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The Computer has gone from hot to something religious...5-0 in the Blazing Five last week, pushing it to a 30-10 (75%) record. That's pure insanity. I keep waiting to write the 'Well, there's bound to be a bad week when you;re this hot' recap but we've only had one losing week. Overall, all picks ATS 67-48-2 (58.2%).
Personally, I'd be basking in my own handicapping glow with a 4-1 Blazing Five last week and 26-16 (65.0%) record overall in the B5...but The Computer is stealing my spotlight. After a 10-3 week last week overall, I'm now 61-56-2 ATS in picking every game.
Let the divine intervention keep intervening...
*Listed by biggest discrepancy of The Computer's point spread and Vegas's.
LAR at NYG +3.5 (13.4 point spread differential)
The Computer says Rams by 16.9
BEST BET for The Computer…this is an easy one. A shocking one. The fact that the Janoris Jenkins suspension didn’t move this line is a tell that Vegas doesn’t believe in the Rams…or just knows the public doesn’t. We’ve been racking it up with the Rams for weeks. We will here again.
RC: My BEST BET. You’ve gotta be kidding with the line in this game. The Rams off a BYE, playing well facing and facing a team imploding inside and out.
IND at HOU -13.0 (7.3 point spread differential)
The Computer says Texans by 5.7
The Computer is also trying to say – don’t be shocked if this is an outright Indy win. The Computer and the public agree – the Colts are bad. What the public doesn't agree with The Computer on – the Texans are secretly a bad team as well…a terrible defense, bad O-Line. The Watson hype is pushing this line pretty hot.
RC: I kinda feel the same way…this is a lot of points. I’ll take them with Indy.
KC at DAL +1.0 (5.9 point spread differential)
The Computer says Cowboys by 4.8
Very hard to predict the Cowboys considering the Ezekiel Elliott-related radical change to the offense. The Computer sees that as a plus the first week because teams cannot prepare. Also, The Computer thinks KC is full of hot air and that the Cowboys are fundamentally great.
RC: I ride with the Cowboys every week.
WAS at SEA -7.0 (4.2 point spread differential)
The Computer says Seahawks by 2.8
The Computer sees a Redskins upset within reach here…close enough to take the points with confidence.
RC: I’ll call for the outright upset. I don’t think people realize how good the Redskins are.
ARI at SF +2.0 (3.2 point spread differential)
The Computer says Cardinals by 5.5
The data really favors Arizona because the 49ers are the most injury-ravaged team in the NFL right now…and not a good team to begin with. The Drew Stanton factor makes this a little shaky.
RC: I want to take the 49ers but they really are torched with injuries. I have to go Arizona, and keep the DJ returns dream alive.
ATL at CAR -1.0 (3.0 point spread differential)
The Computer says Panthers by 4.0
The Computer has good feelings about Carolina’s data and doesn’t like Atlanta’s direction/data much at all.
RC: It’s almost like Veags is saying Atlanta is the better team with this line…I don’t see that at all.
CIN at JAX -4.5 (2.5 point spread differential)
The Computer says Jags by 7.0
I thought the discrepancy would be bigger but The Computer sees a few flaws inherent with the Jags, but not enough to hold them back vs. Cincy.
RC: I’ll keep riding the Jags against weak offense until it stops working. Vegas and the public still don’t believe.
TB at NO -7.0 (2.4 point differential)
The Computer says Saints by 4.6
The Computer has loved the Saints for a while but it doesn’t love this matchup for them. It thinks the 7.0 is too heavy.
RC: I can’t roll with the Bucs with all their issues. I go Saints to keep rolling.
BUF at NYJ +3.0 (1.6 point spread differential)
The Computer says Bills by 4.6
The Computer thinks the Bills collapse is coming but not as likely to start with the not-so-good NY Jets. Watching to see if Mo Claiborne and Muhammad Wilkerson will be out for the Jets…they are the difference pushing this to Bills cover or Jets + points is the better way to go.
RC: The Bills have too much to play for to have a let down here. This is a must-win for their playoff push with tough games ahead. The Jets seem scrappy but they are not. Wins against sad Miami…a lucky day vs. the Jags in OT, and barely escaping Cleveland.
DET at GB +2.5 (1.3 point spread differential)
The Computer says Lions by 1.2
The Packers went from pick ‘em to -2.5 in a hurry. The Computer likes the upset potential from people undervaluing Brett Hundley.
RC: I’m going the Lions to win, cover, and start a march towards the NFC North title.
DEN at PHI -8.5 (0.8 point spread differential)
The Computer says Eagles by 9.3
I thought for sure The Computer would like Denver here, but it does not…not at all. The Computer feels the Broncos recent slide is/lack of ability to rise up off the mat is a tell and that they’re ripe to fail here versus a good Eagles team.
RC: I think this is where the Eagles flounder – the run game gets stuffed and Wentz struggles with Denver’s pass D and the Broncos pull it out or cover in a low scoring game.
OAK at MIA +3.0 (0.6 point spread differential)
The Computer says Raiders by 2.4
The Computer doesn’t like either team but does like people overheated on Miami being bad because of last week. The Raiders aren’t very good and Miami enters the game with a different offense, Take the points.
RC: I’ll take Oakland in a battle of two teams I don’t like what I see on.
BAL at TEN -5.5 (0.2 point spread differential)
The Computer says Titans by 5.7
Two teams The Computer can’t figure out but strong enough data for the Titans at home off a BYE.
RC: I think the Ravens are secretly terrible and that the Titans are going to pop a little post-BYE.