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H-Group Chat TNF Week 9: BUF (-3.0) at NYJ

Date:
November 2, 2017 7:05 PM
November 2, 2017 7:00 PM

Katz: The Bills beat the Jets week 1 and have looked rather good lately. The Jets have not been nearly as bad as we thought they would be. On the road in primetime on a short week, are the Bills primed for a let down?

RC: The Computer smells the Buffalo internals are starting to corrupt…that reality may strike soon, but not against the Jets. Right now The Computer sees Bills -4.7.

I think the key is – Mo Claiborne may not play, and that stings on a so-so secondary as it is. Wilkerson could be out again. The Bills could be getting back subtly good P Humber and Poyer may be good to go. A slight lean to the Bills overall.

Katz: Sadly, I am going to be heavily invested in the Bills on Thursday night. Not the greatest situation. So I almost feel like I can't separate my fantasy interests from the gambling side. I need Buffalo to score a bunch of touchdowns so I will take them and will them into greatness.

Savage: I agree with RC on the Bills coming back to reality soon. They're something like +17 in turnovers this year, which is not sustainable. Their defense is solid and Tyrod takes care of the ball pretty well, but a lot of the TO differential is a result of playing a bunch of turnover-prone offenses. They're going to struggle when they play teams like the Saints, Chiefs, and Patriots (twice).

The Jets, however, don't protect the ball that well so I think we might see the party continue for the Bills for 1 more week. Normally I'd be looking to back the home dog on a short week, but Buffalo well coached and disciplined enough that I don't see them falling flat.

Skolman:   As of this moment I’m leaning Jets with office pool confidence.  I will be at MetLife tonight and reserve the right to change that pick (or increase the confidence) after a few beverages.  Also happy to play man on the street and let you guys know what fans are thinking from the parking lot.

Rabbitt: Are we actually going to get a good TNF game?  I think this one will be a shootout.  And one that the Bills will win! Hopefully after two or three Robbie Anderson TD's.

RC: Three problems with the Jets pulling this off…

1: If Mo Claiborne is out that hurts an already shaky defense.

2: The Bills are winning games and hanging with/beating good teams, whereas the Jets have beaten CLE and MIA, and a lucky win vs. the Jags. The Jets are no ‘winners’, so the argument is whether Buffalo wins by 3+.

3: Buffalo wants to run, and the Jets have allowed the following run totals this season: 190-180-30-175-140-118-53-140. The 30 and 53 was both their Miami games. Against non-Miami, the jets allow 157.2 rush yards per game.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>