Intro: Xavier Cromartie and I did our annual post-draft, summer computer simulated seasons from each of our data, and posted that in early June 2019 (Faux 1.0). Since then, I’ve had a chance to further study the draft prospects and UDFAs, researched the teams/players/coaches for our fantasy football draft guide, and looked at each team’s personnel/salary cap situation. With more study/research, some things have changed in my team/player expectations for 2019.
With that, I give you my Faux 2.0 computer simulated season to see what might have changed on outcomes, and there are a few playoff-worthy changes to report. Like usual, each day, I’ll release three weeks of results at a time with some basic notes on things and the entire records/standings to that point.
Faux 2.0 Conference Playoffs + Super Bowl
#2 Jacksonville at #1 New England
New England wins 58% of the simulations.
This was the finals of Faux 1.0 in the AFC with the same outcome. Too much to ask for a warm-weather team to go to New England in January and be expected to win. But they do have Nick Foles, so anything is possible.
#2 New Orleans at #1 L.A. Rams
Rams win 53% of the simulations. The Rams are tough to call for a repeat trip to the Super Bowl in my simulations because the path of Dallas and New Orleans is a gauntlet again to get through in 2019-20. I love the Rams, in general, but something tells me one of Dallas or New Orleans is going to get them this season.
The Saints have to avoid being a #3 seed and having to go through Green Bay or Chicago in January to get to the Rams again.
Faux 2.0 Super Bowl:
#1 L.A. Rams vs. #1 New England
We had this Super Bowl call in Faux 1.0 last season/2018 (and then NO v. NE in Faux 2.0 in 2018), and then again in Faux 1.0 this May/June (Faux 1.0), and here again in July 2019 (Faux 2.0). Same winner as Faux 1.0 a few months ago…Patriots win 55% of the simulations.
We need to see Brady really ‘done’ and Belichick retired before I bet against them for winning it all.
We’ve never posted a Faux 3.0 in August (too much real football happening to study/report on), but I am hoping to this season…something right before the season after the preseason games, injuries, trades, etc. We’ll see if the Patriots three-peat all the 2019 simulations.
-- Make sure you have the (free) FFM App with notifications enabled to get alerts anytime we post an article or report or update rankings to FFM/CFM.
-- The 2019 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide package is now available – the 2019 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 600+ players, IDP rankings, etc…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right up to kickoff.
Our 2019 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.
-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.
-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.
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