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Dynasty-Fantasy Daily Notes 7/9/18 Monday

Date:
July 9, 2018 10:51 AM
July 9, 2018 8:00 AM

*Quick notes, moving fast on them...forgive any typos*

*One set of notes per day this week for a few days considering the slow/no football news. Once training camp activity starts up then it’s all football all the time the second half of July to the end of the year.

Monday Notes…

 -- A lot of Ricky Seals-Jones talk the last 24-48 hours. RSJ did that classic thing that draws attention and the media/fantasy GMs won’t let it go. Anytime a fresh name is forced into playing time and scores a couple of TDs/does some good things right away, the fantasy world goes bananas.

RSJ scored 3 TDs in his first two games of real playing time in mid-2017 season and gosh, at that pace he might score 24 TDs in a season maybe!?! After his two hot moments of being left alone/wide-open for some TDs, defenses adjusted, and Jones caught just 5 passes on 16 targets (31.1% connection rate) in his last 5 games – 1.0 catches for 11.0 yards and 0.0 TDs per game his final five games.

We all remember those two hot games of his from 2017 and totally discount the five cold ones…five games where RSJ got worse, statistically, every game to finish the season. I’m not saying Seals-Jones is doomed to being ‘bad’ because of those five games, I’m just saying – let’s slow down here.

Seals-Jones is a sloppy, slow, UDFA WR turned kinda athletic tight end convert. He offers a little punch in the passing game but he’s not a well-rounded, ready-to-go NFL starting TE. Jermaine Gresham will be the Week 1 starter if he’s fully recovered from his 2017 injury.

I’m keeping an open mind and an open door to watch how Seals-Jones develops, but my fear is he’s a better shorts and t-shirt TE than a ‘full pads’ one right now. He’s still raw and developing and may never really matter.

How Ricky Seals-Jones seems sexy and Rico Gathers has turned ice cold…I never would have imagined. However, it is possible RSJ starts Week 1 because Gresham is not ready while Gathers gets traded/released.

 

 -- I know it’s a slow football news cycle, but enough already with Earl Thomas to the Cowboys rumors and discussions already in football articles/notes.

Much of the story is predicated on how terrible the Dallas secondary is, which I think is silly. When at full strength, and Sean Lee healthy, this is one of the 10 best defenses in the NFL…one of the five best young/future good-great defensive units. They’re terrible when Sean Lee isn’t there, but they are a top 10 unit with Lee.

Discounting the Dallas secondary because ‘Xavier Woods…pffft’ is not sound reasoning. Woods is a pretty talented young safety. Byron Jones was their other starting safety, and he’s one of the best defensive talents in the league. They could put Jones back at safety (working at CB now) or they could move Chidobe Awuzie to safety, perhaps? Dallas is not devoid of safety options.

There’s also two top safeties still available as free agents if Dallas felt pressed. Dallas could pay Kenny Vaccaro less money than Earl Thomas and not have to give up draft pick(s) to do it…versus dealing for Thomas and giving him a contract extension.

The Cowboys could also wait and sign Tyvon Branch or some other free agent to a one-year mercenary deal.

The Cowboys have options. The safety market is depressed in the favor of the team. Why press for Earl Thomas? Dallas has salary cap issues as it is…so why spend big on a safety of all things, an aging safety? It’s not good business – but it makes sense to beat writers using a ‘Madden’ mindset.

 

 -- Coming up on FFM and CFM…

Xavier Cromartie and me – the ‘faux season’ chats begin today. We look at the NFC West with 5,000+ words of goodness to read, fighting about most every team’s projection.

Top 300+ 2018 dynasty rookie draft rankings update today on CFM.

Draft Guide update later today.

 

*The 2018 Draft Guide package of reports and ever-updating projections/rankings are now available from the FFM home page. Fantasy Football Metrics

 

*Note: my new football email rc4metrics@gmail.com, as I ditch corporate email.

*Note: Dynasty Stash reports from FFM 2017 are posted on CFM 2018 (Date 1/7/18, under Scouting Reports tab or search via the searchbar tool).

 

 

See more of our football work at College Football Metrics – dedicated to the NFL Draft and Dynasty Rookie Draft scouting and valuations all preseason. Celebrating our 7th season covering all things draft. Go to (link): College Football Metrics 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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