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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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Fantasy Football Metrics

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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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The Jason Katz Cowboys Super Bowl Season 2017 Tour...Week 14

December 12, 2017 11:43 PM
December 13, 2017 6:00 AM

You may know Jason Katz from his published football work on sites like FantasyPros. You may also know him as a member of our Handicapping Group. You may also know him, or will get to know him as a die-hard Dallas Cowboys' fan.

I asked Jason to follow the Cowboys for us all year...for fandom and fantasy. I did so, because he's convinced, like most fan(atic)s that thinking something good will happen will jinx it to not make it so. I have a different theory -- when I see a jinx potential, I pour it on to reverse the jinx. I see a jinx and yell 'this is a jinx' just to spit in the face of the jinx. The Dallas Cowboys are going to win the Super Bowl this season, and I am not a biased fan...and the more I say it...the more it's likely to come true...and the more l say it...the more likely Jason loses sleep and hair follicles.

Jason is a talented young writer, so please enjoy him manically following the 'Boys...but also sharing fantasy ideas, as his blood runs FFM green and CFM crimson.

Follow more of Katz's work on Twitter: @jasonkatz13

I don’t care if they ultimately punched it in on 3rd and goal from the 1, it is gross negligence to run three plays from the 1 yard line and not have Julio Jones in for any of them.

I loved Sean Payton’s call to go for it on 4th and 1 from well inside field goal range. You play to win the game. I didn’t love Drew Brees’ pick in the end zone though or Sean Payton’s unsportsmanlike conduct penalty shortly thereafter. 

Sean McDermott punted on 4th and 1 from the Colts 41 with 4:13 left in overtime. But since they somehow got the ball back and LeSean McCoy willed them to victory, no one will care. 

The Jaguars challenged a three yard reception on the first Seahawks offensive play of the game. Then they punted from Seattle’s 37 on 3rd and 3. But since they won the game, no one will care. 

Dez Bryant is back to the new Dez Bryant this week. He had an awful drop on a sure touchdown in the second quarter. It was a perfect throw by Dak. Dez drop. Cole Beasley drop. Dan Bailey 53 yard field goal off the upright. Sounds about right. 

The Giants punted from the Cowboys 37 yard line on 4th and 3. Evidently the firing of Ben McAdoo did not fix the horrible coaching decisions problem. Aside from the fact that punting in that situation is objectively incorrect 99% of the time, it is even more egregious given that this Giants team is literally playing for nothing. What exactly do they have to lose by not going for it? 

Alfred Morris went out of bounds on back to back runs with under 5 minutes left in the game. Does no one teach these players to just slide down in bounds? I get that it ultimately didn’t matter, but that doesn’t change the action. There will come a time when shaving off those 40 seconds is crucial. 

Eventually, from a full game standpoint, the Cowboys offense got back on track. Dez’s long touchdown was mostly bad coverage/tackling by the Giants. Rod Smith’s long touchdown was the product of the Giants mostly selling out to try and get a stop. The big takeaway for me, though, is that Dak is back. Remember when he was bad for three games and that meant he was never actually good? Because apparently three down games after the offense undergoes a seismic shift holds more water than a year and a half of high level performance. Nope. None of that. Dak is elite and this team is finishing 10-6. Sadly, it won’t be enough, but as long as the team can stay relatively healthy and Ezekiel Elliott can stay relatively non-criminal, this team should be poised for another run next year.


Monday Night Rant… 

Seriously, Tom Brady? This guy is supposed to be the greatest QB of all time. Now obviously I know that doesn’t mean he will literally have to be great every single game. But what I saw Monday night – my god. Tom? Where did you go? 

I’ve been watching football for over 20 years. I’ve been playing fantasy football for 16 years. I’ve been seriously studying this game intently for the past five or six years. I have seen legends like Ryan Lindley, Tyler Palko, Jamarcus Russell, John Skelton, Richard Bartel, Max Hall, Stephen McGee, and those are just the ones I can remember off the top of my head. I can’t remember watching a QB in recent memory that looked any worse than Tom Brady looked on Monday night.

 Brady missed Brandin Cooks deep by underthrowing him. Brady missed Cooks on open routes. Brady literally didn’t see Danny Amendola breaking wide open for a touchdown. Brady missed a wide open Dwayne Allen really badly twice. Brady missed Chris Hogan a time or two. The Patriots hadn’t gone a full game without a third down conversion since 1991 until Monday night. We’ve seen this team make miracle comebacks. We just saw it last February. The Dolphins gave the Patriots ample opportunities. Every time you thought, “okay, now Brady makes this run,” he failed. Time and time again. Chance after chance. Brady crumbled when his team needed him most. You can blame the receivers for not getting open enough. You can blame the offensive line for not protecting Brady. You can blame the defense for getting shredded by Jay Cutler. All of those things are fine. I blame Tom Brady. Just one night after watching Antonio Brown get open over and over and over again and watching Ben Roethlisberger drop dimes over the top that AB would catch in stride, I was subjected to Brady misfiring after Cooks and Hogan would do the same thing. We all thought Ben was done. Apparently Brady is much closer. I won’t go so far as to declare Brady done because that would be an overreaction, but 2011 Brady does not do what 2017 Brady did Monday night.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>