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Fantasy Football Metrics

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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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H-Group Blazing Five Week 9...

November 4, 2017 3:10 PM
November 4, 2017 3:00 PM

Unaudited Blazing Five records through Week 8:

The Computer:  B5: 30-10

RC:  B5: 26-14

Rabbitt: B5: 24-16

Colin Cowherd: B5: 24-16

Skolman: B5: 22-18

Savage:  B5: 21-19

Katz:  B5: 19-20-1


LAR -3.5 Best Bet. This seems to be a theme amongst our group. The Rams are one of the three best teams in the NFC. The Giants are bottom five. I get that they’re on a west coast team playing a 1:00 east coast game, but with both teams coming off a bye, I don’t think fatigue or jet lag should be an issue with the amount of time to prepare. This comes down to who has the better team. The Rams are literally better everywhere except TE.

CAR -1.0. Why are the Panthers not 4 or 5 point favorites? This one confuses me. Could be a trap. I may look really stupid on Sunday night.

PHI -7.5. I am so done with Denver. They are terrible and are now starting Brock Osweiler. Cmon man!

OAK -2.5. The Raiders are coming off a loss and while they are secretly not that good, the Dolphins, at 4-3 just traded their starting RB because they know how much of a shot they don’t have this year.

JAX -4.5. Best defense in the league at home off a bye facing Andy Dalton. The question is whether Dalton will throw more touchdowns to Jaguars or Bengals?


Buf -3 at NYJ:  I still don't trust the Jets, and really like what the Bills are doing. I expect the Shady show to be in full effect this week.

Ten -5.5 over Bal: Baltimore can't stop the run.  Exotic ground and pound.  Baltimore getting too much credit for beating a bad Miami team.

Sea -7 over Was: The ship is sinking in washington.  A trip across the country to a re-awakened seattle is not what they need.  This one has blowout written all over it.

Ind+13 over Houston: The colts have been playing a bunch of teams tough. They are not good, but they aren't this bad.  This was close to my best bet. This is a 28-24 game all day.

Best bet

NO-7 over TB:  This seems like easy money to me.  Which probably means I am wrong. But this is a very good New Orleans team vs a complete and total trainwreck in Tampa Bay.


DEN at PHI -8.5

DEN +8.5...Eagles are a good team but even Eagles fans are waiting for things to go wrong.  Don’t love the uncertainty of the QB change but we’re getting a lot of points with a great defense and solid running game.  Love the Under in this game as well.

LAR at NYG +3.5

LAR -3.5...Shouldn’t take road favorites, but if your going to, take them against a poor team I guess?  The week will be a microcosm of the season...Jets come through as home dogs at MetLife...while the Giants disappoint in the same role 3 days later.   I think the bye helps the Rams...not sure extra time to reflect on what’s gone wrong benefits the G-Men.

ARI at SF +2.0  **Best

ARI -2...Shouldn’t take road favorites, but if your going to, take them against a poor team I guess?  Cardinals were in an awful spot in England even before Palmer went down.  I think we get another good game out of AD, Fitz and by the way Supergirl is 6-3 as a starter.  The SF team that played close games was led by Hoyer...now they are a disaster.

OAK at MIA +3.0

MIA +3...Miami has a decent defense and they got 4 days off to simulate a bye this week.  I read that players really appreciated that.  Nobody likes Cutler but to move to Moore was clearly a downgrade.  Oakland has done nothing for me to take them as a road favorite and we can feel pretty good about getting the Dolphins best effort after the flogging last week.

DET at GB +2.5

GB +2.5...I read that Rodgers was working with Hundley on the bye week...not sure what he could learn this week that he hasn’t learned in the past 3 years but I do like the chemistry!  I think the Packers will run the ball, put a simplified game plan together and give a nice effort and win outright.  Aside from a nuclear kicker the Lions don’t impress me much.


Cowboys +1 (best bet) - Dallas is starting to click, while KC is crashing back to earth after their hot start. KC's offense has gotten stale, particularly against zone defenses, which is what Dallas likes to run. Dallas can exploit KC's "bend but don't break" defense because they don't turn the ball over and Dak is efficient in the redzone.

Panthers -1 - It is unbelievable to me that the Falcons are still getting this much respect. They are, at best, equal to Carolina and in my opinion they're worse. Any line where the Panthers are less than 3 point favorites is a good bet.

Broncos +8.5 - Denver simply couldn't send Siemien out there again with the way he was playing. I consider Osweiler a minor improvement at this point, if for no other reason than he might be able to add a spark to the team. A win here keeps Denver in the wildcard hunt, where as the already overrated Eagles don't need this game at all.

Jaguars -4.5 - The Bengals continue to struggle to pass protect, so how will they fare against the best defense in the NFL? I expect the Jags D and Fournette to dominate this game.

Ravens +5.5 - The Titans haven't shown that they're deserving to be a big favorite at home. I'm not even sure they're better than Baltimore. Ravens should be able to run the ball and play enough D to stay close.


LAR at NYG +3.5

The Computer thinks the Rams are going to dismantle the Giants…the Rams are a top 5 team in the NFL, the Giants a bottom 5 and racked with injuries. This is a steal at -3.5.


KC at DAL -2.0

The Computer liked this at +1.0 with Ezekiel out, and loves it with EE in and laying -2.0. The world is about to behold that the Dallas Cowboys are the best team in football and the Chiefs are pretenders to that throne. Kansas City’s internals the last 3-4 weeks are headed south while Dallas rises.


WAS at SEA -7.0

A ton of injuries on both sides, but the Seattle ones are more daunting to key defensive players. The Computer likes the cover with a possible Redskins win here.


ARI at SF +2.0

The Computer likes Arizona a lot in this spot given the importance of the game to the Cards and the indifference of the 49ers, plus all the San Fran injuries.


CIN at JAX -4.5

Was going Indy +points before the Watson injury, now the point spread is more logical post-injury. We’ve rode the Jags properly for weeks and get another one here with the much more dominant team over a Cincy team that got a lucky win at home vs. a bad Colts team. Jags crush.





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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>