‍

Sorry, distracted by Halloween!

https://bettheclose.libsyn.com/btc-week-8-nfl-preview

Picks for this week...

CLE (-2.5) - I think we get a totally focused effort from the Browns after losing OBJ and a bye next week.  Vegas goes on the road with a defense that is giving up 33 PPG.  Also think bettors will shy away from the Browns because CLE missed the extra point to blow the point spread cover last week...look ahead line last week was CLE -3.5...now -2.5...I’ll take the value.  (*There’s been some serious money on LV to get this line down to -1.5...I’m still on CLE but I fear/respect that move*)

IND (-2.5) - I think it’s become cool to hate IND and Rivers...it’s true they haven’t beaten a good team...but would that statement change if they beat the Lions?  It’s also true that so far this season they lost 2 of their 3 starting WRs, their starting RB, 2 TEs, a key OL for a few games, a great safety and a superstar LB.  The bye allowed them to get healthy with Leonard and Pittman coming back.  DET can be an up and comer for sure, and I love the move to acquire E.Griffin...still M.Patricia vs F.Reich.  

TEN/CIN (over 50.5)...we think this will be the best weather of the 5 “impacted” weather games.  Keeping a close eye on it since both defenses can be had.  

Player Props

Joe Burrow (over 14.5 rush yards) - He hasn’t run much this season...I feel like the combo of wind and the banged up OL will generate a few more rushing opportunity to get is over this number.

Josh Allen over (36.5 rush yards) - I’m all in on QBs carrying the ball in the bad weather...he’s only gone over this total twice but it was the past 2 games.  Again is the wind suppressed passing I think his legs become a bigger part of the offense.

Cam Newton over 44.5 rushing yards - wind is a factor, combined with this beating an all in game for him and the Patriots.  

We’ll post anything else on Twitter @bettheclose throughout Sunday morning.

Good luck with your bets...win some money or have fun trying!

‍