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RC: ‘Faux' (2.0) 2019 Computer Simulated NFL Season (Weeks 7-9)

Date:
July 20, 2019 10:34 AM
July 24, 2019 11:11 PM

Intro: Xavier Cromartie and I did our annual post-draft, summer computer simulated seasons from each of our data, and posted that in early June 2019 (Faux 1.0). Since then, I’ve had a chance to further study the draft prospects and UDFAs, researched the teams/players/coaches for our fantasy football draft guide, and looked at each team’s personnel/salary cap situation. With more study/research, some things have changed in my team/player expectations for 2019.

With that, I give you my Faux 2.0 computer simulated season to see what might have changed on outcomes, and there are a few playoff-worthy changes to report. Like usual, each day, I’ll release three weeks of results at a time with some basic notes on things and the entire records/standings to that point.

 

 Weeks 7-9 Notes…

 -- The Patriots and Jaguars are tied for the best record in the NFL (7-2) in our latest simulations.

 -- The Buffalo Bills are a surprising (6-2). Consider…they have played five of their last 6 games at home.

 -- The Steelers (5-3) have moved into 1st place in the AFC North.

 -- KC and Denver (6-3) are tied at the top of the AFC West.

 -- The Saints (4-4) lead the NFC South with a weak record (tough schedule), ahead of ATL and CAR by a game.

 -- The Rams (6-2) jump ahead of Arizona (6-3) in the NFC West.

 -- TB, NYJ, and Cincy all have (1-7) records.


 

 AFC East

NE …. 7 - 2 = 0.778

BUF … 6 - 2 = 0.750

MIA … 3 - 5 = 0.375

NYJ … 1 - 7 = 0.125

===============

AFC North

PIT … 5 - 3 = 0.625

CLE … 4 - 4 = 0.500

BAL … 4 - 4 = 0.500

CIN … 1 - 7 = 0.125

===============

AFC South

JAC … 7 - 2 = 0.778

IND … 5 - 3 = 0.625

HOU … 5 - 4 = 0.556

TEN … 4 - 5 = 0.444

===============

AFC West

KC …. 6 - 3 = 0.667

DEN … 6 - 3 = 0.667

LAC … 5 - 4 = 0.556

OAK … 2 - 6 = 0.250

===============

NFC East

DAL … 5 - 3 = 0.625

PHI … 4 - 5 = 0.444

NYG … 4 - 5 = 0.444

WAS … 2 - 7 = 0.222

===============

NFC North

CHI … 5 - 3 = 0.625

GB … 5 - 4 = 0.556

MIN …. 4 - 5 = 0.444

DET … 3 - 5 = 0.375

===============

NFC South

NO …. 4 - 4 = 0.500

ATL … 3 - 5 = 0.375

CAR … 3 - 5 = 0.375

TB …. 1 - 7 = 0.125

===============

NFC West

LAR … 6 - 2 = 0.750

ARI … 6 - 3 = 0.667

SEA …. 5 - 4 = 0.556

SF … 4 - 4 = 0.500

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PLUS

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>