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RC: ‘Faux' (2.0) 2019 Computer Simulated NFL Season (Weeks 4-6)

Date:
July 20, 2019 10:33 AM
July 23, 2019 10:33 PM

Intro: Xavier Cromartie and I did our annual post-draft, summer computer simulated seasons from each of our data, and posted that in early June 2019 (Faux 1.0). Since then, I’ve had a chance to further study the draft prospects and UDFAs, researched the teams/players/coaches for our fantasy football draft guide, and looked at each team’s personnel/salary cap situation. With more study/research, some things have changed in my team/player expectations for 2019.

With that, I give you my Faux 2.0 computer simulated season to see what might have changed on outcomes, and there are a few playoff-worthy changes to report. Like usual, each day, I’ll release three weeks of results at a time with some basic notes on things and the entire records/standings to that point.

 

 Weeks 4-6 Notes…

 -- The Patriots and the (shocking) Cardinals possess the top records in the NFL at (5-1) at this stage of the simulations.

The schedule is begging the Patriots to go (6-0) but New England usually stumbles to a strange loss or two early (remember when the Jags and Lions whipped them early last season?).

Arizona is purely schedule going their way + confusion from opponents on trying to defend the new Air Raid. Last simulation Arizona flopped to the finish and went (8-8) after a (5-1) start. Will they in Faux 2.0? We’ll see.

 -- Worst records in football (1-5) are Cincy, Tampa, and Washington.

 -- Dallas, Philly and THE GIANTS are tied (3-3) a top the NFC East…but Dallas could be (5-1) pretty easily. The early schedule wants Dallas to take a step forward here.

 -- The Browns lead the AFC North at (4-2). 


 

 AFC East

NE …. 5 - 1 = 0.833

BUF … 3 - 2 = 0.600

MIA … 2 - 3 = 0.400

NYJ … 1 - 4 = 0.200

===============

AFC North

CLE … 4 - 2 = 0.667

PIT … 3 - 3 = 0.500

BAL … 3 - 3 = 0.500

CIN … 1 - 5 = 0.167

===============

AFC South

JAC … 4 - 2 = 0.667

HOU … 4 - 2 = 0.667

IND … 3 - 2 = 0.600

TEN … 2 - 4 = 0.333

===============

AFC West

LAC … 4 - 2 = 0.667

DEN … 4 - 2 = 0.667

KC … 4 - 2 = 0.667

OAK …. 1 - 4 = 0.200

===============

NFC East

PHI … 3 - 3 = 0.500

DAL … 3 - 3 = 0.500

NYG … 3 - 3 = 0.500

WAS … 1 - 5 = 0.167

===============

NFC North

GB … 4 - 2 = 0.667

CHI … 3 - 2 = 0.600

MIN …. 3 - 3 = 0.500

DET … 1 - 4 = 0.200

===============

NFC South

NO … 3 - 3 = 0.500

ATL …. 2 - 4 = 0.333

CAR … 2 - 4 = 0.333

TB …. 1 - 5 = 0.167

===============

NFC West

ARI … 5 - 1 = 0.833

SF … 3 - 2 = 0.600

LAR … 4 - 2 = 0.667

SEA …. 3 - 3 = 0.500

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>