Analyst Xavier Cromartie running their Faux seasons and presenting for comparing and contrasting. We’ve expanded the Faux seasons to get more input. This year, we also have Bet The Close podcast’s handicapping guru Chris Bilello running his Faux season and FFM/CFM football scout Ross Jacobs running his projected 2021 season.

The series will run for 11 straight days – three-week snapshots at a time, then the playoffs, up through the Super Bowl. The four analyst’s series will post at the same time each day -- 9amET (Xavier), 12pm ET (Chris), 4pm ET (RC), 8pm ET (Ross).

None of us knows who projected what – the individual results were submitted, and we are all finding out who projected what as the series unfolds. We’ll see what consensus or running themes unfold. This is Faux 1.0…based on what we all know early June 2021.

 

=====================================

 

Weeks 16-18:

 

-These projections see the five worst teams as CAR, HOU, CHI, DET, and PHI. CHI has a rookie QB, and the other four may be in the QB market next draft.

 

-The Vikings didn't have much trouble with their schedule, but they are a worthy wild card team because of their offense.

 

-The Dolphins miss out because Tua doesn't show enough improvement. The Saints are still ok but below the Cardinals and Rams.

 

-If the Broncos had Aaron Rodgers, they would probably win the Super Bowl. Without a real QB, they miss the playoffs.

 

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***


AFC-E … W - L = .PCT

y-BUF … 12 - 5 = 0.706

x-NE … 10 - 7 = 0.588

MIA … 9 - 8 = 0.529

NYJ … 7 - 10 = 0.412

=============================

AFC-N … W - L = .PCT

z-CLE … 13 - 4 = 0.765

x-BAL … 12 - 5 = 0.706

x-CIN … 10 - 7 = 0.588

PIT … 8 - 9 = 0.471

=============================

AFC-S … W - L = .PCT

y-TEN … 10 - 7 = 0.588

JAX … 8 - 9 = 0.471

IND … 8 - 9 = 0.471

HOU … 4 - 13 = 0.235

=============================

AFC-W … W - L = .PCT

y-KC … 12 - 5 = 0.706

LAC … 9 - 8 = 0.529

DEN … 8 - 9 = 0.471

LV …. 6 - 11 = 0.353

=============================

NFC-E … W - L = .PCT

y-DAL … 9 - 8 = 0.529

WAS … 8 - 9 = 0.471

NYG … 6 - 11 = 0.353

PHI … 4 - 13 = 0.235

=============================

NFC-N … W - L = .PCT

y-GB … 12 - 5 = 0.706

x-MIN … 10 - 7 = 0.588

CHI … 4 - 13 = 0.235

DET … 3 - 14 = 0.176

=============================  

NFC-S … W - L = .PCT

z-TB … 13 - 4 = 0.765

NO …. 9 - 8 = 0.529

ATL … 7 - 10 = 0.412

CAR … 4 - 13 = 0.235

=============================

NFC-W … W - L = .PCT

y-SEA … 12 - 5 = 0.706

x-ARI … 9 - 8 = 0.529

x-LAR … 9 - 8 = 0.529

SF …. 8 - 9 = 0.471


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>