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2015 Preseason Week-1 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: PIT-JAC (8/15/15)

Date:
January 24, 2018 1:00 AM
August 21, 2015 12:42 AM
— Our offseason ‘Rewind’ reports are where we look at an individual player’s previous season(s) of work–analyzing and researching it for clues on whether it was a ‘blip’ performance, or signs of future greatness…or signs of a mega-bust approaching. We try to do two per week in the offseason. —

— First things first is what made me so ticked off watching this game: The Jags RB situation…

Toby Gerhart (4 carries for 13 yards, 2 rec. for 30 yards on 2 targets) ran ‘like a boss’ in this game. He’s such a capable, power runner+ in the NFL. Many (mostly me) are angry at him because we got our FF-hopes up in 2014 with him as a main carry guy for the Jags, and then he got hurt halfway into the season opener, and missed a lot of time…and was never right all season. He was ‘working it’ in this game.

Some of you were mad at me for a moment, for being so ‘high’ on Gerhart for redrafts last year (and taking you down with me), but then I redeemed myself by calling Denard Robinson (4 carries for 22 yards) like a ‘Babe Ruth shot’ out of nowhere back in the preseason. Robinson took over for Gerhart last season, and was terrific…until he got banged up too.

The Jags added Bernard Pierce (5 carries for 15 yards, 3 rec. for 22 yards on 4 targets) for free this offseason, and he ran angry in this particular game–and it was good to see. Pierce is a very nice NFL talent with obvious other issues that need controlling…regardless, he’s a talent.

You could be fine with a backfield rotating Gerhart-Robinson-Pierce. It’s as solid and diverse a group as any NFL team would need. Super Bowl defending champion New England would take that trio in exchange for all their RBs right now.

So why in the world did Jacksonville waste a higher draft pick on T.J. Yeldon (DNP)? It’s a colossal waste of resources, and he isn’t even that good—he was the 2nd-best RB on his college team that’s been spitting out overrated RB prospects for years. Even if he is great, you don’t need him—what else could you have done with the Yeldon pick?

The Jags are destroying themselves with poor moves at the skill positions: QB-RB-WR.

I mean, Stephen freaking Morris (3-9 for 44 yards, 0 TD/ 0 INT)…you kept him, and dropped Ricky Stanzi? Did you see Stanzi work in the Giants preseason game? He’s better than your last decade of current and former QBs, RIGHT THIS SECOND! How could you miss it? Your staff got to coach the Senior Bowl in 2014, and worked with Jordan Matthews for a full week…and then you drafted Marqise Lee (DNP) instead? It’s criminal. What are you seeing when you watch these players work?

It’s a shame for the Jacksonville fans, but at least they have a sweet pool to swim in during the home games to divert their attention.

Other than that, I have no real feelings on this situation.

 

 — Actually, let me throw in some/a lot of Jags personnel positives after that rebuke…to pick up their spirits some. Actually, in all seriousness, Jacksonville is starting to land some savvy personnel punches…RB and QB aside. I mean really under-the-radar slick.

People in the Jags personnel department: Great job with poaching LB IDP Jeremiah George (5 tackles, 1 TFL) from the Jets, and adding Safety IDP Matt Daniels (2 tackles) off the streets this offseason. You’re on the right track. Keep it going!

Matt Daniels was a highly rated Safety for us a few draft classes ago, but he tore his knees up while with St. Louis, and is scratching and clawing his way back…AGAIN! He’s a fantastic hitter, and flat out leveled a WR in this game. Godspeed Matt, I hope you stay healthy…and if you do, you should start for Jacksonville…now.

Hey, here’s more kudos. I don’t know where you pulled DE IDP Nordly “Cap” Capi (2 tackles, 2 sacks, 3 QB hits) from (Akron by way of kicked off Colorado State), but excellent grab! Even I missed this one. I want to see more of him. Holy hell, he lookedLawrence Taylor at times in this game (maybe that’s some hyperbole). It sent me back to the scouting files. Hands down, the best young pass rusher I’ve seen in Week-1 of the preseason—arguably the best I’ve seen in years. He is relentless. I’m going through a CFM scouting report on him now to publish this weekend—that’s how impressive. I’m trying to find out if it was a fluke.

The Jags are really one player away from changing everything…QB, and you and I both know it’s not Blake Bortles (11-15 for 118 yards). You guys are doing some fine work (Denard Robinson, Matt Daniels, Nordly Capi, and Jeremiah George), but cut it out with the Storm Johnson and Ace Sanders-type higher draft picks and ever liking a QB (Bortles, Gabbert, Morris). Just let me pick your QBs, and you can do everything else…and stop spending bigger money and high draft picks on RBs.

We can make the playoffs, are you with me?

 — One more ass-kiss to Jacksonville…

Again, why draft RBs highly, when you are pulling Corey Grant (2 carries for 6 yards, 1 rec. for 15 yards on 1 target) as a UDFA? The guys got real NFL speed. He works in the NFL, right now. You see the 2 carries for 6 yards, and are maybe not impressed. Make sure to see the long run that got called back when I post it on the FFM Twitter. I mean—that’s NFL speed.

Grant is a superior athletic talent, but has battled injury and inconsistency all through his Auburn years. If he stays healthy, he has something to offer…along with the other nine thousand decent RBs the Jags.

OK, Jags are a QB from the playoffs…who’s with me?

 

 — Now to let some air out of a balloon on a beloved FF-player…

I know. I know, Martavis Bryant (3 rec. for 55 yards and 1 TD on 5 targets)…all he does is score long TDs, and he got a 44 yarder in this one, and it was the main highlight on the 30-second recap. His ADP had been fading on news he’s working behind Markus Wheaton, but this one long TD play jacked him back on redraft fire again.

*You should read our ‘2014 Rewind’ study of Martavis Bryant (just copy paste that into a Google search).

On the first series of this game, Bryant started to go deep, and two steps in the CB slipped and fell, and/or Bryant shoved him down…the CB reached up to try to grab Bryant as he dropped (and got the flag). Whatever you rule it, Bryant had a 3-5+ yard head start because of the fallen defender, and Big Ben made the Jags pay. This was not Bryant being a god, just a fortuitous play that makes Bryant look invincible.

 

 — FYI, Ryan Shazier (8 tackles, 6 solo) led all players in tackles in this game…again.

 

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to opening-day, Moneyball scouted, 2015 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are available now. Direct link: Draft Guide 2015 options**

 

 

*

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>