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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Dec. 1, 2022/Thursday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 12: Dolphins 30, Texans 15 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 12 Game Recap: Eagles 40, Packers 33 (By Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 13 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick

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-- 2022 Week 12: Jaguars 28, Ravens 27 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Week 12 projections will update approx. NoonET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

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*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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2022 Week 13 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick

My white-hot picking ways led to a (12-4) ATS record last week, a (4-1) Blazing Five (my top 5 listed games each week but not including Thu. Games by rule) and brought the best bet home.

I’m not changing a thing for my picking formulas…I’ve been killing it for several weeks, pretty much all season. And this week, I think there’s some excellent opportunities in spreads to take advantage of. High confidence going into the week, which usually means trouble. Let’s see who wins…my feelings or betting karma!

My top 5 (non-THU) picks are all underdogs that I believe the underdog will win all, most all of, the games straight up. I am (15-8) YTD when calling for an underdog straight up win (not factoring spread, just straight up win). 

Good luck with your picks this week.

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Week 12 results…

FFM All picks straight up: 11-5

FFM ATS: 12-4

FFM Best Bet: 1-0

FFM Blazing Five (no TNF): 4-1

FFM Calling a dog for an outright win: 1-1

Chris ATS: 7-9

Ross ATS: 11-5

Chris Best Bet: 0-1

Ross Best Bet: 0-1

When All 3 analysts agree: 4-1

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 4-2, for me

FFM Survivor: DAL(W)

Chris Survivor: XXX

Ross Survivor: MIA(W)

All Underdogs ATS = 8-8

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YTD results…

All picks straight up: 128-61-1

ATS: 107-69-4 (61%)

Best Bet: 8-4

Blazing Five (no TNF): 39-19-2 (67.2%)

Calling a dog for an outright win: 15-8

Chris ATS: 108-68-4

Ross ATS: 93-83-4

Chris Best Bet: 9-3 (maybe you should listen to the expert!)

Ross Best Bet: 6-6

When All 3 analysts agree: 45-23-1

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 19-17, for me

FFM Survivor: BAL(W), BUF(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), CIN(W), KC(W), MIA(W), ATL(L), NO(W), DAL(W)

Chris Survivor: BAL(W), GB(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), LAR(W), CIN(W), DAL(W), BUF(L), TEN(W), SF(W)

Ross Survivor: DEN(L), XXX, BUF (L), GB(W), PHI(W), SF(L), LV(W), DAL(W), TB(W), KC(W), BAL(W), MIA(W)

All Underdogs ATS = 96-80-4

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Week 13 Picks….

JAX (-1.5) at DET *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: DET by 5.4 (a 6.9 spread differential)

Bet of the Year candidate here. The Lions are WAY better than the Jags. But the media/public discounts the Lions and thinks Trevor is generational and that their win over the Ravens is a breakout moment for the team. It was a lucky win last week, Trevor is not better than Goff, and the Jags are nowhere near as good as the Lions. Easiest bet of the week…and, perhaps, year.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DET

Ross Jacobs: JAX

NO at TB (-3.5) *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: NO by 1.3 (a 4.8 spread differential)

The public, thus Vegas, LOVES Tampa because of Tom Brady. But in reality this is a bad TB team, now even worse missing their best offensive player (OT Wirfs). I think the Saints are the better team at full health, and the Saints may be the healthiest they’ve been in a while for this game that if they win they are right back in the NFC South chase.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: NO

Ross Jacobs: NO

NYJ at MIN (-3.0)

The Computer says: NYJ by 1.7 (a 4.7 spread differential)

The Jets are a similar team to the Dallas team Minnesota lost 40-3 to a few weeks ago. I think Minnesota is a (6-5) team in a (9-2) clothing, and minus Darrisaw (if) then they’re in trouble against the Jets defense.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: MIN

Ross Jacobs: NYJ

BUF (-4.0) at NE

The Computer says: BUF by 8.3 (a 4.3 spread differential)

The Patriots aren’t good…when they face better competition. An overrated defense and a stiff/weak offense with banged up/missing OLs for NE.

Buffalo is not perfect either but are superior…and getting healthier. If Buffalo can get to 30+ points here, no way the Pats can play a shootout against them.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: BUF

Ross Jacobs: BUF

TEN at PHI (-5.5)

The Computer says: PHI by 1.6 (a 3.9 spread differential)

I am pre-Titans in most all matchups. The only thing holding me back from an outright upset call is the Titans injury report that, as of having to make my picks, is still up in the air on Simmons-Molden-Autry-Jones. The Titans are gonna run all over the Eagles bad run defense and we could see a repeat of the Washington game beat down Philly got a few weeks ago.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: TEN *BEST BET*

Ross Jacobs: TEN *BEST BET*

MIA at SF (-3.5) *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: MIA by 0.3 (a 3.8 spread differential)

Miami is the better team as it is, but if CMC is out for SF…then I love this bet even more.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: SF

Ross Jacobs: MIA

KC (-2.5) at CIN *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: CIN by 0.4 (a 2.9 spread differential)

I am a Joe Burrow over Pat Mahomes guy. The Bengals beat them twice last year, one of the wins in the playoffs at KC. I think they continue their winning ways here against KC.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: CIN

Ross Jacobs: CIN

WSH (-2.5) at NYG

The Computer says: WSH by 0.4 (a 2.1 spread differential)

The Giants play gritty football, like Washington does. If NYG gets CB Fabian Moreau back then I like NYG here for the cover and possible win.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: WSH

Ross Jacobs: WSH

PIT (-1.5) at ATL *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: ATL by 0.3 (a 1.8 spread differential)

I’m not radically pro-Falcons, but they’re in the pack of mediocre teams…and I get the home mediocre team with points in a critical game to possibly take the division lead.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: PIT

Ross Jacobs: ATL

LAC (-1.5) at LV

The Computer says: LAC by 0.3 (a 1.2 spread differential)

I don’t trust LAC at all, so I’ll take the home underdog for a potential outright win if CB Nate Hobbs is back.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LV

Ross Jacobs: LAC

DEN at BAL (-8.5)

The Computer says: BAL by 7.7 (a 0.8 spread differential)

I cannot stand to watch the Broncos play football, but I’m not really into the Ravens as that great a team either. I’ll just take the points…as I watch the Ravens struggle with bottom feeder teams the past few weeks.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DEN

Ross Jacobs: BAL

CLE (-7.0) at HOU

The Computer says: CLE by 7.2 (a 0.2 spread differential)

I am staying away from this because I’m not sure the emotions and energy that’s gonna come from either side. Could Houston be sky high? Or will they start out hot and then fizzle because they aren’t very good? Is Watson really ready after 2+ years off? Just making a dart throw pick here.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: CLE *SURVIVOR*

Ross Jacobs: CLE

GB (-4.0) at CHI

The Computer says: GB by 4.2 (a 0.2 spread differential)

Too many Bears secondary injuries to play a confident cover with them. If Brisker-Gordon turn and full practice and play, then I’ll tip to Chicago + the points Friday/Saturday.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: GB

Ross Jacobs: GB

SEA (-7.5) at LAR

The Computer says: SEA by 7.4 (a 0.1 spread differential)

You have to like Seattle here…or I should say, you have to hate the Rams here…no Donald-Kupp-Stafford with a battered O-Line. However, large favorites on the road have not done well this year. I’ll take SEA to win for survivor, but I’ll try to get a backdoor cover on the large number for a throwaway pick.

*FFM SURVIVOR PICK*

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LAR

Ross Jacobs: SEA *SURVIVOR*

IND at DAL (-10.5)

The Computer says: DAL by 10.4 (a 0.1 spread differential)

Dallas is clearly better, and Matt Ryan scares the heck out of me, especially against the Cowboys defense…but +10.5 for a team that can run the ball like Indy is a lot of points that I can’t refuse.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DAL

Ross Jacobs: IND

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 30, 2022/Wednesday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 12: Chiefs 26, Rams 10 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 12 Game Recap: Raiders 40, Seahawks 34 (By Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 12: Browns 23, Bucs 17 OT (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Week 11 Projections will update between 7-9pmET, typically prior to 8pmET (Note the QB rankings page...that sheet has all the positions PLUS the Upside/Downside/Outta Nowhere on a tab at the end of the position tabs, running along the bottom of the rankings/spreadsheet.

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

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*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 29, 2022/Tuesday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 12: Steelers 24, Colts 17 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 12 Game Recap: Bengals 20, Titans 16 (By Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 12: Jets 31, Bears 10 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Dynasty Stash rankings will be updated today

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-- Week 12 first Projections of the week will post between 6-8pmET

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-- Tuesday Night Sit-Start Video Q&A 8:30-9pmET, 9pm-10pmET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

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*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 28, 2022/Monday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- TNF game reports will post ahead of the Executive report...

BUF-DET approx. 9amET

NYG-DAL approx. 11amET

MIN-NE approx. 3pmET

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-- Executive Summary Report will post between 6-8pmET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

‍

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‍

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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DFS Shark Tank Week 12: Player/Stack/Avoid Pitch for the $1M+ Open Tournaments

I (RC) am going to play one DFS lineup in a $1M (min.) contest each week to try and take a dart throw at the big money to fund three things: (1) Myself, (2) FFM, (3) my favorite charity.

The odds of hitting on one entry in a giant pool is near impossible…but that’s the fun of it, the lottery dream of it.

My plan to make a lineup is going to be ‘the fun’ here. I, myself, do not functionally play DFS myself…I get submerged in Fantasy and scouting and questions and shows and writing, etc., all day every day. I’m not an expert in the salary and stack aspects, etc., so I’m going to do the smart thing -- lean on two people who are more expert in it than I.

There will be five inputs to make my FF lineup for the million (or bust)…

1) FFM’s Ross Jacobs, who is taking a deeper dive into the world of DFS this year.

2) Andrew Duhan…known to us as ‘Andrew DFS’…one of the most expert DFS sources that I know.

3) My wife, who knows nothing about football, is going to make one random pick at a position (probably like DST…or from a group of top options of the other positions.

4) I will pick one favorite play/player.

5) I will let Advanced Sports Logic’s ‘DFS Optimizer’, which uses FFM projections correlated to the salary and instantly/AI’s the best spends to fill out as many positions (or all positions) as needed. More info on the program and subscribing to the DFS Optimizer on the ‘Optimizer’ tab on the FFM homepage.

But I will begin each week by consulting with my two experts, who I’ve asked to pitch four concepts…

1) Their best ‘stack’ play, and why.

2) Their best mid-range salary player I should have in my lineup.

3) Their best cheapo play I should have in my lineup construction.

4) The bigger name/salary player I should avoid -- for either game logic or DFS ‘ownership %’ logic (and we’ll explain what that means).

The two DFS experts are going to pitch me (a la a Shark Tank type pitch) their concepts Saturday night on a group chat, which will be posted in full below -- so you can see their picks/plays and logic to consider for your own lineup constructions in DFS. I don’t know who they are gonna pitch until they pitch it…and I’ll react to it, and we’ll group discuss it. They also don’t know who the other might pitch -- they may end up with the same exact concept/player…they won’t know until the chat starts.

We haven’t practiced this ahead, I just laid out the generic concept and we’re about to see where it goes. Forgive any typos…and good luck with your DFS plays this week!

*** Because of the injury to RC, there was no chat this week…so, the experts submitted their plays independent of each other (and there’s a reason I emphasize that this week…).

Here’s some of their DFS wisdom for this week’s slate…

ANDREW DFS:

The two chalkiest QB plays of the week are projected to be Patrick Mahomes and Geno Smith. Both have favorable matchups, and Geno’s salary is on the lighter side at D$6,000. Given that their ownership percentages should be just under 15%, you can still play these two. Keep in mind that there is a good chance that the KC vs LAR game gets out of hand quickly which will cause the game script to be more run heavy than usual. The over/under is 42 points, the lowest total ever for a game with KC when Mahomes is starting at QB. The last time a QB scored more than 30 points when the team was favored by more than double digits and the OU was no more than 43 was Ben Roethlisberger in Week 14 of 2017. If anybody is going to break a trend, it’s Mahomes, and also the QBs / offenses in games with a low OU aren’t as prolific as Mahomes / KC. Regardless, there is enough evidence here to go a different direction.

As for Geno, the Raiders run defense is one of the worst in the league and there should be rain during the game. Seattle’s game script should also tilt more in favor of the run versus pass. The QB I would go with in the milly maker competition is Bengals QB Joe Burrow. The Titans run defense is stingy and Bengals will be without starting RB Joe Mixon. These are positive indicators that Burrow will be throwing the ball more than usual. Since Jamar Chase is not expected to play, Higgins may have a higher ownership percentage than current projections. Given Burrow’s low ownership projection, a stack with Higgins can still be considered. Tyler Boyd and Hayden Hurst are other good cheaper / less chalky options. A nice bring back piece would be Titans rookie WR Treylon Burks who is coming off a great game against GB. 

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Mid-range play

JAX WR Christian Kirk has an ownership percentage less than 5%. While it’ll be difficult to run against the Baltimore defense, the Jaguars should be able to move the ball through the air. Kirk can also take away opportunities for chalkier teammates Evan Engram and Travis Etienne. 

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Cheap play of the week

KC RB Isiah Pacheco is a great option this week. He will benefit from a game script that should be titled towards the run. His ownership projection is 5-7%. 

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Player to avoid

Highly owned players don’t provide much upside in a big pool. Typically, these players are projected to do well so it’s difficult to ignore chalky players. Fading a chalky player that goes off for more than 30 points will almost surely eliminate your chances for the top prize. KC D and MIA RB Jeff Wilson Jr could have an ownership percentage greater than 50%. Both have very favorable matchups and will be difficult to pass. Of all the players with an ownership projection greater than 20% I would fade DEN RB Latavius Murray. Carolina’s defense is stingy and there is a good chance they will keep Murray under 15 fantasy points. 

*Ross Jacobs had holiday schedule conflicts and will be back at it next week!

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 27, 2022/Sunday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- DFS Shark Tank Week 12: Player/Stack/Avoid Pitch for the $1M+ Open Tournaments...will publish around 9:30amET

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-- Week 12 final projections will post around 12:30pmET

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*Sunday morning Video Q&A 10:30am-11amET (Part 1), 11am-NoonET (Part 2)

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

‍

‍

‍

======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

========================================================================

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2022 Week 12 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick

Another solid week…10-4 on all picks ATS last week, 3-2 Blazing Five, picked another two (for two) underdogs for outright wins on the money -- but all I can remember is having Minnesota as my Best Bet of the week. Yikes. Aside from that butt-whooping, it was a good week.

I don’t love the lines or options this week, so you’ll see a lot of dogs by default.

Also, be sure to check out my appearance on Bet The Close Podcast where we discussed how the Thanksgiving games don’t look so hot to bet…but there were some very interesting props to wager on.

Here’s a look back at Week 11 results followed by the Week 12 picks…

Week 11 results…

FFM All picks straight up: 11-3

FFM ATS: 10-4

FFM Best Bet: 0-1

FFM Blazing Five (no TNF): 3-2

FFM Calling a dog for an outright win: 2-0

Chris ATS: 7-7

Ross ATS: 8-6

Chris Best Bet: 1-0

Ross Best Bet: 1-0

When All 3 analysts agree: 3-1

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 4-2, for me

FFM Survivor: NO(W)

Chris Survivor: SF(W)

Ross Survivor: BAL(W)

All Underdogs ATS = 7-7

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YTD results…

All picks straight up: 117-56-1

ATS: 95-65-4 (59%)

Best Bet: 7-4

Blazing Five (no TNF): 35-18-2 (66.0%)

Calling a dog for an outright win: 14-7

Chris ATS: 101-59-4

Ross ATS: 82-78-4

Chris Best Bet: 9-2 (maybe you should listen to the expert!)

Ross Best Bet: 6-5

When All 3 analysts agree: 41-22-1

When both analysts disagree with my pick: 17-16, for me

FFM Survivor: BAL(W), BUF(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), CIN(W), KC(W), MIA(W), ATL(L), NO(W)

Chris Survivor: BAL(W), GB(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), LAR(W), CIN(W), DAL(W), BUF(L), TEN(W), SF(W)

Ross Survivor: DEN(L), XXX, BUF (L), GB(W), PHI(W), SF(L), LV(W), DAL(W), TB(W), KC(W), BAL(W)

All Underdogs ATS = 88-72-4

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Week 12 Picks….

CHI at NYJ (-6.0)

The Computer says: NYJ by 9.9 (a 3.9 spread differential)

I am assuming NO Justin Fields, so I’m all over the Jets early…and the move to Mike White is very smart and will boost NYJ here.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: NYJ

Ross Jacobs: NYJ

BUF (-9.5) at DET

The Computer says: BUF by 5.6 (a 3.9 spread differential)

Buffalo has been struggling for the last 4 weeks, ever since their bye. They have injury issues again this week. I’ll take the hot Lions and I wouldn’t be shocked if Detroit wins outright. Big road favorites are doing TERRIBLE this season…rarely covering and often losing outright. Let’s ride that wave.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DET

Ross Jacobs: DET

LAC (-3.0) at ARI (moved UP the spread differential board)

The Computer says: LAC by 6.8 (a 3.8 spread differential)

Arizona is such a dead team. So many injuries…now at WR. If Byron Murphy is out again, then what you saw against SF in Mexico happens again here through the air. I want to go against LAC after their crushing loss to KC…but the one team in a worse place than LAC is ARI.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LAC

Ross Jacobs: LAC

TB (-3.5) at CLE

The Computer says: TB by 0.2 (a 3.3 spread differential)

I just don’t believe the Buccaneers are very good and the Browns are very underrated/tough. I’ll take the points. Wouldn’t surprise me if CLE won…especially if we get cold and rain here.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: TB

Ross Jacobs: TB

DEN (-2.5) at CAR  *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: CAR by 0.3 (a 2.8 spread differential)

Denver is arguably the worst team in the league, so I’ll take the home team with a new QB curveball.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DEN

Ross Jacobs: CAR

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NYG at DAL (-10.0)

The Computer says: DAL by 13.7 (a 2.7 spread differential)

First Adoree Jackson down, now their other good CB Fabian Moreau is out…gotta be Dallas in a landslide.

*FFM SURVIVOR PICK*

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: NYG

Ross Jacobs: DAL

CIN (-2.5) at TEN *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*

The Computer says: TEN by 0.1 (a 2.6 spread differential)

What everyone is overlooking is just how bad the Cincy secondary is now minus Chidobe Awuzie. This could be a surprise shootout and Tennessee just finds ways to win, and it might be through the air again.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: CIN

Ross Jacobs: TEN *BEST BET*

PIT at IND (-2.5)

The Computer says: IND by 0.2 (a 2.3 spread differential)

The Steelers are starting to step up. Their young offense is starting to get better. Their defense is healthy. This is a battle of two similar teams that I think I’ll cop out and take the points.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: IND

Ross Jacobs: PIT

LAR at KC (-15.5)

The Computer says: KC by 17.0 (a 1.5 spread differential)

The Rams have to be the worst team taking the field Week 12 of 2022…and they are going to play on the road against the (arguably) best team in the league. This will be a bloodbath.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LAR

Ross Jacobs: KC

BAL (-4.0) at JAX

The Computer says: BAL by 2.8 (a 1.2 spread differential)

The Ravens struggled mightily with Carolina last week. I don’t trust fading Lamar. I’ll hope JAX keeps it close. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Jags won outright.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: BAL

Ross Jacobs: JAX

LV at SEA (-3.5)

The Computer says: SEA by 2.6 (a 0.9 spread differential)

Las Vegas could have some kinda-sorta playoff life with a win…season over with a loss. I think LV is better than their record, and Seattle maybe not as good as theirs suggests. I’ll take the points and wouldn’t be surprised if this were an upset win for LV, if Nate Hobbs is back.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: SEA

Ross Jacobs: SEA

NO at SF (-8.5) (moved DOWN the spread differential board)

The Computer says: SF by 9.0 (a 0.5 spread differential)

The 49ers are a top NFL team now with an array of ways to beat an opponent. The Saints aren’t very good and are dealing with a lot of injury issues. You have to go with SF here

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: SF

Ross Jacobs: SF

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HOU at MIA (-13.0)

The Computer says: MIA by 13.4 (a 0.4 spread differential)

I tried to find reasons to take the big points and Houston, but I’m having a hard time seeing it. Stingley out…Kyle Allen is not an answer. He’s not terrible, but he’s not very good. I’m going  with Miami, who will put 30+ on Houston and I don’t think Houston will get past 14.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: MIA

Ross Jacobs: MIA  *SURVIVOR PICK*

ATL at WSH (-4.0)

The Computer says: WSH by 3.7 (a 0.3 spread differential)

Why do I feel like this is the week Washington stumbles and Atlanta plays ‘their’ game and just controls it on the ground?

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: WSH

Ross Jacobs: WSH

GB at PHI (-6.5)

The Computer says: PHI by 6.7 (a 0.2 spread differential)

Green Bay’s defense has fallen apart…and their offense is sketchy, and with Aaron Rodgers playing with a not 100% throwing hand -- I just don’t see the case for GB in this game, to even keep it close. GB has one win in their last 7 games and are (1-4) on the road this year.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: GB *BEST BET*

Ross Jacobs: PHI

NE at MIN (-2.5)

The Computer says: MIN by 2.6 (a 0.1 spread differential)

I’m just not impressed with NE, so I’m taking the Vikings looking for a bounce back after an utter humiliation last week.

Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: NE

Ross Jacobs: MIN

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 26, 2022/Saturday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11: 49ers 38, Cardinals 10 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 11 Game Recap: Ravens 13, Panthers 3 (By Ross Jacobs)

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

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*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 25, 2022/Friday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11: Falcons 27, Bears 24 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 11: Raiders 22, Broncos 16 OT (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 11: Eagles 17, Colts 16 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Projection will update later evening Friday, 8pm-10pmET+

(Note the QB rankings page...that sheet has all the positions PLUS the Upside/Downside/Outta Nowhere on a tab at the end of the position tabs, running along the bottom of the rankings/spreadsheet).

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 24, 2022/Thursday -- HAPPY THANKSGIVING

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11 Game Recap: Commanders 23, Texans 10 (By Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 12 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick

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-- 2022 Week 11: Patriots 10, Jets 3 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Special Video Q&A 10am-11:30amET

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-- Week 12 projections will update approx. NoonET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

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‍

‍

======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 23, 2022/Wednesday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11: Bills 31, Browns 23 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Bet The Close Podcast - Week 12 Thanksgiving Show with RC

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-- 2022 Week 11 Recap: Saints 27, Rams 20 (By Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 11: Lions 31, Giants 18 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Week 11 Projections will update between 7-9pmET, typically prior to 8pmET (Note the QB rankings page...that sheet has all the positions PLUS the Upside/Downside/Outta Nowhere on a tab at the end of the position tabs, running along the bottom of the rankings/spreadsheet.

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‍

*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

‍

‍

‍

‍

======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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Bet The Close - Week 12 Thanksgiving Show

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‍The entire BTC family make an appearance to break down the side and props for the Thanksgiving games. With a player prop you're unlikely to hear anywhere else!!!

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Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bet-the-close/id1476875957?i=1000587275660

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 22, 2022/Tuesday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11: Bengals 37, Steelers 30 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- 2022 Week 11: Cowboys 40, Vikings 3 (by Ross Jacobs)

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-- 2022 Week 11: Chiefs 30, Chargers 27 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report)

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-- Dynasty Stash rankings updated for Week 11 games

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-- Week 12 first Projections of the week will post between 6-8pmET

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-- Tuesday Night Sit-Start Video Q&A 8:30-9pmET, 9pm-10pmET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

‍

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‍

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======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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FFM/CFM Daily Summary...Nov. 21, 2022/Monday

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Items posted so far today...  

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-- 2022 Week 11: Titans 27, Packers 17 (Dynasty/Fantasy Analysis Game Report) *Will post 11amET

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-- Executive Summary Report will post between 6-8pmET

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*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*

‍

*Watch or Listen to any Tuesday Night or Sunday pre-Kick Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available right after the show closes.*

‍

‍

‍

‍

======================================================================

*2022 FFM In-Season Coverage Sign-Ups*

In-Season coverage starts out with some material in August, but then takes off with the regular season start – weekly rankings, all the games of the week scouted and analyzed and reported out on each week, video shows/discussions, sit/starts, trade scenarios (buy low, sell high), and all things involved with going through the Fantasy Football campaign.

-Our College Football Metrics subscription is still available, focused on all the rookie scouting and Dynasty Rookie Rankings (top 350 with IDPs) and more.

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