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Handicapping Chat Wk4 MNF: WAS at KC (-7.0)

Date:
October 2, 2017 6:41 PM
October 2, 2017 6:33 PM

*This is the transcript of our Handicapping group wager chat for this particular game. Taking it as it is, so forgive any typos, etc. It's just casual opinions shared. Also, we may veer way off topic but that's half the fun of it.

YTD Records ATS (thru Week 3):

FFM Computer: 30-17, 12-3 Blazing Five

Savage: 29-18; Blazing 5: 7-8; Best Bet: 2-1

Skolman: 26-21; Blazing 5: 10-5; Best Bet: 1-2

Katz: 26-21; Blazing 5: 7-8; Best Bet: 1-2

Rabbitt: 24-23; Blazing 5: 9-6; Best Bet: 1-2

RC: 24-23; Blazing 5: 9-6; Best Bet: 1-2

Colin Cowherd B5: 11-4

Katz: Not that anyone should listen to me about these games after the display I put on this week, but the final game of the week pits the Chiefs at home against the Redskins. Can the Chiefs win this by more than a touchdown?

 

Skolman:  I'm not totally objective here because I need points from T.Hill, T.Pryor and C. Thompson and I think I may be playing this game out in my head to fit that scenario.  I was really impressed with the Skins DL last week but that tends to be something that is accentuated at home and somewhat muted on the road.  But I'm open to the possibility they could be effective with the Chiefs Oline injuries.  After watching Samaje Perine slam into the backs of his o-lineman what seemed like hundreds of times last week, I don't have confidence that the Redskins are bringing a running game to Arrowhead...dropping back to pass a bunch at a top 3 home field is usually not a recipe for success.  Chris Thompson can be an X factor (and probably will with the Chiefs LB injuries).  I certainly wouldn't blame anyone for taking the points, but I need a running game and defense on the road and I don't think we have enough of either.  I'll lay the 7.

 

RC: Every time we see a team as unbeatable or a situation that seems obvious…the opposite tends to happen always in the NFL 2017. Just on an ‘opposite theory’, Washington makes sense because they don’t. 

That aside…it’s possible Washington has a better defense than Kansas City. Takeaway the Fletcher Cox 8pt TD to end their Week 1 game (in controversy), the Redskins have allowed 22 (PHI), 20 (LAR), and 10 (OAK) for points this season. The Skins have played good teams and held them down with their defense. 

If Washington is going to hold KC to 20-21 points, then we just need 14 to cover, and I think Washington can score 14+ in this game. These teams are a lot closer in talent than the spread, so I take the 7. The computer still thinks Redskins by 2….and if right the computer is putting another double-digit win week ATS on the board, just so happened most losses hit the Blazing Five!

 

Katz: Even the most improbable of upsets seem to be taking place this week. The only real thing that remained status quo was #chargersthings. Everything else is topsy turvy. It's too late for me to switch off of KC, but based purely on going against myself and everything that derives from logic and reason, I would say the Redskins. This year has been wildly unpredictable thus far so predicting this game feels like a herculean task.

 

Rabbitt: I think Hill is going to expose this defense. I know Norman is great, but he can't cover Hill.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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