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2022 Week 3 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick

September 22, 2022 10:48 AM
September 22, 2022 10:44 AM

2022 Week 3 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick


A very solid Week 1, followed by a nice Week 2. So far, so good…so I’m not changing a lot of my approach at this point. And I like this week’s opportunities best of the first 3 weeks…but that’s probably a kiss of death.

Tough, tough week for Survivor pool options since I already used Buffalo. I’m going with the Chargers at this point…but I’m not sure Herbert is going to play, but I still believe LAC can beat JAX without him -- and the other options to me are all ‘upset alerts’, like KC and PHI.



Week 2 results…


All picks straight up: 10-6

ATS: 10-6

Best Bet: 1-0

Blazing Five (no TNF): 3-2

Calling a dog for an outright win: 0-1


Chris ATS: 10-6

Ross ATS: 8-8

Chris Best Bet: 2-0

Ross Best Bet: 0-1


When All 3 analysts agree: 4-2

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 1-2, for me


FFM Survivor: BUF(W)

Chris Survivor: GB(W)

Ross Survivor: X


All Underdogs ATS = 8-8




YTD results…


All picks straight up: 19-12-1

ATS: 19-13 (59.4%)

Best Bet: 2-0

Blazing Five (no TNF): 8-2

Calling a dog for an outright win: 1-1


Chris ATS: 22-10 (maybe you should listen to the expert!)

Ross ATS: 12-20

Chris Best Bet: 2-0

Ross Best Bet: 0-1


When All 3 analysts agree: 7-6

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 1-3, for me


FFM Survivor: BAL(W), BUF(W)

Chris Survivor: BAL(W), GB (W)

Ross Survivor: DEN(L)


All Underdogs ATS = 17-15




Week 3 Picks….


BUF (-5.5) at MIA

The Computer says: BUF by 10.7 (a 5.2 spread differential)

I will take the Bills every week of the season the line is under -14.0.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  MIA

Ross Jacobs: BUF   *SURVIVOR PICK*



DAL at NYG (-1.0)

The Computer says: DAL by 6.0 (a 5.0 spread differential)

I think the Giants giant charade comes to a violent end as they get whacked by the Cowboys, led by the very good Dallas D.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  DAL

Ross Jacobs: DAL *BEST BET*



GB at TB (-1.0)

The Computer says: GB by 2.7 (a 3.7 spread differential)

I love the Packers here. The Bucs’ offense has been wrecked by injury and Brady looks out of sorts. If GB gets Jenkins-Bakhtiari back – then this is gold, and the Pack is about to launch to a next level as a team.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  GB

Ross Jacobs: TB




The Computer says: ARI by 0.1 (a 3.6 spread differential)

The Rams are not in good shape coming into this game …a ton of injuries on the O-Line, and they lost a starting CB to injury as well. Arizona comes in off an inspiring/miraculous win and now hosts the Rams for 1st-place in the NFC West.

I think the Rams are battered and soft, and Arizona is starting to look gritty on defense again. I think the Rams might walk into a buzzsaw here.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  LAR

Ross Jacobs: ARI



DET at MIN (-6.0)

The Computer says: MIN by 2.8 (a 3.2 spread differential)

Detroit is too good a team to be getting six points, even to a good Vikings team playing with their extreme home field advantage.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  MIN

Ross Jacobs: MIN



ATL at SEA (-2.0)

The Computer says: ATL by 0.9 (a 2.9 spread differential)

Two bad teams, I’ll take the one getting points just because.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  ATL

Ross Jacobs: ATL



HOU at CHI (-2.5)

The Computer says: CHI by 0.4 (a 2.1 spread differential)

I’m not sure why such love for the Bears/Fields still, and such hate for the Texans. Houston isn’t bad…and the Bears are plucky on defense but are no great favorite. So, I’ll just take the points.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  HOU

Ross Jacobs: HOU



JAX at LAC (-7.0)

The Computer says: LAC by 8.5 (a 1.5 spread differential)

If Justin Herbert were 100%...this is an easy double-digit win for LAC. But the thought of Herbert getting hit and coming out of the game scares me to death…but there’s not much else I have confidence in for a Survivor Pool pick.



Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  LAC

Ross Jacobs: LAC



PIT at CLE (-4.5)

The Computer says: CLE by 3.3 (a 1.2 spread differential)

The Browns could be down two key OLs this week (or get them both back and make this a real coin toss). The Browns have been bad on defense and offense…except for Nick Chubb. The Steelers have been bad on offense but showing sparks on defense. This is a rivalry war, so play it close…take the healthy amount of points.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  CLE

Ross Jacobs: CLE



BAL (-3.0) at NE

The Computer says: BAL by 1.8 (a 1.2 spread differential)

Another rivalry game that could be close just by its nature. I don’t think the Ravens are as good as the Lamar highlight reel play loving media does, nor do I think the Pats are as bad as they say. So, take the points…plus, the Ravens have a bunch of injuries to deal with.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  BAL

Ross Jacobs: NE



PHI (-6.5) at WSH

The Computer says: PHI by 5.4 (a 1.1 spread differential)

The Wentz revenge game! Maybe. I just think the public will be too high on Philly and is too down on Washington…and it’s a lot of points to the home team.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  WSH

Ross Jacobs: PHI



LV (-2.0) at TEN

The Computer says: LV by 2.8 (a 0.8 spread differential)

I think the Raiders are a playoff team and are just better than the Titans…and the Titans have a ton of injuries they’re dealing with and are coming off a short week/MNF beatdown.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  TEN

Ross Jacobs: LV



KC (-6.5) at IND

The Computer says: KC by 5.8 (a 0.7 spread differential)

I’m purely thinking to play opposite the strong public sentiment here. The Colts are embarrassing, and the Chiefs are everyone’s top team…so Indy goes out and pulls the heavy JT upset.

 I really like Indy here if Pittman and Leonard play.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  IND

Ross Jacobs: IND



SF (-1.5) at DEN

The Computer says: SF by 2.2 (a 0.7 spread differential)

I don’t trust Denver at all…but suddenly I don’t trust the 49ers either. As much as I should take the home team getting points…I just can’t with this Broncos team that looks 110% dysfunctional.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  SF

Ross Jacobs: SF



NO (-3.0) at CAR

The Computer says: NO by 3.3 (a 0.3 spread differential)

The best thing that could happen here is Washington hurts his back and is gone for Andy Dalton, it could save the Saints season. Outside of that, we’ll reluctantly go with the Saints.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  NO

Ross Jacobs: CAR



CIN (-5.0) at NYJ

The Computer says: CIN by 5.2 (a 0.2 spread differential)

My gut says, “Get right game for Cincy.” But the Bengals have looked so bad, and the Jets beat them up last year. But the Jets were lucky winners last week…should’ve lost by 2+ scores. The Bengals are due. Burrow has to rise up here.


Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast:  CIN

Ross Jacobs: CIN


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>