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The Computer popped another big Blazing Five week...4-1 in Week 7, running its record to a stellar 25-10 (71.4%) on the season. The best 1st half record of my career. The Computer is 59-45-2 all games ATS overall (56.7%). I'm muddling along all games ATS at 51-53-2, but posting a nice 22-13 (62.8%) B5 record after a 4-1 week.
Let the good times continue to roll...
*Listed by biggest discrepancy of The Computer's point spread and Vegas's.
MIN vs CLE +9.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 11.8)
The Computer says Minnesota by 21.3
Not only is Minnesota the obvious choice here but remember that the Browns just lost their best O-Lineman. The lost their best offensive player…and they already sucked before all this. Minnesota is a clear and obvious winner here. I cannot believe the spread is not 10+. Four of Minnesota’s 5 wins this year are by 8.0+. This is The Computer’s Best Bet.
RC: How could anyone take the Browns here? The Browns are going to win, aren’t they? I’m still taking Minnesota. My BEST BET.
CAR at TB -2.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 9.4)
The Computer says Carolina by 7.4.
The Computer LOVES this game with Luke Kuechly back and the potential of Kurt Coleman back, plus Tampa is losing defenders left and right.
RC: I go Carolina here too. I cannot believe TB is favored.
DAL at WAS +2.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 5.1)
The Computer says Cowboys by 2.6
The Computer sees this as a closer to ‘even’ game, but all the Redskins injuries tip it over to Dallas.
RC: I want to go Washington, but my heart says ‘Cowboys rule’. I’ll go Dallas.
PIT at DET +3.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 4.3)
The Computer says Steelers by 7.7.
One of the bigger discrepancy games…The Computer feels the Steelers win here, but also has a lot of indicators that this could be a Pittsburgh blowout by 20+.
RC: I like the Steelers, especially since icing Martavis Bryant to start sending messages.
HOU at SEA -5.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 2.6)
The Computer says Seattle by 2.9.
The Computer doesn’t like Seattle, in general…but it feels Houston is also a very shaky ‘good’ team as well. They Computer takes the points.
RC: My dad, crazed Texans and Astros fan/season ticket holder, takes one pre-planned/paid for in advance away trip a year to see the Texans…this is it…and he’s going to have to miss being at the World Series games #4-5 to do it. Of all the luck! The Texans better make it worth his while…I’ll go Texans.
MIA at BAL -3.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 2.6)
Computer says Ravens by 0.4.
The change to Matt Moore has a neutral, slightly positive effect for The Computer. The long list of injuries work against the Ravens. Teams are running all over the Ravens – the last five games rush yards allowed: 166-173-108-231-169. All Miami wants to do is run the ball. Either Miami wins or close enough for the spread.
RC: This may be the worst TNF game in the history of football. I’m just here to watch Justin Tucker…but probably on DVIR with liberal use of the fast-forward button. I’ll take the 3.0 for lack of a clearly superior team here.
OAK at BUF -2.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 2.5)
The Computer says Bills by 5.0.
Most things favor the Bills here, including the injury reports.
RC: I like the Bills big here.
SF at PHI -13.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 1.6)
The Computer says Eagles by 14.6.
Everything about this game favors the Eagles for The Computer.
RC: I have a funny feeling about the 49ers here…I’ll go with them and the points.
IND at CIN -10.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 1.5)
The Computer says Bengals by 10.9.
The Computer sees most everything favoring the Colts, but the latest round of Colts’ injuries pushes it over the edge. Indy has two wins…against SF and CLE…not quality wins. We think of the Colts as not as bad as SF and CLE, but The Computer thinks they are.
RC: I like the Bengals for a blowout win here.
LAC at NE -7.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 1.5)
The Computer says Patriots by 5.5.
The Computer sees signs where LAC pulls the upset here. The Computer has been pro-Chargers for several weeks, so it happily takes the points.
RC: Never bet against the Pats. Didn’t we learn that again last week?
DEN at KC -7.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 1.3)
The Computer says Chiefs by 8.3.
The Chiefs are just too efficient for The Computer to roll with Denver. It sees the potential of a Denver ‘get right’ win, but recent performance as one indicator favors the Chiefs. The Chiefs show up every week…Denver, you never know.
RC: Which of these teams is going to lose three-in-a-row? It cant be KC…so, I’ll take the better QB, Coach, organization to go big with Tyreek here.
CHI at NO -9.0 (Point Spread discrepancy 1.0)
The Computer says Saints by 10.0.
Both scrappy defenses, but the Saints to superior on offense and this Chicago team has yet to prove it can score back & forth if needed to. It’s a John Fox thing.
RC: Too many points to a good CHI team, I’ll take the Bears.
ATL at NYJ +4.5 (Point Spread discrepancy 0.5)
Computer says Falcons by 4.0
The Computer sees the Falcons victory as most likely but Atlanta not so good to give an FG+ to a home opponent…especially when we don’t know if they’re going to fold and implode after the Patriots beatdown.
RC: I’ll take the Falcons to use this as a bounce-back/punishment of NYJ to exorcise demons.