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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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Fantasy Football Metrics

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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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The Jason Katz Cowboys Super Bowl Season 2017 Tour...Week 15

December 21, 2017 2:06 PM
December 21, 2017 1:55 PM

You may know Jason Katz from his published football work on sites like FantasyPros. You may also know him as a member of our Handicapping Group. You may also know him, or will get to know him as a die-hard Dallas Cowboys' fan.

I asked Jason to follow the Cowboys for us all year...for fandom and fantasy. I did so, because he's convinced, like most fan(atic)s that thinking something good will happen will jinx it to not make it so. I have a different theory -- when I see a jinx potential, I pour it on to reverse the jinx. I see a jinx and yell 'this is a jinx' just to spit in the face of the jinx. The Dallas Cowboys are going to win the Super Bowl this season, and I am not a biased fan...and the more I say it...the more it's likely to come true...and the more l say it...the more likely Jason loses sleep and hair follicles.

Jason is a talented young writer, so please enjoy him manically following the 'Boys...but also sharing fantasy ideas, as his blood runs FFM green and CFM crimson.

Follow more of Katz's work on Twitter: @jasonkatz13

What’s the point in punting on 4th and 1 from your own 45 John Fox? Your team isn’t making the playoffs. The season is over. There’s nothing to lose.

Jim Caldwell decided that on 3rd and 15 before halftime, he had to run a meaningless draw play instead of just kneeling to go to the half. Congratulations on gifting the Bears three points.

I get that the Chiefs won the game, but only one shot deep to Tyreek Hill? Why? They did it once and it worked. There wasn’t a single opportunity to try it again? I’m supposed to believe that?

What exactly was Anthony Lynn doing at the end of the game. I know this is meaningless, but why was Philip Rivers running the hurry up rushing attack? The Chargers called three timeouts to get the ball back with under two minutes left down three scores, only to run draws to Melvin Gordon…then rush to the line as if there was a sense of urgency to try and score…and then run more draws. Why not just let the Chiefs kneel? What exactly were they trying to accomplish?

The Falcons scored a touchdown on their second drive so no one will care about this, but consider the play calling inside the 10 yard line. Designed pass to the flat to the fullback. Dive with Devonta Freeman. Back shoulder to Justin Hardy for the touchdown. It’s amazing how Julio Jones might as well not even be on the field in the red zone.

 On the Falcons’ next trip to the red zone, they got down to the two yard line and then sent Julio to the bench.

Jameis Winston’s touchdown pass to Mike Evans was an awful decision. It was his typical heave into double coverage and Evans just made a play.

Dak Prescott’s opening drive interception is partially a high throw, but mostly Dez Bryant not making an effort to catch it at all.

Jason Garrett’s fake punt call was bold, but it worked to try and spark an offense that looked horrendous in the second half. Dak finished the drive strong. The touchdown rush was Russell Wilson-esque, but the real play of the drive was two plays earlier when Dak ran the read option for the first down and then instead of sliding after he got it, turned up field for a few more yards.

Going for it on 4th and 1 from your own 40 is something coaches almost never do. Jason Garrett again made the correct call here. He didn’t really disguise the QB sneak it all and trusted the offensive line to get the necessary push and Dak to extend the ball across and he did in the closest first down measurement I’ve ever seen.

I absolutely hate the three runs from the goal line when you have a mobile quarterback like Dak. I’m not entirely sure the math says to kick the field goal from the 1 yard line even with under two minutes left, but I am not going to criticize that call.

The pass interference call that gave the Raiders the ball inside the 20 was one of those calls where there was definitely interference, but the refs could’ve swallowed the whistle, so to speak. It ultimately didn’t matter as Derek Carr treated his first down scamper like it was literally the last play of the game. Had he just gone out of bounds like he should’ve, the Raiders would’ve had three shots at the end zone from the three yard line with about 40 seconds left. Carr got greedy. And the Cowboys benefited from one of the worst rules in football. I don’t know who determined that a fumble through the end zone should be a touchback, but it’s a terrible rule.

The Saints should beat the Falcons this week so I would expect the Cowboys to need a Panthers road win in Atlanta week 17 to make the playoffs. This, of course, all presumes the Cowboys take care of business and win out. At the very least, I think they’ll be playing meaningful football week 17.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>