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2021 FAUX 2.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 13-15

Date:
July 24, 2021 10:34 AM
July 24, 2021 12:01 PM

2021 FAUX 2.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by FFM *Weeks 13-15

 

(Same intro everyday) Faux 1.0 Computer Simulated Season ran in June and since that publishing, I have done more study of the offseason moves and had more conversations and adjusted projections and O-Line play, etc. etc. So, I’m running my July simulation Faux 2.0.

Just mine (RC), not one else’s – just ran it again to see where things seemed to be falling and what changes would occur. So, for the next 10+ days (starting 7/19) I’ll publish the usual 3 weeks at a time and then the playoff simulations.

Faux 3.0 (final) will be in August/September after we get a view of the preseason. For now, here’s The Computer’s take on things as of July…


 -- The Kansas City Chiefs (12-2) have taken back control of the #1 record in the NFL, away from the Bills (11-3).

KC is about to lock up the AFC West…a 2-game lead over Denver (10-4) with 3 games to go.

The Bills already locked up the AFC East with a 5-game lead over 2nd place NYJ.

 

 -- Best record in the NFC? Tampa Bay (10-4)…a game ahead of Seattle (9-5).

Tampa Bay is 3 games up on the Saints (3-3) for the AFC South title.

Seattle has the 2nd best record in the NFC, but only leads the NFC West by a game over the other three teams, who are all (8-6) It’s still possible for any NFC West team to be the #1 seed in the NFC, mathematically…or miss the playoffs.

 

 -- The Texans (2-12) are in clear control of the #1 pick with NE, DET, CAR, ATL all sitting at (4-10) as the contenders for that spot.

 

 -- The Browns (9-5) have pulled even with the Ravens (9-5) for the AFC North lead.

 

 -- The Colts (9-5) are on the verge of the AFC South title over (7-7) Tennessee.

 

 -- Washington (8-6) has the NFC East over (7-7) Dallas right now.

 

 -- Green Bay (8-6) is sagging, and Minnesota (7-7) is charging in the NFC North.

 

 

Biggest changes from Faux 2.0 vs. Faux 1.0 through 15 weeks…

 

+2 wins = TB

+2 wins = BAL

 

-2 wins = NE

-2 wins = CAR

-2 wins = SF


**************************

 

***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***

 

*************************


AFC East W L PCT

BUF … 11 - 3 = 0.786

NYJ … 6 - 8 = 0.429

MIA … 5 - 9 = 0.357

NE …. 4 - 10 = 0.286

===============

AFC North W L PCT

CLE … 9 - 5 = 0.643

BAL … 9 - 5 = 0.643

PIT … 7 - 7 = 0.500

CIN … 6 - 8 = 0.429

===============

AFC South W L PCT

IND … 9 - 5 = 0.643

TEN … 7 - 7 = 0.500

JAC … 5 - 9 = 0.357

HOU … 2 - 12 = 0.143

===============

AFC West W L PCT

KC …. 12 - 2 = 0.857

DEN … 10 - 4 = 0.714

LAC … 8 - 6 = 0.571

LV … 6 - 8 = 0.429

===============

NFC East W L PCT

WAS … 8 - 6 = 0.571

DAL … 7 - 7 = 0.500

PHI … 6 - 8 = 0.429

NYG … 5 - 9 = 0.357

===============

NFC North W L PCT

GB …. 8 - 6 = 0.571

MIN … 7 - 7 = 0.500

CHI … 5 - 9 = 0.357

DET … 4 - 10 = 0.286

===============

NFC South W L PCT

TB …. 10 - 4 = 0.714

NO …. 7 - 7 = 0.500

CAR … 4 - 10 = 0.286

ATL … 4 - 10 = 0.286

===============

NFC West W L PCT

SEA … 9 - 5 = 0.643

SF …. 8 - 6 = 0.571

LAR … 8 - 6 = 0.571

ARI … 8 - 6 = 0.571

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>