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2021 Offseason Personnel Moves Tournament – NFC West

Date:
July 13, 2021 12:10 PM
July 13, 2021 12:09 PM

2021 Offseason Personnel Moves Tournament – NFC West

 

(Same intro everyday) We’re going to have a daily series (11 days) taking a look at the offseason moves for all the NFL teams – looking at the key adds and losses in personnel this offseason 2021 (whether free agent, draft, or trade).

I like to list out the key adds next to the key losses and just look at the lists for each team and see what their thinking was and if all the maneuvering made them better…or worse…or A LOT better…or A LOT worse – to help me digest the offseason impact to Fantasy performance and to over/under win total handicapping. So, we’re doing that with this series and having some fun with our research…pitting the teams in a tournament style format and evaluating who had the better offseason moves…with the winner advancing on until we have just one winning team of ‘best offseason’.

This season, we're looking at free agency and trades PLUS key draft picks (according to CFM/us)…and it’s not just me (RC) making the call on ‘who wins’ – a three person committee will vote (and provide commentary to their vote) and the majority vote winner moves on. RC + FFM analyst Ross Jacobs + The Computer (an RC program designed to try to evaluate the moves by talent and positional importance, etc.) – I (RC) pick my winner before I see what The Computer thinks, for fairness. RC and Ross make their choices without knowing what the other picked as well.

We’ll look at a division a day and declare a divisional winner, then the AFC and NFC finals and then a Final 2/Super Bowl to declare an overall offseason 2021 winner.

Here we go…

 

Seahawks v. 49ers

 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Key Personnel Adds: G Gabe Jackson (trade), DE Kerry Hyder (FA), TE Gerald Everett (FA), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (FA), WR D'Wayne Eskridge

Key Personnel Losses: CB Shaq Griffin (FA), TE Jacob Hollister (FA), RB Carlos Hyde (FA), WR David Moore (FA), DT Jarran Reed (FA), CB Quinton Dunbar (FA)

 

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Key Personnel Adds: C Alex Mack (FA), LB Samson Ebukam (FA), QB Trey Lance (draft), RB Trey Sermon (draft)

Key Personnel Losses: DE Kerry Hyder (FA), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (FA), RB Tevin Coleman (FA), WR Kendrick Bourne (FA), DT Solomon Thomas (FA)

 

RC: Seattle brought some ‘OK’ players in, but then lost just as many good/useful players. The 49ers didn’t get radically better for 2021 with their adds but didn’t lose too much key either. Trey Lance is likely not going to be a huge help this season.

I should just let the team (SF) that lost Kerry Hyder to the other team here lose, and the one who inked him (smartly) win (SEA)…but I gotta lean 49ers for the hopes that Trey Lance, a player at the most key position, pulls through. WINNER = 49ers

 

ROSS: Do I have to pick a winner between these two? Seattle picked up a couple of the players SF let walk, but neither were very impactful players. Their most interesting acquisition was Eskridge from the draft, but this team did not need another receiver.

I guess the 49'ers win by default. They resigned all their important players, and they did add a couple of role players in Mack and Ebukam. Their off-season really depends on the development of one player though, Trey Lance. How Lance goes is how SF goes. WINNER = 49ers

 

THE COMPUTER: Winner = Seahawks 52%/48%

 

The 49ers advance (2-1) to the NFC West finals.

 

-----------------------------------------------------

 

Rams v. Cardinals

 

LOS ANGELES RAMS

Key Personnel Adds: QB Matt Stafford (trade), DeSean Jackson (FA), WR Tutu Atwell (draft), TE Jacob Harris (draft)

Key Personnel Losses: QB Jared Goff (traded), S John Johnson (FA), CB Troy Hill (FA), DE Morgan Fox (FA), LB Samson Ebukam (FA), TE Gerald Everett (FA), RB Malcolm Brown (FA), C Austin Blythe (FA), WR Josh Reynolds (FA)

 

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Key Personnel Adds: DE J.J. Watt (FA), WR A.J. Green (FA), C Rodney Hudson (trade), CB Malcolm Butler (FA), WR Rondale Moore (draft), ILB Zaven Collins (draft)

Key Personnel Losses: CB Patrick Peterson (FA), RB Kenyan Drake (FA), WR Larry Fitzgerald (retired?), TE Dan Arnold (FA), OLB Haason Reddick (FA)

 

RC: The Rams are a not-good-enough team from 2020 who didn’t get better at QB and lost two key DBs and a key DL (Fox) and quality depth at RB, WR, and maybe at TE. The Rams were stripped of depth because they are overspent on stars and to replace the lost talent they acquired a couple of tiny, injuries-waiting-to-happen WRs. How is this team better in 2021?

Arizona did improve, even though I do not understand their plan. Watt and Green can’t hurt. Hudson might have one more year left in the tank, maybe. Rondale Moore is going to be good. Easy choice here. WINNER = Cardinals.

ROSS: I don't even need to discuss Arizona to tell you that the Rams lose automatically. They let a ton of good players walk because they sold out thinking Stafford is going to solve all their problems. I suppose it's possible that Stafford is significantly better than Goff, although I highly doubt it, but you can't lose this many starters and not feel the impact. I think this team is in for a rude awakening this year when Stafford, Aaron Donald, and Jalen Ramsey can't carry the team by themselves. Oh, and tiny little Tutu Atwell isn't changing this offense either.

The Cardinals move on, but mostly just because the competition was so bad. They brought in a lot of names, but every one of these veterans is past their prime. Watt is the best, but he's no longer the MVP level guy from a few years ago. For every player they brought in they lost another at the same position that's just about as good. The draft did bring Rondale Moore, but this team needed receivers like I need a hole in my head. WINNER = Cardinals

 

THE COMPUTER: Winner = Arizona 93%/7%

 

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***The 2021 FFM Draft Guide Package is now available – see the FFM homepage for more information, including Combo deals with the In-Season Package and Dynasty Stash reporting.

2021 College Football Metrics subscriptions are still available – all the NFL Draft/rookie prospect scouting reports, Dynasty Rookie Draft (weekly top 350) coverage and analysis PLUS our annual Devy scouting report/rankings summer series begins in July.***

 

*************************

 

--NFC WEST FINALS—

 

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Key Personnel Adds: DE J.J. Watt (FA), WR A.J. Green (FA), C Rodney Hudson (trade), CB Malcolm Butler (FA), WR Rondale Moore (draft), ILB Zaven Collins (draft)

Key Personnel Losses: CB Patrick Peterson (FA), RB Kenyan Drake (FA), WR Larry Fitzgerald (retired?), TE Dan Arnold (FA), OLB Haason Reddick (FA)

 

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Key Personnel Adds: C Alex Mack (FA), LB Samson Ebukam (FA), QB Trey Lance (draft), RB Trey Sermon (draft)

Key Personnel Losses: DE Kerry Hyder (FA), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (FA), RB Tevin Coleman (FA), WR Kendrick Bourne (FA), DT Solomon Thomas (FA)

 

 

RC: If Trey Lance hits…then this is a big SF win. If Lance wobbles around or is a backup year one…then for just a 2021 judgement, the 49ers didn’t get better at all.

If Arizona squeezes a good year out of J.J. Watt and Rodney Hudson, then they actually are on pace to have a sensational offseason. And I love Rondale Moore. I like the hope of what Arizona is doing, but I worry they are a year too late. But, using a 2021 mindset…I have to take the Arizona asset side over the 49ers one. WINNER = Cardinals

 

ROSS: I don't love either of these. Arizona went after a bunch of old names although a couple of them do still have something to contribute. The 49'ers brought back all their important players and even added a couple of role players. Arizona probably wins slightly with free agents since Hudson and Butler are small upgrades over those positions in 2020, and JJ Watt is still playing at a good level (although probably not vastly better than Haason Reddick at this point).

It mostly comes down to the draft for me, and again I don't love either team's picks. Arizona grabbed my favorite wideout from the 2021 class, but they didn't need another one. They also chose a very overrated Zaven Collins in the first round after letting De'Vondre Campbell walk to the Packers for $2 million after Campbell was a huge part of improving their defense last year. The 49ers brought in Trey Sermon, but an RB isn't factoring into this a lot. The key to their draft is Trey Lance, and it's hard to predict how that might go. He has a ton of upside, but I'm skeptical that he's going to work long term and for that reason I'm reluctantly taking the Cardinals here. WINNER = Cardinals

 

THE COMPUTER: Winner = 49ers 52%/48%

 

The Arizona Cardinals advance (2-1) to the NFC Final Four.


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>