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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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Daily Notes 1/12/2018 FRI (5:35pmET)

January 12, 2018 9:43 AM
January 12, 2018 9:40 AM

*Quick notes, moving fast on them...forgive any typos*

Evening Notes...

-- I was reading an interesting piece on Case Keenum...I forgot he's an unrestricted free agent and there is word that he and Pat Shurmur are essentially a package deal, if Shurmur is hired as an H-C. That would only have meaning to the Arizona Cardinals and maybe to the Giants...but if the Vikings make it to the Final 4 or to the Super Bowl, or win it...how does Minnesota just walk away from Keenum without unloading a truck of money for him to stay? Except, Mike Zimmer had his finger on the Kennum eject button for about half the season and then finally gave in and just rode the wave.

An unintended consequence of a Minnesota run might be that the Vikings are stuck/married to an very expensive Case Keenum as their QB of the future.

After the Vikings lose in the playoffs or win the Super Bowl...the only QB they'd have on contract is beloved Kyle Sloter!

Who needs QBs in 2018?





Jacksonville (maybe)


NY Giants and NY Jets (maybe on each)

What QBs will be available?

Sam Bradford, Teddy Bridgewater, Case Keenum, Tyrod Taylor, Alex Smith

Maybe...Blake Bortles, Eli Manning

Assuming Kirk Cousins and Drew Brees re-sign with their teams and Big Ben doesn't retire.

If Cleveland is drafting a franchise QB, and so too the Giants...then Arizona, Buffalo, Denver, Jacksonville, Minnesota (5 teams) will have 5-7 'supposed' starting QB free agents/available in trade to choose from.

Case Keenum will be grabbed as a starter and so would Alex Smith, so three teams will fight over Sam Bradford, Teddy Bridgewater, Tyrod Taylor, Blake Bortles, maybe Eli Manning...or a rookie not taken 1-2 in the draft.

The glut of NFL QBs is coming, as I've been warning. It also means 'radical' or super expensive deals given to QBs will start to decline a bit (that will be 2-3 years before the NFL wakes up to their supply-demand glut), and QBs with no NFL Draft momentum will be ignored totally in the NFL...they'll have nowhere to go to get a break. Guys like Kyle Sloter...they're going to need a Kurt Warner-esque miracle more and more to get a true shot in the NFL. Teams won't have to 'reach' for a rookie when they can add Sam Bradford or Tyrod Taylor...which we think is silly, but the NFL is beyond predictable and stuck in their ways.

-- Denver and Houston are the two coaching staffs working the Senior Bowl. Interesting news that the Broncos requested Baker Mayfield be placed on their team. I have a lot more to say on that when CFM opens up Tue-Wed next week.

Morning Notes...

-- Steve Wilks seems to be the 'it' head coaching prospect of 2018, and it looks like he knows it because he withdrew his scheduled interview with the Colts -- and it also means the Colts job is way worse than the team/owner realizes. They are going to struggle to fill that position with thier top choices...they're going to have to throw a lot of money around to get back in the game.

Carolina DC Wilks is connected to former Carolina/new NYG GM Dave Gettleman, which makes NYG an obvious option. The rumor mill is buzzing that Wilks prefers the Arizona job last night, but that could be a ploy to raise the stakes/pay at NYG. Most head coaches are begging to get a spot and the team has some perceived leverage, but Wilks has 2-3 teams interested so he appears to have some leverage but he better strike now before the Patriots coordinators get hotter.

Wilks is also rumored to be looking at John DeFilippo as his O-C at his new gig, but I think DeFilippo will get an HC job by default with either Arizona or Indy.

The NY Post reports Wilks did not make it to the 'next round' of consideration with NYG...if that's true, Wilks winds up in Arizona it looks like.

Head Coaching Openings...our favorites in the clubhouse for the job (today):

ARIZONA: John DeFilippo or Steve Wilks

DETROIT: Matt Patricia or Josh McDaniels

INDIANAPOLIS: Josh McDaniels or John DeFilippo

NY GIANTS: Steve Wilks or Matt Patricia

-- Josh McDaniels and Matt Patricia have to leave right now before the Patriots implosion and then there value would drop dramatically in the open market. They would lose some of the 'Bill' mystique with a year away from him.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>