FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 18, 2022/Wednesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Best Ball Rankings Update
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 17, 2022/Tuesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #9 spot)
-- 2022 Dynasty Rankings (+IDPs) updated
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (NO v. ATL)
-- 2022 Schedule Analysis: DSTs…Opportunity Right off the Bat?
*NOTE: Video Q&A Tuesday from 9pm-10pmET+ -- going over Combine news and any football news, and your questions live...and the show goes on-demand for you to watch or listen anytime you'd like.
*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (NO v. ATL)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
ATLANTA FALCONS
Key Adds:
QB Marcus Mariota (FA), Casey Hayward (FA), LB Lorenzo Carter (FA), WR Drake London (pick #8), Arnold Ebiketie (pick #38), Troy Andersen (pick #58), QB Desmond Ridder (pick #74), LB DeAngelo Malone (pick #82), RB Tyler Allgeier (pick #151)
Key Losses:
QB Matt Ryan (trade), LB Foye Oluokun (FA), WR Russell Gage (FA), TE Hayden Hurst (FA), DE Dante Fowler (FA)
vs.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Key Adds:
WR Chris Olave (pick #11), OL Trevor Penning (pick #19), CB Alontae Taylor (pick #49), SAF Tyrann Mathieu (FA), SAF Marcus Maye (FA), QB Andy Dalton (FA)
Key Losses:
OT Terron Armstead (FA), SAF Marcus Williams (FA)
I start out an Atlanta offseason 2022 assessment by stating: the change from Matt Ryan to Marcus Mariota…is no impact, not a negative impact. I think ATL might be even better off with Mariota…but let’s just call it even/no impact.
OK, so after that…losing Oluokun-Gage-Hurst-Fowler is a big hit to 2022 operations. I know it’s best for long term business, but we’re focusing on 2022. Hayward-Carter aren’t bad pickups…London-Ebiketie-Anderson-Malone-Allgeier make up what we statistically graded the 3rd-best draft in 2022. So, 2022 impact/useful bodies there from the draft…but still rookie bodies.
The Saints took a huge hit when they lost Terron Armstead, but Trevor Penning drafted to replace ain’t too bad a pull. Marcus Williams gone hurts, but then they added Tyrann Mathieu…who is not my favorite, but it’s something experienced to offset the loss of Williams. For 2022, it’s a step down at OT and SAF…but they do add useful rookie bodies on Chris Olave and Alontae Taylor.
Who has had the better offseason? Both teams lost quality veterans but then they backfilled pretty decently. I like Atlanta’s offseason a lot. For 2022 impacts I could see the Saints having a better +/- over ATL, but I’ll go with the Falcons here…more bodies added, and the Saints losing Terron Armstead was losing the best player in 2022 free agency. I don’t care how good we think Penning could be or will be right away…Armstead is top notch at a super-key position.
WINNER = Barely…the Atlanta Falcons, who go on to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the next round.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI
TB defeats CAR
ATL defeats NO

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (TB v. CAR)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Key Adds:
OG Shaq Mason (trade), WR Russell Gage (FA), DL Logan Hall (pick #33), OL Luke Goedeke (pick #57), RB Rachaad White (pick #91), TE Cade Otton (pick #106), PT Jake Camarda (pick #133), CB Zyon McCollum (pick #157)
Key Losses:
OG Alex Cappa (FA), SAF Jordan Whitehead (TB), TE O.J. Howard (FA), RB Ron Jones (FA)
vs.
CAROLINA PANTHERS
Key Adds:
OL Ikem Ekwonu (Pick #6), QB Matt Corral (pick #94), LB Brandon Smith (pick #120), LB Amare Barno (pick #189), LB Cory Littleton (FA), RB D’Onta Foreman (FA)OG Austin Corbett (FA), SAF Xavier Woods (FA)
Key Losses:
DL Morgan Fox (FA), CB Stefon Gilmore, LB Haason Reddick
This what you’re supposed to do…if you’re Tampa Bay. The window is closing with Tom Brady, so you ‘go for it’ in the offseason. They swapped good guards in-and-out, so no loss or gain there. Jordan Whitehead is not a big loss…nor is RoJo or OJH. But Russell Gage was a savvy 2022 addition, especially with Chris Godwin in some question for the season start. They drafted a collection of useful prospects; most can contribute in 2022 in some way. One of the smarter off-season’s of 2022.
Carolina is, oddly, in the same position as Tampa Bay…they (the under-the-gun coaching staff) are desperate to WIN NOW, only unlike the Buccaneers…the Panthers are under the gun because people are about to get fired…and their team/coaching, so far under Matt Rhule, totally blows.
So, did Carolina make any headway on 2022 win-now with their offseason moves? I think so. Getting Ekwonu is a huge get…but after that, not much excitement. They lost a good DL in Fox…and formerly great CB (Gilmore)…and a useful pass rusher (Reddick). I’d say, overall, it was probably a minor gain or break even-ish…considering Gilmore did nothing for them last season.
Carolina may have gotten marginally better for 2022, at best…at worst they took another step back, didn’t really upgrade at QB (I mean, Matt Corral is not saving jobs in 2022…or, probably, any other year). While Tampa went out and did what title contenders need to do – smartly gain talent and shed smartly.
WINNER = Tampa Bay
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI
TB defeats CAR

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 16, 2022/Monday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (TB v. CAR)
**Video Q&A tomorrow night 9-10pm ET+**
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary: May 15, 2022/Sunday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #11 spot)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (MIN v. CHI)
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (MIN v. CHI)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Key Adds:
LB Za’Darius Smith (FA), DT Harrison Phillips (FA), LB Jordan Hicks (FA), SAF Lewis Cine (pick #32), CB Andrew Booth (pick #42), OL Ed Ingram (pick #59), LB Brian Asamoah (pick #66), CB Akayleb Evans (pick #118), RB Ty Chandler (pick #169), CB Chandon Sullivan (FA)
Key Losses:
TE Tyler Conklin (FA), OC Mason Cole (FA), SAF Xavier Woods (FA)
vs.
CHICAGO BEARS
Key Adds:
CB Kyler Gordon (pick #39), SAF Jaquan Brisker (pick #48), WR Velus Jones (pick #71), OT Braxton Jones (Pick #168), OL Zach Thomas (pick #186), DT Justin Jones (FA), DT Al-Quadin Muhammad (FA), OG Lucas Patrick (FA), WR Byron Pringle (FA), LB Nicholas Morrow (FA),
Key Losses:
OLB Khalil Mack (trade), WR Allen Robinson (FA), OG James Daniels (FA), WR Jakeem Grant (FA), DT Bilal Nichols (FA)
Look at what sneaky/savvy Minnesota Vikings new GM did…
They lost very minor impact players but then quietly rebuilt their defense, which was their major issue the past two seasons…retooling and vastly improving right under everyone’s/Green Bay’s noses. The battle for the NFC North is real…it’s on. Minnesota had a window open when Davante Adams left…and then Za’Darius Smith crossed over enemy lines, and the Vikings are further pushing that window open with their 2022 Draft.
Za’Darius Smith is an instant starter added in free agency, and so too is underrated DT Harrison Phillips…plus they add undervalued (instant starter) veteran Jordan Hicks at ILB. Those are three HUGE impacts. Then Minnesota grabbed Week 1 ready rookies Lewis Cine and Andrew Booth (if healthy)…that’s five of 11 defensive spots turned over with talent. Then if you figure Danielle Hunter back as like a new ‘add’ for 2022…that’s a 6th bump. They also grabbed underrated slot CB Chandon Sullivan from GB, who will start. Six new starters on defense coming in…all upgrades over 2021.
What Minnesota did to their defense this offseason may be the smartest maneuvering of an offseason to address specific/obvious needs that I’ve ever seen…way better than the great defensive rebuild by Cincy last year.
On the other side of this matchup…
An all-new management team for the Bears and…well…they aren’t as good as the new Vikings regime. Losing Mack-A.Rob-Daniels is crushing. Losing Jakeem Grant and Bilal Nichols is a hit to the roster as well. They really lost some good/great players. In response, they got a top-notch CB in Kyler Gordon…and then a bunch of hopefuls and mediocrity the rest of the draft. Jaquan Brisker is nice/OK, but also a low importance safety.
When you step back, the Bears really had a devastating exchange of talent this offseason…a franchise that has been awful the past few years, didn’t get better this offseason…they got worse for 2022, hoping it’s a good plan for the rebuild for the future. The Vikings nailed their offseason with precision laser guided bombing of targets (or they are the luckiest team in the offseason 2022). The more I look at the Minnesota offseason, the more I love the plan…and execution of said plan. That’s a rarity in the NFL…having a vast need, and then addressing it properly…all in one offseason. It shows, it can be done…like Cincy showed last season.
WINNER = Minnesota, who goes on to face Detroit in the next round.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 14, 2022/Saturday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #12 spot)
-- 2022 Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings 4.0 (Top 350 Board with IDPs)
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 13, 2022/Friday
Items posted so far today...
*NFL Schedule analysis all next week...
Updated Dynasty/Best Ball rankings + IDP
Faux/Computer Simulated seasons will be worked on (like 5/22 series week release)
Over/Under win total bets -- that series of reports likely out 5/29 week.
Special reports on schedule items we see, etc., especially for DSTs.
-- Happy Friday: Bryan Edwards to the Atlanta Falcons (FF Analysis)
-- 2022 NFL Draft Team Grades (Using the CFM/FFM Computer Models)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (GB v. DET)
*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (GB v. DET)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Key Adds:
DT Jarran Reed (FA), LB Quay Walker (pick #22), DT Devonte Wyatt (pick #28), WR Christian Watson (pick #34), OL Sean Rhyan (pick #92), OL Zach Tom (pick #140), WR Samori Toure (pick #258), OL Rasheed Walker (pick #249)
Key Losses:
OLB Za’Darius Smith (FA), MVS (FA), OG Lucas Patrick (FA), WR Davante Adams (trade)
vs.
DETROIT LIONS
Key Adds:
SAF Deshon Elliott (FA), WR D.J. Chark (FA), CB Mike Hughes (FA), DT Aidan Hutchinson (pick #2), WR Jameson Williams (pick #12), DE Josh Paschal (pick #46), LB Malcolm Rodriquez (pick #188), LB James Houston (pick #217), CB Chase Lucas (pick #237)
Key Losses:
LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin (FA)
Green Bay lost Davante Adams and Za’Darius Smith…two huge hits, the Davante loss massive for 2022…but they then had (arguably) the best NFL Draft of any team in 2022. We could argue/delight in the long-term impact of the moves, but here we’re focused on the 2022 impact. So, is adding 3-4-5-6 viable/good rookie bodies an upgrade to 2022 or downgrade considering the loss of Za’Darius-Davante?
Look at it like a trade…and just thinking 2022 – would you rather have Adams-Smith-MVS back or would you like three young OLs and two young Georgia defenders instead, to try and go forward in 2022 to go for the title…potentially Aaron Rodgers’ last season in Green Bay?
The Lions had an interesting offseason…they didn’t lose anyone, really. Of course, they didn’t have much to begin with to lose – but still, no real personnel losses but then a stockpiling of talent in the draft (1st-round) and some good gets in free agency.
If I were the Packers GM, and I was playing for 2022 – I’d want Davante and Za’Darius back…not a host of rookies to try and work with. So, the GB offseason is very ‘conceptual’ and could be argued in circles on the long-term impact. No such argument with the Lions offseason – they improved vastly…but they had little else to go but ‘up’.
The new Lions GM (from 2021) is showing to be one of the better, more aggressive GMs…and that’s helping. Green Bay had a great offseason if you were tanking/rebuilding, but not if you’re ‘going for it’ in 2022, future be damned.
WINNER = Detroit Lions, easily.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 12, 2022/Thursday
Items posted so far today...
-- NFL Draft 2022 Scouting Report: TE Derrick Deese Jr., San Jose State
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (ARI v. SF)
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (ARI v. SF)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
ARIZONA
Key Adds:
WR Marquise Brown (trade), LB Nick Vigil (FA), TE Trey McBride (pick #55), DL Cam Thomas (pick #87), EDGE Myjai Sanders (pick #100), OG Will Hernandez (FA)
Key Losses:
WR Christian Kirk (FA), DE Chandler Jones (FA), RB Chase Edmonds (FA), LB Jordan Hicks (FA), DT Jordan Phillips (FA)
vs.
SAN FRANCISCO
Key Adds:
CB Charvarius Ward (FA), SAF George Odom (FA), LB Oren Burks (FA), LB Drake Jackson (pick #61), WR Danny Gray (pick #105)
Key Losses:
OT Laken Tomlinson (FA), CB K’Waun Williams (FA), DT D.J. Jones (FA), DE Arden Key (FA), RB Raheem Mostert (FA)
I have no idea what the Arizona Cardinals are doing for three drafts in-a-row now. They are falling from ‘potential Super Bowl threat’ to ‘random .500 team’…by their own hand/decision. Marquise Brown traded for is OK, but is he that much better than Christian Kirk? Did Arizona really gain a bunch of ground here at WR?
If you dismiss the Brown-Kirk swap, then Arizona snagged a solid rookie TE in the Draft (not a burning 2022 need)…but they lost team leaders/2022 impact players Chandler Jones, Chase Edmonds and Jordan Hicks to free agency. Can anyone say Arizona got better? And as always, needing O-Line talent and depth, they drafted flier OLs in the 6th and 7th-round.
San Francisco was a team knocking on the Super Bowl door last season, and a nice 2022 offseason could be what put them over the top for this upcoming title hope – but it doesn’t appear the 49ers took advantage. An odd draft and nothing really gained via free agency…the 49ers didn’t get better this offseason.
Charvarius Ward added offsets K’Waun Williams lost. Drake Jackson in via the draft…and veteran D.J. Jones lost and 2021 surprise break out Arden Key is gone on the D-Line – not really ‘improving’ 2022 with all those moves taken together. Danny Gray is a useful WR, maybe, not likely to have a real impact in 2022. When you compare all of the names just mentioned…I don’t see SF getting radically better or worse, but I didn’t mention their biggest loss – OT Laken Tomlinson – and there was no signing or draft pick to try and offset that. All the +/- for SF, right now, it looks like a step backwards for 2022.
So, we have two weak NFL Drafts here. Both teams we judge having 2022 net losses in their free agent moves. So who was worse…or who wins/advances on here, I should say? I think the fact that Arizona’s losses include so many fundamental, veteran/experienced hands – they had the worst 2022 impact offseason of the two teams. Losing Jordan Hicks and Chandler Jones…I know they are aging out, but that’s at minimum a hit to the locker room – and in their place Arizona brings in a guy that’s an Antonio Brown relative, who was supposedly gonna-retire-to-play-video-games-professionally in Marquise Brown. Arizona is so haphazard in their team construction and locker room moves – I give them the loss.
WINNER = The 49ers, who go on to face the L.A. Rams in the NFC West finals
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 11, 2022/Wednesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Dynasty Offseason: Four Things Report for 5/11/2022
-- 2022 Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings 3.0 (Top 300 Board with IDPs)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (LAR v. SEA)
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (LAR v. SEA)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
LA RAMS
Key Adds: OL Logan Bruss (pick #104), LB Bobby Wagner (FA), WR Allen Robinson (FA), CB Troy Hill (trade)
Key Losses: Von Miller (FA), CB Darious Williams (FA), OG Austin Corbett (FA), DT Sebastian Joseph (FA), PT Johnny Hekker (FA), WR Robert Woods (trade), OT Andrew Whitworth (retired)
vs.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Key Adds: LB Uchenna Nwosu (FA), DT Quinton Jefferson (FA), SAF Joey Blount (UDFA), OT Charles Cross (pick #9), DE Boye Mafe (pick #40), RB Kenneth Walker (pick #41), OL Abe Lucas (pick #72), CB Coby Bryant (pick #109), CB Tariq Woolen (pick #153), DT Shelby Harris (trade), QB Drew Lock (trade), TE Noah Fant (trade)
Key Losses: QB Russell Wilson (trade), LB Bobby Wagner (FA), TE Gerald Everett (FA), CB D.J. Reed (FA), DT Kerry Hyder (cut)
The Rams losing Andrew Whitworth was the most devastating thing that happened to them this offseason. Hard to make up for that. Adding Allen Robinson was terrific, and Bobby Wagner may be a better name than reality right now…but it has some hope, veteran leadership. The Rams had a few nice adds but the loss of Whitworth and Corbett on the O-Line stings, as does losing their long-time punter and up-and-coming DT Sebastian Day. Overall, the Rams took a step back with all their moves.
But Seattle may not advance ahead of the Rams in this little exercise because moving Russell Wilson is devastating for 2022. Wilson gone. Long time leader Bobby Wagner gone. D.J. Reed and Kerry Hyder are good players who bolted. When I look at the adds, it’s nowhere near making up for what they lost. How could it be losing Russ? They get a promising young TE (Fant) but no top QB to throw to him Charles Cross and Abe Luas are promising OLs and Boye Mafe is a nice pass rusher. Seattle got several decent bodies in the draft but nothing really groundbreaking.
In the end, to judge their offseason, if I were the Seattle GM and I was offered every player listed in the ‘Key Adds’ section for Seattle (all 12 of them) in exchange for trading away Russell Wilson …I would have declined the offer (because I could find plenty of similar players in free agency or the draft, etc. – quantity does not equal quality here). Me declining that fake deal -- that tells you how bad this Seattle offseason is.
WINNER = by default, the L.A. Rams.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (PHI v. WSH)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Key Adds:
LB Haason Reddick (FA), DT Jordan Davis (pick #13), OL Cam Jurgens (pick #51), LB Nakobe Dean (pick #83), WR A.J. Brown (trade)
Key Losses:
CB Steven Nelson (FA), #18, #101 picks in 2022 (trade for A.J. Brown)
vs.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Key Adds:
OG Andrew Norvell (FA), OG Trai Turner (FA), WR Jahan Dotson (pick #16), DL Philarian Mathis (pick #47), RB Brian Robinson (pick #98), FS Percy Butler (pick #113), TE Cole Turner (pick #149), Sam Howell (pick #144)
Key Losses:
OG Brandon Scherff (FA), DE Matt Ioannidis (FA), TE Ricky Seals-Jones (FA), WR DeAndre Carter (FA)
For Philly, if you consider that pick #18 ended up Treylon Burks -- then using that pick in trade to get A.J. Brown instead is a massive upgrade for the 2022 season (and, here, we don’t care about money or contract…we’re just looking at 2022 only impacts/bodies in-out). Despite the AJB trade, Philly still had one pick in the 1st and 2nd-rounds of the draft and walked away with a Jordan Davis lottery ticket and solid depth/potential emergency starter Cam Jurgens on the O-Line.
I don’t think Nakobe Dean is anything special. He’ll play some snaps but he’s not a big 2022 impact. Hasson Reddick is a pass rush specialist that’s a liability in other phases, and a liability when he rushes and doesn’t get near the backfield…but he’s better at blitz/pass rushing than most.
I didn’t realize how poor the Washington offseason was until I laid out the key moves all in one spot here. Losing Brandon Scherff is massive…and they added two OLs in free agency to offset that loss, but it was with OGs that were last good several years ago. A huge downgrade on the O-Line. They then added a WR (Dotson) they didn’t really need and then added an RB (Robinson) they didn’t really need to draft along with adding an Alabama DT who stinks and a solid free safety (Butler). Cole Turner and Sam Howell have some hope in the future, but likely don’t help 2022 much.
Washington had this massive loss of OG Scherff and then moved up to draft a smaller WR they didn’t really need, with top OC/OG Zion Johnson going with the very next pick. Who the hell is running that organization? Don’t answer…
Carson Wentz is not a huge upgrade over Taylor Heinicke, but it is an upgrade.
Washington definitely lost ground for 2022 this offseason, best case they didn’t really improve or drop…while the Eagles definitely improved in many areas. As much of a thumb’s down you give Washington, the same level of a thumb’s up goes to Philadelphia.
WINNER: The Philadelphia Eagles, who go on to face NYG for the NFC East title
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH


FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 18, 2022/Wednesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Best Ball Rankings Update
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 17, 2022/Tuesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #9 spot)
-- 2022 Dynasty Rankings (+IDPs) updated
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (NO v. ATL)
-- 2022 Schedule Analysis: DSTs…Opportunity Right off the Bat?
*NOTE: Video Q&A Tuesday from 9pm-10pmET+ -- going over Combine news and any football news, and your questions live...and the show goes on-demand for you to watch or listen anytime you'd like.
*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (NO v. ATL)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
ATLANTA FALCONS
Key Adds:
QB Marcus Mariota (FA), Casey Hayward (FA), LB Lorenzo Carter (FA), WR Drake London (pick #8), Arnold Ebiketie (pick #38), Troy Andersen (pick #58), QB Desmond Ridder (pick #74), LB DeAngelo Malone (pick #82), RB Tyler Allgeier (pick #151)
Key Losses:
QB Matt Ryan (trade), LB Foye Oluokun (FA), WR Russell Gage (FA), TE Hayden Hurst (FA), DE Dante Fowler (FA)
vs.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Key Adds:
WR Chris Olave (pick #11), OL Trevor Penning (pick #19), CB Alontae Taylor (pick #49), SAF Tyrann Mathieu (FA), SAF Marcus Maye (FA), QB Andy Dalton (FA)
Key Losses:
OT Terron Armstead (FA), SAF Marcus Williams (FA)
I start out an Atlanta offseason 2022 assessment by stating: the change from Matt Ryan to Marcus Mariota…is no impact, not a negative impact. I think ATL might be even better off with Mariota…but let’s just call it even/no impact.
OK, so after that…losing Oluokun-Gage-Hurst-Fowler is a big hit to 2022 operations. I know it’s best for long term business, but we’re focusing on 2022. Hayward-Carter aren’t bad pickups…London-Ebiketie-Anderson-Malone-Allgeier make up what we statistically graded the 3rd-best draft in 2022. So, 2022 impact/useful bodies there from the draft…but still rookie bodies.
The Saints took a huge hit when they lost Terron Armstead, but Trevor Penning drafted to replace ain’t too bad a pull. Marcus Williams gone hurts, but then they added Tyrann Mathieu…who is not my favorite, but it’s something experienced to offset the loss of Williams. For 2022, it’s a step down at OT and SAF…but they do add useful rookie bodies on Chris Olave and Alontae Taylor.
Who has had the better offseason? Both teams lost quality veterans but then they backfilled pretty decently. I like Atlanta’s offseason a lot. For 2022 impacts I could see the Saints having a better +/- over ATL, but I’ll go with the Falcons here…more bodies added, and the Saints losing Terron Armstead was losing the best player in 2022 free agency. I don’t care how good we think Penning could be or will be right away…Armstead is top notch at a super-key position.
WINNER = Barely…the Atlanta Falcons, who go on to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the next round.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI
TB defeats CAR
ATL defeats NO

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (TB v. CAR)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Key Adds:
OG Shaq Mason (trade), WR Russell Gage (FA), DL Logan Hall (pick #33), OL Luke Goedeke (pick #57), RB Rachaad White (pick #91), TE Cade Otton (pick #106), PT Jake Camarda (pick #133), CB Zyon McCollum (pick #157)
Key Losses:
OG Alex Cappa (FA), SAF Jordan Whitehead (TB), TE O.J. Howard (FA), RB Ron Jones (FA)
vs.
CAROLINA PANTHERS
Key Adds:
OL Ikem Ekwonu (Pick #6), QB Matt Corral (pick #94), LB Brandon Smith (pick #120), LB Amare Barno (pick #189), LB Cory Littleton (FA), RB D’Onta Foreman (FA)OG Austin Corbett (FA), SAF Xavier Woods (FA)
Key Losses:
DL Morgan Fox (FA), CB Stefon Gilmore, LB Haason Reddick
This what you’re supposed to do…if you’re Tampa Bay. The window is closing with Tom Brady, so you ‘go for it’ in the offseason. They swapped good guards in-and-out, so no loss or gain there. Jordan Whitehead is not a big loss…nor is RoJo or OJH. But Russell Gage was a savvy 2022 addition, especially with Chris Godwin in some question for the season start. They drafted a collection of useful prospects; most can contribute in 2022 in some way. One of the smarter off-season’s of 2022.
Carolina is, oddly, in the same position as Tampa Bay…they (the under-the-gun coaching staff) are desperate to WIN NOW, only unlike the Buccaneers…the Panthers are under the gun because people are about to get fired…and their team/coaching, so far under Matt Rhule, totally blows.
So, did Carolina make any headway on 2022 win-now with their offseason moves? I think so. Getting Ekwonu is a huge get…but after that, not much excitement. They lost a good DL in Fox…and formerly great CB (Gilmore)…and a useful pass rusher (Reddick). I’d say, overall, it was probably a minor gain or break even-ish…considering Gilmore did nothing for them last season.
Carolina may have gotten marginally better for 2022, at best…at worst they took another step back, didn’t really upgrade at QB (I mean, Matt Corral is not saving jobs in 2022…or, probably, any other year). While Tampa went out and did what title contenders need to do – smartly gain talent and shed smartly.
WINNER = Tampa Bay
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI
TB defeats CAR

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 16, 2022/Monday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (TB v. CAR)
**Video Q&A tomorrow night 9-10pm ET+**
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary: May 15, 2022/Sunday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #11 spot)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (MIN v. CHI)
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (MIN v. CHI)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Key Adds:
LB Za’Darius Smith (FA), DT Harrison Phillips (FA), LB Jordan Hicks (FA), SAF Lewis Cine (pick #32), CB Andrew Booth (pick #42), OL Ed Ingram (pick #59), LB Brian Asamoah (pick #66), CB Akayleb Evans (pick #118), RB Ty Chandler (pick #169), CB Chandon Sullivan (FA)
Key Losses:
TE Tyler Conklin (FA), OC Mason Cole (FA), SAF Xavier Woods (FA)
vs.
CHICAGO BEARS
Key Adds:
CB Kyler Gordon (pick #39), SAF Jaquan Brisker (pick #48), WR Velus Jones (pick #71), OT Braxton Jones (Pick #168), OL Zach Thomas (pick #186), DT Justin Jones (FA), DT Al-Quadin Muhammad (FA), OG Lucas Patrick (FA), WR Byron Pringle (FA), LB Nicholas Morrow (FA),
Key Losses:
OLB Khalil Mack (trade), WR Allen Robinson (FA), OG James Daniels (FA), WR Jakeem Grant (FA), DT Bilal Nichols (FA)
Look at what sneaky/savvy Minnesota Vikings new GM did…
They lost very minor impact players but then quietly rebuilt their defense, which was their major issue the past two seasons…retooling and vastly improving right under everyone’s/Green Bay’s noses. The battle for the NFC North is real…it’s on. Minnesota had a window open when Davante Adams left…and then Za’Darius Smith crossed over enemy lines, and the Vikings are further pushing that window open with their 2022 Draft.
Za’Darius Smith is an instant starter added in free agency, and so too is underrated DT Harrison Phillips…plus they add undervalued (instant starter) veteran Jordan Hicks at ILB. Those are three HUGE impacts. Then Minnesota grabbed Week 1 ready rookies Lewis Cine and Andrew Booth (if healthy)…that’s five of 11 defensive spots turned over with talent. Then if you figure Danielle Hunter back as like a new ‘add’ for 2022…that’s a 6th bump. They also grabbed underrated slot CB Chandon Sullivan from GB, who will start. Six new starters on defense coming in…all upgrades over 2021.
What Minnesota did to their defense this offseason may be the smartest maneuvering of an offseason to address specific/obvious needs that I’ve ever seen…way better than the great defensive rebuild by Cincy last year.
On the other side of this matchup…
An all-new management team for the Bears and…well…they aren’t as good as the new Vikings regime. Losing Mack-A.Rob-Daniels is crushing. Losing Jakeem Grant and Bilal Nichols is a hit to the roster as well. They really lost some good/great players. In response, they got a top-notch CB in Kyler Gordon…and then a bunch of hopefuls and mediocrity the rest of the draft. Jaquan Brisker is nice/OK, but also a low importance safety.
When you step back, the Bears really had a devastating exchange of talent this offseason…a franchise that has been awful the past few years, didn’t get better this offseason…they got worse for 2022, hoping it’s a good plan for the rebuild for the future. The Vikings nailed their offseason with precision laser guided bombing of targets (or they are the luckiest team in the offseason 2022). The more I look at the Minnesota offseason, the more I love the plan…and execution of said plan. That’s a rarity in the NFL…having a vast need, and then addressing it properly…all in one offseason. It shows, it can be done…like Cincy showed last season.
WINNER = Minnesota, who goes on to face Detroit in the next round.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB
MIN defeats CHI

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 14, 2022/Saturday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Mock Five Round Dynasty Rookie Draft (from the #12 spot)
-- 2022 Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings 4.0 (Top 350 Board with IDPs)
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 13, 2022/Friday
Items posted so far today...
*NFL Schedule analysis all next week...
Updated Dynasty/Best Ball rankings + IDP
Faux/Computer Simulated seasons will be worked on (like 5/22 series week release)
Over/Under win total bets -- that series of reports likely out 5/29 week.
Special reports on schedule items we see, etc., especially for DSTs.
-- Happy Friday: Bryan Edwards to the Atlanta Falcons (FF Analysis)
-- 2022 NFL Draft Team Grades (Using the CFM/FFM Computer Models)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (GB v. DET)
*Download the Free FFM App and enable notifications to get notice of articles/reports/rankings when they post...and for any hot football news we have ahead of anyone else (reserved for special occasion things we have ahead, and notifying of every football news thing under the sun).*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (GB v. DET)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Key Adds:
DT Jarran Reed (FA), LB Quay Walker (pick #22), DT Devonte Wyatt (pick #28), WR Christian Watson (pick #34), OL Sean Rhyan (pick #92), OL Zach Tom (pick #140), WR Samori Toure (pick #258), OL Rasheed Walker (pick #249)
Key Losses:
OLB Za’Darius Smith (FA), MVS (FA), OG Lucas Patrick (FA), WR Davante Adams (trade)
vs.
DETROIT LIONS
Key Adds:
SAF Deshon Elliott (FA), WR D.J. Chark (FA), CB Mike Hughes (FA), DT Aidan Hutchinson (pick #2), WR Jameson Williams (pick #12), DE Josh Paschal (pick #46), LB Malcolm Rodriquez (pick #188), LB James Houston (pick #217), CB Chase Lucas (pick #237)
Key Losses:
LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin (FA)
Green Bay lost Davante Adams and Za’Darius Smith…two huge hits, the Davante loss massive for 2022…but they then had (arguably) the best NFL Draft of any team in 2022. We could argue/delight in the long-term impact of the moves, but here we’re focused on the 2022 impact. So, is adding 3-4-5-6 viable/good rookie bodies an upgrade to 2022 or downgrade considering the loss of Za’Darius-Davante?
Look at it like a trade…and just thinking 2022 – would you rather have Adams-Smith-MVS back or would you like three young OLs and two young Georgia defenders instead, to try and go forward in 2022 to go for the title…potentially Aaron Rodgers’ last season in Green Bay?
The Lions had an interesting offseason…they didn’t lose anyone, really. Of course, they didn’t have much to begin with to lose – but still, no real personnel losses but then a stockpiling of talent in the draft (1st-round) and some good gets in free agency.
If I were the Packers GM, and I was playing for 2022 – I’d want Davante and Za’Darius back…not a host of rookies to try and work with. So, the GB offseason is very ‘conceptual’ and could be argued in circles on the long-term impact. No such argument with the Lions offseason – they improved vastly…but they had little else to go but ‘up’.
The new Lions GM (from 2021) is showing to be one of the better, more aggressive GMs…and that’s helping. Green Bay had a great offseason if you were tanking/rebuilding, but not if you’re ‘going for it’ in 2022, future be damned.
WINNER = Detroit Lions, easily.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI
DET defeats GB

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 12, 2022/Thursday
Items posted so far today...
-- NFL Draft 2022 Scouting Report: TE Derrick Deese Jr., San Jose State
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (ARI v. SF)
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (ARI v. SF)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
ARIZONA
Key Adds:
WR Marquise Brown (trade), LB Nick Vigil (FA), TE Trey McBride (pick #55), DL Cam Thomas (pick #87), EDGE Myjai Sanders (pick #100), OG Will Hernandez (FA)
Key Losses:
WR Christian Kirk (FA), DE Chandler Jones (FA), RB Chase Edmonds (FA), LB Jordan Hicks (FA), DT Jordan Phillips (FA)
vs.
SAN FRANCISCO
Key Adds:
CB Charvarius Ward (FA), SAF George Odom (FA), LB Oren Burks (FA), LB Drake Jackson (pick #61), WR Danny Gray (pick #105)
Key Losses:
OT Laken Tomlinson (FA), CB K’Waun Williams (FA), DT D.J. Jones (FA), DE Arden Key (FA), RB Raheem Mostert (FA)
I have no idea what the Arizona Cardinals are doing for three drafts in-a-row now. They are falling from ‘potential Super Bowl threat’ to ‘random .500 team’…by their own hand/decision. Marquise Brown traded for is OK, but is he that much better than Christian Kirk? Did Arizona really gain a bunch of ground here at WR?
If you dismiss the Brown-Kirk swap, then Arizona snagged a solid rookie TE in the Draft (not a burning 2022 need)…but they lost team leaders/2022 impact players Chandler Jones, Chase Edmonds and Jordan Hicks to free agency. Can anyone say Arizona got better? And as always, needing O-Line talent and depth, they drafted flier OLs in the 6th and 7th-round.
San Francisco was a team knocking on the Super Bowl door last season, and a nice 2022 offseason could be what put them over the top for this upcoming title hope – but it doesn’t appear the 49ers took advantage. An odd draft and nothing really gained via free agency…the 49ers didn’t get better this offseason.
Charvarius Ward added offsets K’Waun Williams lost. Drake Jackson in via the draft…and veteran D.J. Jones lost and 2021 surprise break out Arden Key is gone on the D-Line – not really ‘improving’ 2022 with all those moves taken together. Danny Gray is a useful WR, maybe, not likely to have a real impact in 2022. When you compare all of the names just mentioned…I don’t see SF getting radically better or worse, but I didn’t mention their biggest loss – OT Laken Tomlinson – and there was no signing or draft pick to try and offset that. All the +/- for SF, right now, it looks like a step backwards for 2022.
So, we have two weak NFL Drafts here. Both teams we judge having 2022 net losses in their free agent moves. So who was worse…or who wins/advances on here, I should say? I think the fact that Arizona’s losses include so many fundamental, veteran/experienced hands – they had the worst 2022 impact offseason of the two teams. Losing Jordan Hicks and Chandler Jones…I know they are aging out, but that’s at minimum a hit to the locker room – and in their place Arizona brings in a guy that’s an Antonio Brown relative, who was supposedly gonna-retire-to-play-video-games-professionally in Marquise Brown. Arizona is so haphazard in their team construction and locker room moves – I give them the loss.
WINNER = The 49ers, who go on to face the L.A. Rams in the NFC West finals
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA
SF defeats ARI

FFM/CFM Daily Summary...May 11, 2022/Wednesday
Items posted so far today...
-- 2022 Dynasty Offseason: Four Things Report for 5/11/2022
-- 2022 Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings 3.0 (Top 300 Board with IDPs)
-- 2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (LAR v. SEA)
*Watch or Listen to the Tuesday Night Video Q&A on-demand anytime...available after the show closes on Tuesday night.*
**College Football Metrics 2022…new NFL Draft/Dynasty Rookie Draft season coverage sign ups underway**
The new season of CFM will be starting up in January, as always. A little different schedule this year as the NFL extended their season by a week and the Senior Bowl was bumped back a week as well. We should have a Senior Bowl, NFL Combine…it looks like it will be a normal scouting year!
The NFL Draft, Dynasty Rookie Draft, and regular season ahead rookie analysis all gets started through CFM in January with our usual season starter -- the past two years/2020-2021 Mock Rookie Draft re-do, along with in-depth Senior Bowl analysis, and full QB scouting reports and much more as we build towards the NFL Combine and all the other positional scouting reports. Football study never ends…
Thank you for your support of CFM for the past decade now…wow, time flies.

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (LAR v. SEA)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
LA RAMS
Key Adds: OL Logan Bruss (pick #104), LB Bobby Wagner (FA), WR Allen Robinson (FA), CB Troy Hill (trade)
Key Losses: Von Miller (FA), CB Darious Williams (FA), OG Austin Corbett (FA), DT Sebastian Joseph (FA), PT Johnny Hekker (FA), WR Robert Woods (trade), OT Andrew Whitworth (retired)
vs.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Key Adds: LB Uchenna Nwosu (FA), DT Quinton Jefferson (FA), SAF Joey Blount (UDFA), OT Charles Cross (pick #9), DE Boye Mafe (pick #40), RB Kenneth Walker (pick #41), OL Abe Lucas (pick #72), CB Coby Bryant (pick #109), CB Tariq Woolen (pick #153), DT Shelby Harris (trade), QB Drew Lock (trade), TE Noah Fant (trade)
Key Losses: QB Russell Wilson (trade), LB Bobby Wagner (FA), TE Gerald Everett (FA), CB D.J. Reed (FA), DT Kerry Hyder (cut)
The Rams losing Andrew Whitworth was the most devastating thing that happened to them this offseason. Hard to make up for that. Adding Allen Robinson was terrific, and Bobby Wagner may be a better name than reality right now…but it has some hope, veteran leadership. The Rams had a few nice adds but the loss of Whitworth and Corbett on the O-Line stings, as does losing their long-time punter and up-and-coming DT Sebastian Day. Overall, the Rams took a step back with all their moves.
But Seattle may not advance ahead of the Rams in this little exercise because moving Russell Wilson is devastating for 2022. Wilson gone. Long time leader Bobby Wagner gone. D.J. Reed and Kerry Hyder are good players who bolted. When I look at the adds, it’s nowhere near making up for what they lost. How could it be losing Russ? They get a promising young TE (Fant) but no top QB to throw to him Charles Cross and Abe Luas are promising OLs and Boye Mafe is a nice pass rusher. Seattle got several decent bodies in the draft but nothing really groundbreaking.
In the end, to judge their offseason, if I were the Seattle GM and I was offered every player listed in the ‘Key Adds’ section for Seattle (all 12 of them) in exchange for trading away Russell Wilson …I would have declined the offer (because I could find plenty of similar players in free agency or the draft, etc. – quantity does not equal quality here). Me declining that fake deal -- that tells you how bad this Seattle offseason is.
WINNER = by default, the L.A. Rams.
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
LAR defeats SEA

2022 Offseason Assessment Tournament: 1st-Round (PHI v. WSH)
Same intro everyday: Our annual series taking a look at each NFL team’s offseason (free agency, draft, trades) moves and assessing their impact for the upcoming season – simply speaking, 'did all of the offseason moves, en masse, project to make the team better or worse for just the upcoming campaign (not worried about the long-term effect)'?
We’ll list the key adds and losses for each team competing and then comment on them and anoint a winner that will move on to the next round, until we get down to the final two (the 'Super Bowl') and we name a winner for the top offseason (to date). Our way to review and judge what each of these teams have done halfway through the offseason.
1st-Round Matchup…
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Key Adds:
LB Haason Reddick (FA), DT Jordan Davis (pick #13), OL Cam Jurgens (pick #51), LB Nakobe Dean (pick #83), WR A.J. Brown (trade)
Key Losses:
CB Steven Nelson (FA), #18, #101 picks in 2022 (trade for A.J. Brown)
vs.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Key Adds:
OG Andrew Norvell (FA), OG Trai Turner (FA), WR Jahan Dotson (pick #16), DL Philarian Mathis (pick #47), RB Brian Robinson (pick #98), FS Percy Butler (pick #113), TE Cole Turner (pick #149), Sam Howell (pick #144)
Key Losses:
OG Brandon Scherff (FA), DE Matt Ioannidis (FA), TE Ricky Seals-Jones (FA), WR DeAndre Carter (FA)
For Philly, if you consider that pick #18 ended up Treylon Burks -- then using that pick in trade to get A.J. Brown instead is a massive upgrade for the 2022 season (and, here, we don’t care about money or contract…we’re just looking at 2022 only impacts/bodies in-out). Despite the AJB trade, Philly still had one pick in the 1st and 2nd-rounds of the draft and walked away with a Jordan Davis lottery ticket and solid depth/potential emergency starter Cam Jurgens on the O-Line.
I don’t think Nakobe Dean is anything special. He’ll play some snaps but he’s not a big 2022 impact. Hasson Reddick is a pass rush specialist that’s a liability in other phases, and a liability when he rushes and doesn’t get near the backfield…but he’s better at blitz/pass rushing than most.
I didn’t realize how poor the Washington offseason was until I laid out the key moves all in one spot here. Losing Brandon Scherff is massive…and they added two OLs in free agency to offset that loss, but it was with OGs that were last good several years ago. A huge downgrade on the O-Line. They then added a WR (Dotson) they didn’t really need and then added an RB (Robinson) they didn’t really need to draft along with adding an Alabama DT who stinks and a solid free safety (Butler). Cole Turner and Sam Howell have some hope in the future, but likely don’t help 2022 much.
Washington had this massive loss of OG Scherff and then moved up to draft a smaller WR they didn’t really need, with top OC/OG Zion Johnson going with the very next pick. Who the hell is running that organization? Don’t answer…
Carson Wentz is not a huge upgrade over Taylor Heinicke, but it is an upgrade.
Washington definitely lost ground for 2022 this offseason, best case they didn’t really improve or drop…while the Eagles definitely improved in many areas. As much of a thumb’s down you give Washington, the same level of a thumb’s up goes to Philadelphia.
WINNER: The Philadelphia Eagles, who go on to face NYG for the NFC East title
1ST-ROUND RESULTS:
NYG defeats DAL
PHI defeats WSH
