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RC: ‘Faux’ 2019 Computer Simulated NFL Season (Weeks 7-9)

Date:
May 22, 2019 9:35 AM
May 22, 2019 9:33 AM

RC: ‘Faux’ 2019 Computer Simulated NFL Season (Weeks 7-9)

Just for ‘fun’ and to try to get a feel for the early over-under win total bets in the NFL, NFL Draft guru Xavier Cromartie and I run a computer simulated season every summer to compare and contrast where we see certain teams at, and the league overall, in the upcoming season.

Obviously, this is a ‘way too early’ look at the season because the moment we publish this, an elite QB goes down with an injury and changes the entire landscape for so many teams. We’re running a simulation in a ‘safe environment’ on injuries, etc., so this is a bit of a Utopian look.

We’ll release three weeks of results and quick commentary on it each day and walk through our playoffs and eventual Super Bowl winner. Neither of us knows what the other person simulated/projected until we have our entire ‘faux’ season locked in and written up.

So, here we go with the next installment of the ‘Faux’ 2019 season…

-- Well, now we have one new surprise team leaping to the top of the board for best NFL record…one obvious, one mild surprise…

The Patriots (7-2) keep rolling because their schedule dictates it. The past few weeks they beat CLE at home and then lost to BAL on the road.

Tied with the Pats at 7-2…the Jacksonville Jaguars at 7-2, riding a five-game winning streak…beating at CAR, NO, at CIN, NYJ, HOU (in their 2nd-home…Europe). The league’s top defense with their O-Line in tact this season (if it happens…they were the #1 rush team of 2017, and devastated by injury in 2018). And don’t forget the miraculous QB that the media despises…Nick Foles, an obvious upgrade from Bortles/Kessler – Hey, dumb football media…can we at least agree on that last Foles statement?

In other news…

-- The Pats are 7-2, but there’s Buffalo at 6-3…with their strong defense and easy schedule, and bad QB and all. If Blake Bortles could get Jacksonville to the Final Four in 2017 season with a top defense…Buffalo can too, with their easy schedule. I could see 6-3 or 3-6 for them at this point. Cannot bet heavy on Josh Allen at the top.

-- The Browns’ lost at NE and at DEN to fall to 4-4. The Steelers open up a two-game lead in the AFC North.

-- KC and Denver sit atop the AFC West at 6-3. The Vic Fangio defense making a difference.

-- Dallas leads the Eagles by a game for the NFC East lead.

-- Green Bay (6-3) is falling and here comes Chicago (5-3).

-- The Saints are stumbling at 4-4…a very tough schedule. They are tied for the AFC South lead with Atlanta.

-- The Rams (6-2) pull ahead of the Cardinals (6-3) for the NFC West lead.

AFC East

NE …. 7 - 2 = 0.778

BUF … 6 - 2 = 0.750

MIA … 3 - 5 = 0.375

NYJ … 1 - 7 = 0.125

===============

AFC North

PIT … 6 - 2 = 0.750

CLE … 4 - 4 = 0.500

BAL … 4 - 4 = 0.500

CIN … 0 - 8 = 0.000

===============

AFC South

JAC … 7 - 2 = 0.778

IND … 5 - 3 = 0.625

HOU … 5 - 4 = 0.556

TEN … 4 - 5 = 0.444

===============

AFC West

KC …. 6 - 3 = 0.667

DEN … 6 - 3 = 0.667

LAC … 5 - 4 = 0.556

OAK … 1 - 7 = 0.125

===============

NFC East

DAL … 5 - 3 = 0.625

PHI … 4 - 5 = 0.444

NYG … 3 - 6 = 0.333

WAS … 2 - 7 = 0.222

===============

NFC North

GB … 6 - 3 = 0.667

CHI … 5 - 3 = 0.625

DET … 3 - 5 = 0.375

MIN …. 3 - 6 = 0.333

===============

NFC South

NO …. 4 - 4 = 0.500

ATL … 4 - 4 = 0.500

CAR … 2 - 6 = 0.250

TB …. 2 - 6 = 0.250

===============

NFC West

LAR … 6 - 2 = 0.750

ARI … 6 - 3 = 0.667

SF … 5 - 3 = 0.625

SEA …. 5 - 4 = 0.556

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>