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Katz: I know it's very early in the week (week 4 literally ended hours ago), but I want to get started on the Survivor discussion as this is the most difficult week of the season thus far. For those of us that have already used the Steelers, what's the call here? Oakland is out with EJ Manuel under center, plus we used them week 2. Would we dare go Philly? What do we think?
RC: This is maybe the most complicated Survivor week, considering how early we are in the season…assuming most have spent NE-PIT-SEA-OAK.
The biggest discrepancies in the spread our models show with a favorite to win by more than the spread…
The Rams over SEA
The Chiefs over HOU
I’d lean going the Chiefs, even on the road on a short week. Anytime you can face a rookie QB with a good team…it’s a plus. I think Rams might run Seattle out of the building if Lane/Avril are out, but Russell Wilson is there making miracles.
Honestly, everything about the Rams over Seattle just pops off the screen. I’d really be tempted to go with the computer…and I might when I make my pick.
Katz: Philly stands out as the best play to me, but it wouldn't shock me if they lost that game. I really don't want to take a road team. I have to figure out if my concern over taking road teams is greater than my concern over Philly not being legit.
Savage: I still have Pittsburgh available so I'm likely burning them this week. Hard to trust a team that lost to the Bears 2 weeks ago, but they seem to be rounding into form a bit and are much better at home. I'd feel fairly safe about the Philly pass rush against the Cards o-line as well.
I think you'd be asking for trouble picking the Rams right now. If they're really as good as they've played in the first 4 weeks, you'll have plenty of chances to pick them later in the season. Everyone is telling them how great they are after beating Dallas in Dallas and that always makes me skeptical. Even with all their flaws, Seattle has the better QB and the better defense in that game.
Rabbitt: I think I have Pittsburgh left? Maybe. Either way I don't trust them. Give me Eagles.
Skolman: I prefer to stay with a home team and the Eagles are probably a good pick, but I really like both the Giants and Colts.
Giants have played 3 of 4 on the road...and since the WRs got healthy look better. And you get to be on the other side of the hapless Chargers.
The Colts have looked better and better after getting smacked by the Rams (albeit only for a half last week, but that was a terrible spot). Niners have won exactly 1 road game each of the past 2 seasons. Here you are taking a worse team in the Colts but a far worse opponent. If the Eagles lose you could be the last man standing.