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REWIND – A Look Back At Our Top 25 Most Undervalued Fantasy Assets 2018 Preseason (#9-10 Marlon Mack and Tarik Cohen)

Date:
June 26, 2019 11:03 PM
June 27, 2019 9:09 AM

REWIND – A Look Back At Our Top 25 Most Undervalued Fantasy Assets 2018 Preseason (#9-10 Marlon Mack and Tarik Cohen)

 

For the next two weeks, I am going to show and discuss two players per day from last year’s FFM Draft Guide report on ‘The Most Undervalued Players’ (for the then upcoming 2018 season). We’re looking back at the information from last year’s draft guide to see how it worked out and what we can learn for this season (if anything).

In general, if you were with us last year, it should’ve been a pretty good run. 2018 was the best in-season records and highest seasonal points scored in the near decade of draft guides and strategy reports in the summer/preseasons for subscribers. A lot of it due to the players we offered as undervalued because we not only talked about it – but we put a redraft/best ball (and dynasty) strategy built around grabbing these guys before others were even thinking about it. Some of you were mocked for who you took and when you took them – and then you started setting scoring records and shut them up (well, they never shut up…let that be a lesson to never worry about what the mainstream people are doing – we ‘play’ them like fiddles why they mock our moves, but who’s always one-step ahead in drafts, waivers, and trades?).

I’m going to republish two players per day starting with #27-28 on the list and go for 14 days to the end of June 2019. We’ll see if the concepts were smart or dumb…and what the lesson might be a year later. Our undervalued report is looking for lower cost, great ROI opportunities – not all will pan out but enough of them will…and some of them were ‘liked’ players by many but we considered undervalued because we projected them cornerstone players trading as ‘might be good’ for the masses in summer 2018.

It’s a review and learning series and also a pitch to show what info/intel you new folks to FFM in 2019 missed last season. We do it differently here…it will likely freak you out at first, make you say, “No one else is saying that…it can’t be right,” but that’s just your long-term fantasy-brainwashing talking. I know, I used to be captive as well.

Come walk the road less traveled with us…

 

In PPR leagues, Weeks 1-16 (no Week 17), Tarik Cohen was the #13 RB in PPG average (10 or more games played) and Marlon Mack was right behind him at #14. Two ‘wins’ for the Undervalued Report last year…IF you had patience.

Weeks 1-3…I was hated for promoting these two guys onto client’s fantasy teams. Slow starts for both guys. Mack was dinged up and Cohen was not utilized anything like we hoped. Patience was lost, by some, and people started redraft-dropping Mack (he wasn’t even active most games early on due to injury) and Cohen was being traded away or dropped as well.

Cohen exploded Week 4 and went on a run as an RB1 in PPR from Week 4 through Week 16. Mack finally returned to healthy and exploded Week 7 and was a non-PPR RB1 the rest of the season…an RB1.5 in PPR.

Great value picks in the preseason…if you were able to stick by them or reacquire Mack off waivers ahead of his breakout.

 

What I pitched about a year ago:

 

RB Marlon Mack, Indianapolis

*FFM Rank in PPR: #19-25 range among RBs in June 2018…ADP range: #30-35*

I keep having to check the Indy depth chart…why is the Colts’s clear #1 RB on the roster trading so poorly (ADP-wise) in June 2018? Is Frank Gore still here… He’s not, right? I’m pretty sure he’s with Miami. The Colts didn’t draft anyone of note…and if you think Nyheim Hines is ‘of note’ you’re sadly mistaken.

Christine Michael? Josh Ferguson? Robert Turbin? Nyheim Hines? Basically, the Colts have Marlon Mack and a group of RBs who couldn’t make 90%+ of the 53-man rosters in league. The Colts didn’t sign any RBs in free agency, nor they did they make a big push to draft one. You want touches/volume in your RB? It’s coming with Marlon Mack. As it stands right now.

Perhaps, the Colts will grab a discarded RB off the waiver wires later into the preseason but really…who’s out there of note that’s clearly better than Mack? And why would they come to Indy if they were any good?

Marlon Mack is served better in an Alvin Kamara role, but if they are going to shove him into a LeSean McCoy role, then that’s FF-fine with me.

 

 

RB Tarik Cohen, Chicago

*FFM Rank in PPR: #15-20 range among RBs in June 2018…ADP range: #30-35*

Tarik Cohen was fantastic running the ball in the 2017 preseason, better than I scouted him in college…and he was terrific in college. Once he hit the regular season, Cohen cranked it up to another level of player tearing it up as a receiver…8 catches in Week 1 and 8 more catches in Week 2. Every rushing attempt seemed like a ‘hold your breath’ moment…he seemed like he was going to take the most basic of carries or screen passes to the house. He was electric.

…for a few weeks, and then the Bears just put him in the garage and decided to lose as many games as they could, I guess. I mention all this because Cohen could have been Rookie of the Year working with Sean McVay or anyone that just kept feeding him as a runner-receiver. He flashed his high-end skills right off the bat in the NFL.

Well, now there’s a new coaching staff, one that’s offensive minded and one that’s already professing love for Tarik Cohen. They see the WR-like receiving skills and I think they’re set to unleash him as the weapon of mass destruction he should be…a guy who lines up at tail back one play then flanker the next and all over…and plays a lot more snaps than 2018. Not just in a relief role for Jordan Howard, but a weapon that the team gets onto the field and gets his hands on the ball 10-15+ times a game.

Cohen is special and a super fantasy bargain in the summer of 2018.

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>