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H-Group Blazing Five Picks Week 11...

Date:
November 18, 2017 6:58 PM
November 18, 2017 6:55 PM

Through Week 10 records...

The Computer: 79-63-4, B5: 38-12

Savage: 78-64-4, B5: 28-22

Skolman: 78-64-4, B5: 24-25-1

Rabbitt: 75-67-4, B5: 27-23

RC: 73-69-4, B5: 32-18

Katz: 67-75-4, B5: 25-22-1

Colin: B5: 29-21

Rabbitt:

 

CHI 

LAR 

JAX 

HOU 

*best bet*

LAC

 

Katz: 

CIN +2.5Best Bet. I said I was done with Denver. I meant it. They should not be underdogs here. 

LAC -4.5. I hate to ever lay points with the Chargers. There are just too many #chargersthings. We saw it again last week. But (assuming Rivers plays), come on. Nate Peterman! Really? 

DAL +3.5. I know. Homer pick. I get it. But over 85% of the public money is on Philly. Everyone is writing Dallas off. Jason Garrett failed last week, but I’m going to give him some credit and assume he has a plan to fix the left tackle problem. 

CHI +3.0. The Lions struggled more than they should’ve with the Browns last week, but everyone sees the 14 point win. The Bears just lost at home to the Packers. This is easy Lions right? Right! Wrong! Bears get it done at home. 

JAX -8.0. How are the Browns going to score points?

 

Savage: 

Giants +10.5 (best bet) - This is an insane amount of points. I don't buy the Chiefs as a contender and I haven't really all year, so they shouldn't be this big a road favorite. Andy Reid off a bye, but what exactly is he going to change? Even if the Giants defense mails it in again, they should be able to stop KC's barrage of shovel passes to Travis Kelce. 

Vikings -2.5 - I don't see the Rams being able to go 8-0 on the road this year, and this is their toughest remaining road game. The difference in this game is going to be the VIkings defense playing at home, disrupting the Rams' timing plays that have worked so well against the Texans and Giants and pressuring Goff for the first time in weeks. 

Browns +8 - There comes a point where Blake Borltes just can't be this big of a road favorite. Bortles has gotten worse as the season has gone on and the Browns are coming off their best offensive showing of the year.  

Falcons +3 - A battle of 2 of the biggest frauds in the NFL. I like Atlanta because of Seattle's decimated secondary and the fact that we may finally see Atlanta go all in with Tevin Coleman. Atlanta played well in Seattle last year and probably should have won, so they should be ready for the 12th man this time around. 

Lions -3 - Not really a fan of this last one because the Lions lost here last year and are capable of some headscratching performances. I watched the Bears offense last week and I don't see how they can hang with a team like Detroit that can put up points. The Bears are the worst coached team in the league, and that's saying a lot when there are guys like Vance Joseph and Ben McAdoo still employed.

 

Skolman 

LAR at MIN -2.5 Best Bet

MIN -2.5...no love for one of the best home fields in football?

 

WAS at NO -8.0

WAS +8...still not sold on the Saints defense and I think we have a major overreaction to a win at BUF.  (Careful getting whipsawed here is you bet BUF last week)...The Skins battle hard and are getting healthy.  Saints are good but not -8 Over Wash good.

 

CIN at DEN -2.5

Den -2.5...will probably regret taking this terrible team again.  

 

NE at OAK +7.0

NE -7...Pats are better than the Raiders in any country.

 

ATL at SEA -3.0

SEA -3...I think we get best effort from SEA defense with the Sherman injury, R Wilson is the best player on the field.

 

*The Computer*

 

JAC -8.0 over CLE

The Computer will keep riding this until it doesn’t work. The Jags have a dominant, epic defense…and they are facing the worst team in football. How is this line only -8.0? The Jags are racking at least one defensive TD…so, basically, they Jags just need to outscore them otherwise.

The weather outlook keeps improving for this game. Yes, the Jags might have two OLs out but you can get away with that versus Cleveland.

 

LAR +2.5 over MIN

This is nothing against Minnesota, but the Rams may have the best team in football…and they take on Case Keenum and an overrated (from where we all think they’re at to what their numbers are) defense.

The Vikings beat the Saints opening week and haven’t beat a team with a winning record (as of today) since…and that was with Sam Bradford …and before the Saints got Ken Crawley and Terron Armstead back (and ditched AP). The Vikes are 0-2 versus teams with a winning record this year. Outright loss to the Rams coming. BEST BET for The Computer…moved ahead of Jags pick due to OLs likely to be out for Jacksonville.

 

ATL +3.0 over SEA

The Computer has thought Atlanta wins this game outright since Monday. Atlanta went to Seattle last years and lost, but outplayed them. They have recent experience going to Seattle. The Seahawks are already overrated but now missing Sherman and Chacellor…not good. Seattle has five wins this season against teams that will pick in the top 10 of the draft, maybe THE top 5 of the draft…plus they beat the Rams and it took 5 turnovers and a dropped TD at the end by LAR to get that narrow win, outplayed thoroughly by the Rams. Atlanta gets the upset here.

 

LAC -4.5 over BUF

The Bills are reeling and the Chargers are better than their record. Philip Rivers is good-to-go and their defense is emerging as one of the better ones in the NFL, especially pressuring the QB. At LA facing a rookie in his first start…The Computer loves this pick. Total domination on both sides of the line of scrimmage for LAC.

 

GB +2.0 over BAL

Baltimore is not good. 2-5 in their last 7 games…wins over OAK and MIA, two teams who were starting their backup QBs due to injury. The Ravens are a fraud and go into the game without their starting left tackle. Green Bay, at home, getting points against a bad Ravens team – The Computer takes it.

 

RC: LAR, ATL, LAC, JAC, WAS

 

COLIN: GB, TB, PHI, CHI, DEN

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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