Last week/Week 1’s results…
Blazing Five/top 5 picks: 3-2 (60.0%)
Best Bet: 1-0 (100%)
Survivor Pool: Win (LAR)
Overall ATS: 8-8 (50.0%)
No spread picks: 10-6 (62.5%)
This week’s picks (will update as injury news hits or a big spread change):
*In order of most confidence/biggest spread differential for us.
DET at GB (-11.0)
The Computer says…GB by 17.0 (a 6.0 spread differential)
I think the Packers are going to go ape on the Lions here.
*SURVIVOR PICK* The schedule for GB doesn’t get easy ahead…it’s actually terrible. So, I’ll take the layup here to keep surviving.
BUF (-3.5) at MIA
The Computer says…BUF by 9.0 (a 5.5 spread differential)
A reversal of fortune from Week 1 for Buffalo, in a must-win game oddly.
NO (-3.5) at CAR
The Computer says…CAR by 1.7 (a 5.2 spread differential)
The Saints come back to earth and Carolina can win outright, or at least cover.
SF (-3.0) at PHI
The Computer says…PHI by 2.2 (a 5.2 spread differential)
The Eagles are the better team overall, with just as-good or better O-Line, and a much better QB. Love this bet with Philly at home over dysfunctional SF.
TEN at SEA (-5.5)
The Computer says…SEA by 0.3 (a 5.2 spread differential)
Tennessee is getting punished for losing bad to ARI by the public, but that’s not the ding it should be. I like a cover here by the dog.
ATL at TB (-12.5)
The Computer says…TB by 8.5 (a 4.0 spread differential)
Another game where the team that was humiliated prior week rises up and puts on a better performance.
CIN at CHI (-2.5)
The Computer says…CIN by 1.3 (a 3.8 spread differential)
The Bengals aren’t great, but just like last week – they are as-good or better than their opponents at every spot on the field here, so why not just take the points?
DAL at LAC (-3.5)
The Computer says…LAC by 0.2 (a 3.3 spread differential)
Dallas is a decent team with a good+ QB…it’s a lot of points to lay to a good QB with 10 days off up to this game.
NYG at WSH (-3.5)
The Computer says…WSH by 6.5 (a 3.0 spread differential)
The defense of Washington should be the difference in a battle of weak QBs, poor O-Lines, and good defenses…WSH has a slightly better QB and O-Line and a higher end defense.
MIN at ARI (-3.5)
The Computer says…ARI by 6.1 (a 2.6 spread differential)
Arizona is becoming a top team and wins/cover here against a dying Vikings team.
DEN (-6.0) at JAX
The Computer says…DEN by 4.2 (a 1.8 spread differential)
Too many points for a team travelling to the heat/humidity. The Jags might keep this close. I can’t bet on it, but after a humiliation the prior week teams tend to play better the next week.
HOU at CLE (-12.5)
The Computer says…CLE by 14.2 (a 1.7 spread differential)
Houston is getting by with some love for winning Week 1…they will get smashed here.
LV at PIT (-5.5)
The Computer says…PIT by 6.5 (a 1.0 spread differential)
It’s a lot of points to give Vegas, but they are coming off an emotional MNF game. I wouldn’t touch this either way.
LAR (-3.5) at IND
The Computer says…LAR by 2.8 (a 0.7 spread differential)
The home field and the public too hyped on the Rams for beating the Bears on SNF…take the points.
*Many injuries for Indy by THU night, if they all go inactive...the Colts will get killed and we're with LAR then.
KC (-3.5) at BAL *Change due to Ronnie Stanley and other BAL injuries*
The Computer says…KC by 3.9 (a 0.4 spread differential)
Baltimore at home plays better/desperate and at least covers with a heavy run game.
NE (-5.5) at NYJ
The Computer says…NE by 5.3 (a 0.2 spread differential)
*UPDATE* Let's take the points with the radical Zach Wilson...just a pick, not a real bet.
The Jets O-Line is so corrupt and their defense so nonexistent…play it safe with NE.
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