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RC: ‘Faux' (2.0) 2019 Computer Simulated NFL Season (Weeks 1-3)

Date:
July 20, 2019 10:33 AM
July 22, 2019 6:55 AM

Intro: Xavier Cromartie and I did our annual post-draft, summer computer simulated seasons from each of our data, and posted that in early June 2019 (Faux 1.0). Since then, I’ve had a chance to further study the draft prospects and UDFAs, researched the teams/players/coaches for our fantasy football draft guide, and looked at each team’s personnel/salary cap situation. With more study/research, some things have changed in my team/player expectations for 2019.

With that, I give you my Faux 2.0 computer simulated season to see what might have changed on outcomes, and there are a few playoff-worthy changes to report. Like usual, each day, I’ll release three weeks of results at a time with some basic notes on things and the entire records/standings to that point.

 

 Weeks 1-3 Notes…

 -- The schedule is begging the Patriots to go 3-0 to start the 2019 season. We initially had the Steelers beating the Pats, at New England Week 1 because NE tends to start not as hot as they finish. However, give the Belichick months to prepare vs. Tomlin with months to prepare…the computer now leans ‘Belichick’.

 -- Buffalo a semi-surprising (2-1) start to the season.

 -- Dallas came so very close to a (3-0) start, but the computer wouldn’t give an extra nudge to Dallas on the road. So close, though. If Dwayne Haskins starts…that might be enough to set Dallas up for a (3-0) start.

 -- The computer took away the GB upset of (at) Chicago opening night TNF that it went with in Faux 1.0. The Packers just aren’t good on the road and the TNF early season games tend to favor the home team.

 -- Everyone in the NFC South is (1-2)…tough schedule for all the NFC South this year with the NFC West and AFC South in their rotation.

Subsequently, the entire NFC West is (2-1). 


 

AFC East

NE …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

BUF … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIA … 0 - 3 = 0.000

NYJ … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC North

BAL … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CLE … 2 - 1 = 0.667

PIT … 1 - 2 = 0.333

CIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC South

JAC … 2 - 1 = 0.667

HOU … 2 - 1 = 0.667

TEN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

IND … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC West

KC …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAC … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

OAK … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

NFC East

PHI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DAL … 2 - 1 = 0.667

WAS … 1 - 2 = 0.333

NYG … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC North

GB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

CHI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DET … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC South

ATL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

NO …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

TB …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC West

SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667

SEA … 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

******************************

-- Make sure you have the (free) FFM App with notifications enabled to get alerts anytime we post an article or report or update rankings to FFM/CFM.

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PLUS

Our 2019 In-Season coverage (Weekly rankings, all game reports, video shows, special reports, etc.) is available for pre-purchase, so you’re ready/signed up for when the season begins. Purchase In-Season and Draft Guide as a COMBO to save a few bucks and get all set up in one session.

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-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.

*******************************


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>