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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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H-Chat Wk7 TNF: KC (-3.0) v. OAK

October 19, 2017 7:58 PM
October 19, 2017 7:55 PM

*This is the transcript of our Handicapping group wager chat for this particular game. Taking it as it is, so forgive any typos, etc. It's just casual opinions shared. Also, we may veer way off topic but that's half the fun of it.

Katz: The Chiefs play just four days after suffering their first defeat. Now they have a road date with Oakland, who is also coming off a home loss. Someone is going to bounce back. Who is it?


Rabbitt: I'm pretty sure everyone should just take the opposite of what I say at this point. I'm a bit in shell shock given the last two weeks of picking. Gut says Oakland was a fraud last year and they are just a bad team. However, there is that whole road favorites thing going on.


Katz: I've been consistently trying to figure out what the obvious choice is for a game and going the other way. It hasn't worked very well. This one seems like an obvious spot for KC to bounce back, but it's also entirely possible that Oakland's struggles last week were due in large part to Derek Carr not being anywhere near healthy. Just four days later, it's unlikely much of that will change, but it's four more days to heal and Carr has now seen game action since his injury. My initial thought is that the Chiefs get the job done for the second time on the road on Thursday night.


Savage: I think this is an opportunity to "buy low" on Oakland. Its not that they're a great team, but they're now being lined as if they're equal to the Chargers, which is a pretty big departure from their preseason projections. If we think back to week 4, the Raiders were sitting at 2-1 after two pretty impressive wins and one clunker. Since then they've had a game where Carr got hurt, a game where EJ Manuel was their QB, and a game where Carr played after being limited in practice all week. They might have won all 3 in that stretch with a healthy Carr and were in 2 of the games until the end anyway. Carr was apparently a full participant yesterday, so I think we can assume he's good to go and will be more in sync with his receivers. 


RC: I think we’re finding out Oakland’s wins may not be the great. Tennessee is pretty bad for a good team. I’m way off their train. They beat the Jets when NYJ was rudderless. Then they’ve gotten whacked since. No defense. No INTs for the entire season and low on sacks. Carr’s numbers are dying. Amari Cooper is M.I.A. Their RBs suck. Cordarrelle Patterson is all that is working. KC coming off a loss will smoke them. Oakland is powerless to stop a good team without whacky turnovers, etc., but they play a low turnover team and their defense never gets turnovers (which means they will have 7 turnovers TNF).


Rabbitt:  since everything I know is wrong I am going kc here.  If I am as cursed picking games and in fantasy... I may as well put it to good use for the broncos.  Yes. That is the point I have reached as far as "analysis" goes.


Skolman:   Well Oak has a WAY better punter!  I heard that maybe the Raiders O-line might have been giving less than 100% to let people hit Carr because he didn’t kneel for the anthem with them...well if that is true then a broken back later they have to be even right?  As much as a need a huge effort out of T. Hill for Fantasy (as we all probably do)...I’m taking the Raiders with the points at home with the season on the line.  

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>