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H-Group Chat Week 11: LAR at MIN (-2.5)

Date:
November 19, 2017 2:13 PM
November 19, 2017 2:00 PM

Katz: It's abundantly clear that the instant Case Keenum slips up, Mike Zimmer is turning to Teddy Bridgewater. It could be as soon as halftime this week. Two of the hottest teams in the league here. Something has to give.

 

Rabbitt: Rams all day. I get the better QB, the better RB, the better defense, and the better coach.  

 

Skolman:  Most people will take the points...then the bookies will take their money.

 

RC: The horn has been blown!!

 

Katz: I don't know. I feel like home teams favored by 2.5 are begging you to take the home team. All they have to do is win by a field goal and you win! The Vikings are good. That's for sure. But I'm still not convinced the world has accepted the Rams as an elite team. Is Jared Goff matchup dependent? I don't think so. His two duds were against Jacksonville and the Legion of Boom back when they actually could boom. The Vikings are certainly one of the better defenses he's faced, but they're not Jacksonville or Seattle.

 

Skolman:   At Minnesota is a much tougher task than @ Jacksonville or home against Seattle.  That would make this the toughest defense they have faced by a good amount.  Doesn’t mean they can’t handle it, but it’s wrong to not have that be the starting point.  Remember what happened last year when high flying Dallas came to town, uncharacteristic fumbles and interceptions happen when your getting hit like you haven’t been hit all year.  

I like the Rams this year but the hype couldn’t be higher.  Meanwhile people are asking if the Saints are the best team in the NFC.  Yes...the same Saints who were crushed at US Bank week 1.  

 

Savage: Katz, good point about the -2.5 home favorite. I don't have the exact numbers, but there's a recent trend where these +2.5 dogs have been winning outright more often than not. That said, I still like the Vikings here. 

To me, this game will be all about how the Rams handle the Vikings D-line and playing in one of the toughest road venues in the league. The Rams are living off screen passes and play action deep balls, which are all about timing and good protection - things that are tougher to execute on the road against a good defensive front. Their offense has struggled a bit against good defenses (Jags and Seahawks) and they haven't really played a tough road game yet. Sure, the Dallas win was impressive but that's not the toughest place to play and Sean Lee was inactive. They're 4-0 on the road so far and I'm betting against them going undefeated. This is the toughest road game game on their schedule, arguably the best defense they've faced, and its coming off 2 consecutive cupcake match-ups. I think the Vikings win a close one. 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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