ffm logo home

Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

"The scouting home for serious, high-stakes dynasty fantasy football profiteers
rss feed

REWIND -- 2018 Week 1 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Bills v. Ravens

Date:
July 14, 2019 11:54 PM
July 16, 2019 8:17 AM

REWIND -- 2018 Week 1 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Bills v. Ravens

Believe it or not, we’re less than a month away from the first NFL preseason game – the HOF game (DEN v. ATL). Weeks away from real training camp. Leading up to that time, I wanted to go back through Week 1 of 2018…just for fun and any learning/takeaways that could be had…and something to get the juices flowing to get ready for the 2019 football season.

I’m going to republish a Week 1 game every day the next 2+ weeks, publishing them as-is in the order I did them – starting with the TNF kickoff of Bears v. Packers. No extra/new commentary. Just the content/recap of things that were accessible only for In-Season subscribers Week 1 (and every week) last season.

Access to all our game recaps (and everything else we do) in-season are available via our In-Season subscription. You can sign up for that now and be ready for September 2019 new material and have access to all the private content from 2018 – BUT also note there are Combo packages/deals to get your Draft Guide and In-Season (and Dynasty Stash) all in one checkout right now as well.

Otherwise, let’s walk down memory lane to see what was important or telling or an entertaining reminder in Week 1 of 2018…

It’s a virtual waste of time digging in too deep into this game tape. I don’t think we have any real clues to the future (Week 2+) for these two teams from here. We should act like this game never happened.

The game was played in a constant rain and 15+ MPH winds. The Bills went with Nathan Peterman to start and he was as bad as ever. His career was ruined by his debut mid-season last year. That’s how ‘smart’ Sean McDermott is…he LOVES Nathan Peterman. So much so, he pulled Tyrod Taylor during a season where they had a winning record and inserted Peterman as a rookie…and the Chargers blew him up with five picks in a half of football.

Two picks and a 40-0 deficit later in this game, Peterman was mercifully pulled again.

…but DEFINITELY trust McDermott that he knows and will foster Josh Allen as a future star. Great track record you can trust.

The short of this game: It was messy conditions. The Bills applied almost no pressure to Joe Flacco, who sat in the pocket for hours making simple plays. Peterman was so bad that it was three-and-out almost the entire game (I don’t think he converted one 3rd-down), and the Bills body language died and went to football heaven pretty quickly. The Ravens treated this like a preseason game, playing backups the second half for the most part. It was a joke.

The clock is ticking on Stone Cold Sean McDermott. He won’t last to the end of 2019, and maybe not to the end of this year a. 0-16 is on the table.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- Josh Allen (6-15 for 74 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) took over in the 4th-quarter with his team down 40-zip. Allen provided a small spark, I guess. Still, the same Josh Allen…under 50% completions. When they did get into the red zone, he threw a pass 85 MPH to Kelvin Benjamin, who couldn’t grab it in the downpour.

The good thing about Allen’s arm is he throws so hard for no reason that he won’t have a lot of INTs because DBs won’t be able to catch his throws either.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Allen was pretty decent this week against an injured LAC defense. Allen is hard to defend sometimes. With time, Allen can make some beautiful throws. If the Chargers cannot pressure without Joey Bosa…they might get a couple zingers from Allen. Under pressure, Allen is cooked.

Eventually, Allen is going to fail because he’s just not a meticulous pocket passer with accuracy and velocity control, but he is better suited for this than Peterman is.

-- Don’t read anything into the RB usage here for Baltimore. It was a blowout right away and this became a Ravens Week 4 preseason game. All the Kenneth Dixon (7-39-0) action was late just try to end this mercy killing.

However, Dixon is hurt/on IR and it leaves Alex Collins (7-13-1, 1-6-0/1), the ‘fumbler’, just one fumble away from Javorius Allen (4-17-1, 5-15-0/6) being the 50-50 split…and better PPR fantasy option.  I love Allen as a sneaky last roster spot hold in a redraft PPR right now. A guy who will get 5+ catches a game regardless but maybe 7-10 catches regularly if he is the ‘starter’.

Dark horse candidate – the Ravens activated De’Lance Turner from the practice squad, and he’s better than Alex Collins. He can/will steal the coach’s and fan’s hearts if they let him.

-- Lamar Jackson (1-4 for 24 yards, 0 TD/0 INT, 7-39-0) came into the game early for an ill-fated nonsense play with him as a WR coming around for a jet sweep run-pass option (almost sacked, threw the ball away). We saw him later in the running-the-clock-out effort.

-- Remember a lot of years ago when Kelvin Benjamin (1-10-0/7) was good once? Man, this passing game is a disaster and he looks meaningless.

Snap Counts of Interest:

54 = Boyle

44 = Maxx Williams

22 = Mark Andrews

60 = Zay Jones

47 = Kelvin Benjamin

44 = Jeremy Kerley

34 = LeSean McCoy

23 = Marcus Murphy

07 = Chris Ivory

******************************

-- Make sure you have the FFM App with notifications enabled to get alerts anytime we post an article or report or update rankings to FFM/CFM.

-- College Football Metrics statistically scouts/grades 600+ NFL Draft prospects, and deeper studies 100+ prospects pre- and post-draft with detailed scouting reports and rank the top 300+ Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects (including IDP) every week throughout the offseason. See our home page for details on our various subscriptions.

-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc.

-- The 2019 Annual Fantasy Football Metrics Draft Guide is now available – the 2019 player scoring projections, rankings, special reports, commentary on 600+ players, IDP rankings…all updated daily/weekly throughout the offseason right

*******************************

Tags:
Support us by shopping our affiliate links>>
FansEdge by Fanatics

Shop the Freshest Sports Apparel Styles from FansEdge

SportsMemorabilia.com

Shop for Authentic Autographed Collectibles at SportsMemorabilia.com

Amazon

Shop our Amazon affiliate link and save!

NFL Shop

NFLShop - The Official Online Shop of the NFL!

CBS Sports Shop by Fanatics

Get NFL Apparel & Gear!

Fanatics

Sports Apparel, Jerseys and Fan Gear at Fanatics.com Sports Shop

StubHub

Best Selection of NFL Tickets on StubHub!

Steiner Sports

15% OFF Authentic Sports and Entertainment Signed Memorabilia!

Draft Kings

Daily fantasy sports for cash! Play FREE to win millions!

LeagueSafe

Collect League Dues...for FREE!

About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>