Intro: Xavier Cromartie and I did our annual post-draft, summer computer simulated seasons from each of our data, and posted that in early June 2019 (Faux 1.0). Since then, I’ve had a chance to further study the draft prospects and UDFAs, researched the teams/players/coaches for our fantasy football draft guide, and looked at each team’s personnel/salary cap situation. With more study/research, some things have changed in my team/player expectations for 2019.
With that, I give you my Faux 2.0 computer simulated season to see what might have changed on outcomes, and there are a few playoff-worthy changes to report. Like usual, each day, I’ll release three weeks of results at a time with some basic notes on things and the entire records/standings to that point.
Faux 2.0 Wild Card Playoffs…
#5 Houston at #4 Cleveland
The Browns win 74% of the simulations.
We had this matchup in Faux 1.0, and it’s still a pretty similar result. Can you imagine the excitement for the week leading up to and the game of the Browns going to New England for the Divisional playoffs?
#6 Pittsburgh at #3 Kansas City
The Chiefs win 78% of the simulations.
This is also an identical matchup from Faux 1.0, with a similar result. Kansas City will, again, face Jacksonville in the Divisional round of our simulations 2.0.
#5 Dallas at #4 Philadelphia
Dallas wins 51% of the simulations.
By the narrowest of margins, the road team pulls an upset. The Eagles won the division on a tiebreaker. The teams split in the regular season and Dallas moves on from here to face the Rams, whom they’ve already beaten in the regular season (at Dallas).
#6 Arizona at #3 Green Bay
Green Bay wins 55% of the simulations.
Too much to ask for the upstart Cardinals to go to Green Bay in January and win a playoff game. The Packers head to New Orleans next game.
Coming up tomorrow:
#4 Cleveland at #1 New England
#3 Kansas City at #2 Jacksonville
#5 Dallas at #1 L.A. Rams
#3 Green Bay at #2 New Orleans
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-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.
-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.
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