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Through Week 11 records...
The Computer: 87-68-5, B5: 41-14
Skolman: 85-70-5, Blazing Five: 27-27-1
Rabbitt: 80-75-5, B5: 30-24-1
Savage: 80-75-5, B5: 31-23-1
RC: 81-74-5, B5: 37-18
Katz: 73-82-5, B5: 28-23-3
Colin: B5… 31-23-1
OAK -5.0 Best Bet
TEN at IND +3.0
IND +3...I’m still not buying the Titans as a top team. I’ll take the scrappy Colts.
SEA at SF +7.0
SF +7...No Jimmy G, no problem.
NO at LAR -2.5 **Best Bet**
LAR -2.5...I’m not buying the Saints defense at all and now they lose a couple of corners.
JAX at ARI +5.0
JAX -5...not the time of year to take road favorites but I think this line is telling us all we need to know.
DEN at OAK -5.0
OAK -5...I think the combo of P.Lynch and the D coordinator will get us there. The Raiders party like it’s 2016.
Best Bet: Houston +7
Ravens -7 (best bet) - The Texans finally scored some points with Tom Savage at QB last week, but they also gave up 3 TD's to Blaine Gabbert. Their defense is not very good and I don't think their offense is fixed/improving. The combination of their O-line and Tom Savage could mean yet another shutout for the Ravens D.
Broncos +5 - A battle of 2 poorly run organizations that just fired coordinators, I want the team getting points. The reports I'm hearing are that many Raiders' players did not like the decision to fire Ken Norton Jr. I'm not hearing the same thing about Mike McCoy. From an outsider's perspective, it doesn't reflect well on Jack Del Rio, who is supposed to be a defensive guru.
Patriots -16.5 - The Patriots are hitting their peak on both sides of the ball. It would be a different story if this were in Miami but they should be able to name the score at home.
Panthers -5 - The Jets have really played poorly outside of 2 games this year. I would expect Carolina to show up focused after the bye week, needing to keep pace with the Saints and Falcons in the NFC South.
Rams -2.5 - I think the Rams are well-coached enough to rebound after last weeks loss. Lattimore has played like a true shutdown corner this year, not having him in this game is a bigger deal than it's being made out to be.
CAR -5.0 at NYJ
The Computer loves everything about this pick -- it’s been its Best Bet all Week. Carolina the edge in everything and I like the stat that we showed earlier this week – the Panthers are 7-1 when Luke Kuechly plays start-to-finish. They’re 0-2 when he was hurt/out Weeks 6-7. The Panthers are quietly, potentially the best team in the NFC...with ‘good’ (not ‘bad’) Cam.
LAR -2.5 over NO
The Computer has gone from liking this to loving it with the news that the Saints are down two top CBs. The Rams at home with the injury advantage should be enough to cover the spread. Love it at 2.5, would not be as big a fan at 3.0.
JAX -5.0 at ARI
The Computer always loves JAX and LAR…and here we are again. The Computer is much less enthralled if Jalen Ramsey is out but we’re banking on him being in. Could get burned by this one, but submitting it on Fri/Sat., we had to choose…so we go Jags and pray.
BUF +10.0 at KC
The Computer sees a lot of similarities between these teams…which means KC is not as good as the world thinks. Both teams are middle of the pack or worse on defense/pass rush and both are fairly solid protecting the passer. Tyrod Taylor back is key for Buffalo…isn’t he similar to Alex Smith? Safe passer, not turnover prone, and mobile? The Computer likes KC to win for sure, but for Buffalo to cover.
CIN -8.0 over CLE
Big must-win for Cincy to get back in the playoff hunt and the Browns are crippled with injury and an awful QB and head coach. The Computer doesn’t love this one but it makes the Blazing Five cut in the end.
RC: CAR, LAR, JAX, CHI, CIN
COLIN: Absent this week