Dynasty-Fantasy Football Offseason Notes, Rumors, Musings (5/9/2019)
Throughout May and into the summer, we’ll be dropping Dynasty-Fantasy notes every day or two as we have some things of interest, rumors, etc., to talk about.
*Writing them on the fly, forgive any errors…
-- OK, onto my favorite thing of 2019…and, possibly, favorite thing/story for my decade of doing this (professional football analysis).
Mike Leach, head coach of the Washington State Cougars, was commenting on Gardner Minshew, and…well…he let the entire cat out of the bag. A bag I’ve been trying to let cats out of for a decade now…which is to say: NFL scouts and analysts, by and large, have no idea what they are doing. Yet, everything ‘they’ say is taken as gospel.
Most people don’t believe me because they have a higher faith in football analysts and scouts than they do their personal religion. I was one of those ‘believers’ until I got into this business deeper and sat among scouts for the first time at events like the Senior Bowl, etc. My heart was broken, my adoration/religion shattered…and my rage against the machine given rocket fuel.
Read the following exchange from an interview with Mike Leach, and if you think he’s making up stuff…or believe it’s just ‘one scout’ – you’re too far gone into the NFL cult. Your authentic NFL jersey has become your Hare Krishna robe.
Think about the lunacy of asking a coach the following questions about one of his players…
Why do scouts even exist if they are asking these types of questions? Well, you think you used to worship them…heck, the NFL establishments/the media/billionaire owners still live in that ancient world of worshipping them as deities (and occasionally sending them all home pre-Draft…because they’re SO important).
I could’ve told them all about Gardner Minshew…just go read my in-depth study and report on College Football Metrics from January 2019! The funny part is – for years, NFL personnel people read my material, and never act upon it. Even when a few years go by and so many of my gems/pearls were proven to be scouted correctly…they don’t even put two-and-two together after the fact. I’ll spill the beans in my tell all book someday.
NFL scouting is mostly a con for good pay, saying you ‘work for the NFL’ to impress people, and you get good hotel and airline points + a meal allowance. You keep the job by just agreeing with everyone on everything, so that you’re never wrong alone about anything.
Thank you, Mike Leach for pulling back the veil…sadly, this will not change anyone’s adoration for ‘football people’.
-- The Ravens are looking at Trace McSorley operating like the Saints’ Taysom Hill. That sounds exciting on the surface but McSorley is a cheap knock-off of Hill…
6’2”/230, 4.46 40-time, 7.03 3-cone, 38.5” vertical = Taysom Hill (2017/Pro Day)
6’0”/202, 4.57 40-time, 7.09 3-cone, 33.0” vertical = Trace McSorley (2019/NFL Combine)
McSorley was a DB in high school, and scouts wanted him to consider working with the DBs at the NFL Combine…so, he’s tough…like Hill. One of the big differences between them is – McSorley is 30 pounds smaller, which takes away some of his short yardage threat, just on mass/size alone. The biggest difference is Taysom Hill was a terrific passer in college, a potential Heisman Trophy winner had he not gotten multiple knee injuries. McSorley is a very limited/inaccurate passer…scrappy, but not an NFL high-end thrower…not like if Hill took over behind center.
One thing McSorley has in his favor…Taysom will never takeover for Brees, not with Brees + Bridgewater on the roster. However, what happens if Lamar Jackson gets exposed as a terrible passer (he will) and/or gets hurt running all the time, and then RG3 plays for a moment and flops (he shouldn’t even be in the league anymore)? McSorley, the ‘gimmick’ might be pressed into duty – and he’s the most Lamar-like (on the roster) for offensive continuity. He would run every play if you let him, versus sitting in the pocket and reading defenses. For fantasy, it might be a quick, enthusiastic blip.
-- 5/8/19 NFL Transactions:
Bruce Ellington, WR -- Released by New England (NE) *Ellington really filled in nicely for the Lions, but it looks like his career is fading away.
Kevin Pierre-Louis, OLB -- Signed a 1-year contract with Chicago (CHI)
Blake Countess, S -- Signed a 1-year contract extension with Philadelphia (PHI)
Myles Gaskin, RB -- Signed a 4-year $2.6 million contract with Miami (MIA)
Chandler Cox, RB -- Signed a 4-year $2.61 million contract with Miami (MIA)
Derwin Gray, T -- Signed a 4-year $2.62 million contract with Pittsburgh (PIT)
Rod Smith, RB -- Signed a contract with New York (NYG) *This might be the end of the Wayne Gallman experience?
Adam Bisnowaty, T -- Waived by Minnesota (MIN)
Diontae Johnson, WR -- Signed a 4-year contract with Pittsburgh (PIT) *Going to do a deeper CFM scouting report here ASAP. I was shocked by this pick, so I need to go re-look. I walked away, prior, thinking this was another Eli Rogers, etc., ‘next Antonio’ hot air thing the Steelers media pulls every year with some WR.
Benny Snell Jr., RB -- Signed a 4-year $3.21 million contract with Pittsburgh (PIT)
Herb Miller, S -- Signed a contract with Kansas City (KC)
Andrew Soroh, S -- Signed a contract with Kansas City (KC)
Dakari Monroe, S -- Waived by Kansas City (KC)
Andre Lindsey, WR -- Waived by Kansas City (KC)
-- Coming up on FFM…
Starting to go through schedules with some of our handicapping group for interest and over/under betting purposes. You will see those transcripts, of teams we’re looking at deeper, as soon as we’re done going through the entire schedule of a team.
I’m starting to write the notes/comments for my annual ‘Faux’ computer simulated season. Xavier Cromartie is ready to go. You’ll see our simulated seasons, and then us commenting on each other’s differences of opinion later into May.
-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.
-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.
-- The 2019 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide will be available in June 2019 – the 2019 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 600+ players, IDP rankings…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right
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